Tornado Watch 554

Issued

Oct 31, 2013, 5:24 PM CDT (22:24 UTC)

Expired

Oct 31, 2013, 11:53 PM CDT

In force

6 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

0.5 in

Strongest gust expected

70 kt

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

20%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

40%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

30%

Ten or more severe hail reports

5%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

5%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

60%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1995Oct 31, 5:01 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1996Oct 31, 7:39 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1997Oct 31, 7:44 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1998Oct 31, 8:53 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1999Oct 31, 10:11 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 2000Oct 31, 11:39 PM CDT

486 
WWUS20 KWNS 312224
SEL4  
SPC WW 312224
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-010600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 554
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
  SOUTHERN INDIANA
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 525
  PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
    MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
POPLAR BLUFF MISSOURI TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF LOUISVILLE
KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 552...WW 553...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING OVER SOUTHEAST
MO.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING.  WHILE THE AREAL COVERAGE OF
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE LARGE...EXTREMELY STRONG WIND
FIELDS MAY COMPENSATE FOR WEAK INSTABILITY AND POSE A RISK OF AN
ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT WIND GUST OR TORNADO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...HART

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2013Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2013Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.