Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 10

January 29, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 29, 2013, 5:37 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2013, 5:37 PM CST (23:37 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2013, 2:00 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 117 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

92 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 5:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy46 min
Jan 29, 5:47 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKPolk, Scott28 min
Jan 29, 5:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Scott, Yell48 min
Jan 29, 6:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot44 min
Jan 29, 6:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVFranklin, Wood58 min
Jan 29, 6:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPope, Searcy37 min
Jan 29, 6:10 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChicot35 min
Jan 29, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVFranklin, Red River, Titus46 min
Jan 29, 6:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell45 min
Jan 29, 6:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren and 1 more23 min
Jan 29, 6:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Wood66 min
Jan 29, 6:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River, Sevier50 min
Jan 29, 6:43 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Montgomery, Polk, Pope, Scott and 1 more3 hr
Jan 29, 6:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren29 min
Jan 29, 6:48 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more3 hr
Jan 29, 6:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River38 min
Jan 29, 6:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope, Yell37 min
Jan 29, 6:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot49 min
Jan 29, 6:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Pulaski, Saline49 min
Jan 29, 6:58 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell32 min
Jan 29, 7:05 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKGrant, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline40 min
Jan 29, 7:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Searcy and 3 more45 min
Jan 29, 7:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCass, Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Panola and 3 more58 min
Jan 29, 7:19 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson26 min
Jan 29, 7:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier61 min
Jan 29, 7:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Union29 min
Jan 29, 7:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Yell53 min
Jan 29, 7:41 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski34 min
Jan 29, 7:55 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Marion, Searcy and 3 more3 hr
Jan 29, 7:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp and 3 more48 min
Jan 29, 7:57 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKConway, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell33 min
Jan 29, 8:04 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCaldwell, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle, Winn41 min
Jan 29, 8:08 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVUnion37 min
Jan 29, 8:09 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson51 min
Jan 29, 8:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches65 min
Jan 29, 8:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie46 min
Jan 29, 8:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia60 min
Jan 29, 8:16 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Stone and 2 more3 hr
Jan 29, 8:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike26 min
Jan 29, 8:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 1 more56 min
Jan 29, 8:27 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, White48 min
Jan 29, 8:29 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVOuachita, Union31 min
Jan 29, 8:37 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Drew, Lincoln23 min
Jan 29, 8:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Randolph38 min
Jan 29, 8:38 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCaldwell, Ouachita37 min
Jan 29, 8:41 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln34 min
Jan 29, 8:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, White, Woodruff32 min
Jan 29, 8:43 PM CSTTornado WarningJANMorehouse, Richland62 min
Jan 29, 8:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff29 min
Jan 29, 8:47 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAshley58 min
Jan 29, 8:49 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGGreene, Lawrence26 min
Jan 29, 8:55 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew, Lincoln35 min
Jan 29, 9:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett42 min
Jan 29, 9:07 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCaldwell, Jackson, Ouachita, Union38 min
Jan 29, 9:09 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene36 min
Jan 29, 9:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Red River and 2 more51 min
Jan 29, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe48 min
Jan 29, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi63 min
Jan 29, 9:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Nevada, Union61 min
Jan 29, 9:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis58 min
Jan 29, 9:21 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew, Lincoln24 min
Jan 29, 9:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Nacogdoches, San Augustine54 min
Jan 29, 9:22 PM CSTTornado WarningJANEast Carroll, Morehouse, West Carroll38 min
Jan 29, 9:27 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Monroe33 min
Jan 29, 9:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn44 min
Jan 29, 9:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley63 min
Jan 29, 9:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett46 min
Jan 29, 9:50 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAshley40 min
Jan 29, 9:51 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe3 hr
Jan 29, 9:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine53 min
Jan 29, 9:54 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChicot66 min
Jan 29, 9:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi65 min
Jan 29, 10:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, De Soto, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches and 3 more59 min
Jan 29, 10:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Ouachita22 min
Jan 29, 10:18 PM CSTTornado WarningJANRichland42 min
Jan 29, 10:25 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChicot65 min
Jan 29, 10:31 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett3 hr
Jan 29, 10:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi59 min
Jan 29, 10:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi55 min
Jan 29, 10:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn63 min
Jan 29, 10:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee42 min
Jan 29, 10:48 PM CSTTornado WarningJANEast Carroll, West Carroll42 min
Jan 29, 10:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Jackson, Ouachita, Union, Winn61 min
Jan 29, 11:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine and 1 more39 min
Jan 29, 11:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, LaSalle63 min
Jan 29, 11:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot47 min
Jan 29, 11:43 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis3 hr
Jan 29, 11:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Richland87 min
Jan 29, 11:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell33 min
Jan 30, 12:03 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Madison87 min
Jan 30, 12:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Tensas95 min
Jan 30, 12:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLaSalle48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 250 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 266 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
250 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
266 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
336 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

319 
WWUS20 KWNS 292338
SEL0  
SPC WW 292338
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       MUCH OF ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN LOUISIANA
       MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
       NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 540
PM UNTIL 100 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...WW 9...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING AS A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE REGION.  VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  BOW ECHOS AND SUPERCELLS SEEM TO BE THE
GREATEST RISK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT
TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 7:26 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington10 hr
Jan 29, 9:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River and 9 more119 min
Jan 29, 10:59 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCFranklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River, Logan and 9 more8 hr
Jan 29, 11:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington55 min
Jan 29, 11:54 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 3 more96 min
Jan 29, 12:35 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Fulton, Izard and 6 more7 hr
Jan 29, 1:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington56 min
Jan 29, 2:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Logan, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more2 hr
Jan 29, 3:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Crawford and 12 more89 min
Jan 29, 4:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 5 more2 hr
Jan 29, 4:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 47 more92 min
Jan 29, 5:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo114 min
Jan 29, 12:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden and 27 more84 min
Jan 29, 5:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade and 10 more94 min
Jan 29, 3:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Foard, Hardeman, Knox, Wichita, Wilbarger92 min
Jan 29, 4:57 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCHardeman, Wilbarger7 hr
Jan 29, 10:37 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Coleman, Collin, Comanche, Concho and 30 more53 min
Jan 29, 11:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 30 more6 hr
Jan 29, 3:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoryell, Dallas, Ellis, Hill, McLennan119 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2013Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2013Tornado Watches in Texas, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.