Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 1995

October 31, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 31, 2013, 5:01 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2013, 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2013, 6:30 PM CDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 119 counties

Alexander County, IL, Clay County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2013-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2013-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
652 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 12:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin and 20 more89 min
Oct 31, 5:24 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland and 25 more6 hr
Oct 31, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDent, Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Shannon and 3 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.