Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2013

Tornado Warning 66, NWS Paducah, KY

October 31, 2013Daviess County, Henderson County, Kentucky; Spencer County, Warrick County, Indiana

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Oct 31, 2013, 9:08 PM CDT for Daviess County, Henderson County, Kentucky; Spencer County, Warrick County, Indiana. It was in force for 37 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 31, 2013, 9:08 PM CDT (02:08 UTC)
Expired: Oct 31, 2013, 9:45 PM CDT
In force: 37 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.0 in

Counties Spencer County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Daviess County, KY, Henderson County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 31, 9:10 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Newburgh, IN	TREES DOWN. POWER LINE DOWN ACROSS A HOME NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SYCAMORE AND GREY.
Oct 31, 9:35 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 68	Rockport, IN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 31, 5:24 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 684 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 787 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

248 
WFUS53 KPAH 010208
TORPAH
INC147-173-KYC059-101-010245-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0066.131101T0208Z-131101T0245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
908 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
  SOUTHERN WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
  NORTHERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
  NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 906 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEWBURGH...AND MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

  HAZARD...TORNADO.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

  IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS
           WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS
           LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROCKPORT...EUREKA...GRANDVIEW AND CHRISNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 8679 3799 8685 3794 8690 3793 8697
      3790 8698 3791 8692 3788 8689 3784 8690
      3784 8685 3781 8685 3783 8742 3802 8744
      3806 8677
TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 269DEG 59KT 3789 8732

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

1 follow-up statement

165 
WWUS53 KPAH 010222
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
922 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

KYC101-010232-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0066.000000T0000Z-131101T0245Z/
HENDERSON KY-
922 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
KENTUCKY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3803 8726 3806 8677 3800 8679 3799 8685
      3794 8690 3793 8697 3790 8698 3791 8692
      3788 8689 3784 8690 3784 8685 3781 8685
      3783 8728
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 269DEG 51KT 3789 8707

$$

INC147-173-KYC059-010245-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0066.000000T0000Z-131101T0245Z/
SPENCER IN-WARRICK IN-DAVIESS KY-
922 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WARRICK AND
SOUTHERN SPENCER COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND NORTHERN DAVIESS
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 920 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR ROCKPORT...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL
         BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKPORT...GRANDVIEW AND CHRISNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3803 8726 3806 8677 3800 8679 3799 8685
      3794 8690 3793 8697 3790 8698 3791 8692
      3788 8689 3784 8690 3784 8685 3781 8685
      3783 8728
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 269DEG 51KT 3789 8707

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 31, 7:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 7:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
710 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2013

.UPDATE...
Updated aviation section.

Vorticity maximum in the mid levels is now punching into wrn parts
of the region, concentrating lift just ahead of it. This has
resulted in a consolidation of showers and tstms into a quasi-linear
convective system (QLCS). We will update the grid forecast again to
reflect this. With anemic mid level lapse rates, tstm activity has
been sporatic at best until the QLCS formed. Most-stable CAPE values
are presently hovering in the 300 j/kg range, and presently it is a
bit uncertain if widespread lightning activity will progress all the
way across the PAH forecast area this evening. Severe wx
possibilities will continue with the line for a few hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday night)
ISSUED AT 215 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

Wx should become more active here over the next few hours as the
dynamic upper trof ejects ENE from the central Plains, with a cold
front moving into the area this evening. Wind fields are forecast
to strengthen with some weak instability developing as well. As a
result, the severe weather threat is in play, with locally
damaging wind gusts most likely. However a brief tornado or two
cannot be ruled out. PoPs will be high end likely to low end
categorical as overall coverage should be less than what we saw
through the morning hours.

We have seen some impressive gradient wind gusts through the
morning and early afternoon. This may continue from time to time
ahead of the front. Overall though, mostly below Wind Advisory
Criteria.

Should have nearly all of the precip out by 06z or so. Dry weather
is forecast after that as high pressure gradually builds into the
area. In terms of temps, used a blend of GFS and NAM MOS.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 215 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

Medium to high confidence with the storm system next week and low
confidence on the exact timing.

High pressure will build into the region at the surface at the start
of the extended with upper level ridging in concert with surface
high. This will provide clear skies Sunday with slightly below
normal temperatures...albeit with plenty of sunshine. Temperatures
will warm up as the high drifts to the east and a trough digs to the
west placing the heartland in a southerly flow. The system next week
seems fairly certain but timing issues persist among the models. The
much slower ECMWF compared to the much faster GFS has prompted pop
mentions for a longer duration than will actually come to fruition.
A strong low level jet of 50 knots will accompany this system. This
combined with showalters nearing zero and k index values >30c will
at least include a chance of elevated thunder. Models do agree on
the system exiting the area by Thursday evening at the latest. Also
pushed back the start time of anything until Tuesday with thunder
chc starting Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 710 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

Robust sfc winds are expected to gradually subside overnight to
below 10 kts. However, in addition to lesser convection, a line of
tstms, with a few embedded severe tstms, will progress ewd across
the PAH forecast area this evening, creating brief periods of
MVFR/IFR vsbys and mostly MVFR cigs. A cold front will enter the
region during the evening, providing a wind shift to the west, which
will last through the end of the 00Z TAF period. Generally improving
conditions are expected during the day Fri.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DB
LONG TERM...KH
AVIATION...DB

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 31, 7:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
739 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-020045-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
739 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE PREVALENT WITH MOST STORMS. MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS WILL BE
EAST AT AROUND 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN REQUESTED TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 31, 8:23 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
823 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STONEFORT               37.62N 88.71W
10/31/2013                   SALINE             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF TORN OFF OF HOME IN THE COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Oct 31, 8:28 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
828 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0826 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONKEYS EYEBROW         37.19N 88.99W
10/31/2013                   BALLARD            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Oct 31, 8:51 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
851 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLANDVILLE              36.94N 88.96W
10/31/2013                   BALLARD            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIDESPREAD TREES DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Oct 31, 8:55 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
855 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLANDVILLE              36.94N 88.96W
10/31/2013                   BALLARD            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MOBILE HOME BLOWN OFF OF FOUNDATION.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Oct 31, 9:02 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
902 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0902 PM     TSTM WND GST     EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
10/31/2013  M55 MPH          VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS MEASURED IN ANGEL MOUNDS SUBDIVISION. TREES BENDING
            TOWARD THE GROUND.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Oct 31, 9:04 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
904 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     HENDERSON               37.84N 87.58W
10/31/2013  M54 MPH          HENDERSON          KY   AWOS

            MEASURED AT HENDERSON COUNTY AIRPORT.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 31, 8:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle, McCracken	40 min
Oct 31, 8:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle	37 min
Oct 31, 8:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Union	30 min
Oct 31, 8:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Graves	39 min
Oct 31, 8:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle, McCracken	37 min
Oct 31, 8:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	PAH	Union	34 min
Oct 31, 8:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Graves, Livingston, McCracken, Marshall	51 min
Oct 31, 8:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves, McCracken	33 min
Oct 31, 8:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Livingston, Lyon, Marshall	23 min
Oct 31, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg	31 min
Oct 31, 9:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway, Graves, Marshall, Trigg	34 min
Oct 31, 9:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Trigg	36 min
Oct 31, 9:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian	39 min
Oct 31, 9:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	McLean, Muhlenberg, Todd	49 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2013 Tornado Warnings in Indiana, 2013 Every tornado warning in 2013 Tornadoes in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.