Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2013
Tornado Watch 10
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 29, 2013, 5:37 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 29, 2013, 5:37 PM CST (23:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 30, 2013, 2:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 117 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 90%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
92 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 5:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 46 min |
| Jan 29, 5:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 28 min |
| Jan 29, 5:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Scott, Yell | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 6:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 44 min |
| Jan 29, 6:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Franklin, Wood | 58 min |
| Jan 29, 6:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pope, Searcy | 37 min |
| Jan 29, 6:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Chicot | 35 min |
| Jan 29, 6:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Franklin, Red River, Titus | 46 min |
| Jan 29, 6:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott, Yell | 45 min |
| Jan 29, 6:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren and 1 more | 23 min |
| Jan 29, 6:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 66 min |
| Jan 29, 6:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River, Sevier | 50 min |
| Jan 29, 6:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Montgomery, Polk, Pope, Scott and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 6:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren | 29 min |
| Jan 29, 6:48 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 6:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 6:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Pope, Yell | 37 min |
| Jan 29, 6:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 49 min |
| Jan 29, 6:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Pulaski, Saline | 49 min |
| Jan 29, 6:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell | 32 min |
| Jan 29, 7:05 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Grant, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 40 min |
| Jan 29, 7:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Searcy and 3 more | 45 min |
| Jan 29, 7:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cass, Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Panola and 3 more | 58 min |
| Jan 29, 7:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 26 min |
| Jan 29, 7:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 61 min |
| Jan 29, 7:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Union | 29 min |
| Jan 29, 7:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Yell | 53 min |
| Jan 29, 7:41 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski | 34 min |
| Jan 29, 7:55 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Marion, Searcy and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 7:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp and 3 more | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 7:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Conway, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell | 33 min |
| Jan 29, 8:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle, Winn | 41 min |
| Jan 29, 8:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Union | 37 min |
| Jan 29, 8:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Jefferson | 51 min |
| Jan 29, 8:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Angelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches | 65 min |
| Jan 29, 8:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie | 46 min |
| Jan 29, 8:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia | 60 min |
| Jan 29, 8:16 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Stone and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 8:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike | 26 min |
| Jan 29, 8:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 1 more | 56 min |
| Jan 29, 8:27 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson, White | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 8:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Ouachita, Union | 31 min |
| Jan 29, 8:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Bradley, Drew, Lincoln | 23 min |
| Jan 29, 8:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Randolph | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 8:38 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Ouachita | 37 min |
| Jan 29, 8:41 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln | 34 min |
| Jan 29, 8:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff | 32 min |
| Jan 29, 8:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Morehouse, Richland | 62 min |
| Jan 29, 8:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 29 min |
| Jan 29, 8:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Ashley | 58 min |
| Jan 29, 8:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Greene, Lawrence | 26 min |
| Jan 29, 8:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 35 min |
| Jan 29, 9:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett | 42 min |
| Jan 29, 9:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Jackson, Ouachita, Union | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 9:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 36 min |
| Jan 29, 9:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Red River and 2 more | 51 min |
| Jan 29, 9:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 9:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi | 63 min |
| Jan 29, 9:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Nevada, Union | 61 min |
| Jan 29, 9:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis | 58 min |
| Jan 29, 9:21 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 24 min |
| Jan 29, 9:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Angelina, Nacogdoches, San Augustine | 54 min |
| Jan 29, 9:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Morehouse, West Carroll | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 9:27 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Monroe | 33 min |
| Jan 29, 9:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn | 44 min |
| Jan 29, 9:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley | 63 min |
| Jan 29, 9:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett | 46 min |
| Jan 29, 9:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Ashley | 40 min |
| Jan 29, 9:51 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 9:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Sabine | 53 min |
| Jan 29, 9:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Chicot | 66 min |
| Jan 29, 9:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 65 min |
| Jan 29, 10:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Claiborne, De Soto, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches and 3 more | 59 min |
| Jan 29, 10:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Ouachita | 22 min |
| Jan 29, 10:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Richland | 42 min |
| Jan 29, 10:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Chicot | 65 min |
| Jan 29, 10:31 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 10:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 59 min |
| Jan 29, 10:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 55 min |
| Jan 29, 10:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn | 63 min |
| Jan 29, 10:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee | 42 min |
| Jan 29, 10:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | East Carroll, West Carroll | 42 min |
| Jan 29, 10:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Jackson, Ouachita, Union, Winn | 61 min |
| Jan 29, 11:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Angelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine and 1 more | 39 min |
| Jan 29, 11:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, LaSalle | 63 min |
| Jan 29, 11:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley, Chicot | 47 min |
| Jan 29, 11:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 11:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Richland | 87 min |
| Jan 29, 11:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell | 33 min |
| Jan 30, 12:03 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 87 min |
| Jan 30, 12:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia, Tensas | 95 min |
| Jan 30, 12:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | LaSalle | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 250 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 471 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 266 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 336 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
319
WWUS20 KWNS 292338
SEL0
SPC WW 292338
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 540
PM UNTIL 100 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...WW 9...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING AS A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE REGION. VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BOW ECHOS AND SUPERCELLS SEEM TO BE THE
GREATEST RISK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT
TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 7:26 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 10 hr |
| Jan 29, 9:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River and 9 more | 119 min |
| Jan 29, 10:59 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River, Logan and 9 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 29, 11:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 55 min |
| Jan 29, 11:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 3 more | 96 min |
| Jan 29, 12:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Fulton, Izard and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 29, 1:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 56 min |
| Jan 29, 2:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Little River, Logan, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 29, 3:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Crawford and 12 more | 89 min |
| Jan 29, 4:37 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 29, 4:58 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 47 more | 92 min |
| Jan 29, 5:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo | 114 min |
| Jan 29, 12:51 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden and 27 more | 84 min |
| Jan 29, 5:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade and 10 more | 94 min |
| Jan 29, 3:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Foard, Hardeman, Knox, Wichita, Wilbarger | 92 min |
| Jan 29, 4:57 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Hardeman, Wilbarger | 7 hr |
| Jan 29, 10:37 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Coleman, Collin, Comanche, Concho and 30 more | 53 min |
| Jan 29, 11:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 30 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 29, 3:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coryell, Dallas, Ellis, Hill, McLennan | 119 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2013Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2013Tornado Watches in Texas, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.