Tornado Warning 10, NWS Jackson, MS

071 
WWUS54 KJAN 300316
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
916 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

ARC003-LAC067-300345-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130130T0345Z/
ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA-
916 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CST FOR ASHLEY
COUNTY...AND WESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH...

AT 913 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS 
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BERLIN MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. IN 
ADDITION...THERE IS A MUCH STRONGER CIRCULATION WITH A LIKLEY 
TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF OAK RIDGE ALONG THE MOREHOUSE AND RICHLAND 
COUNTY BORDER. THERE IS A TORNADO WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA 
ALSO. PLEASE MONITOR THE STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING AS ANOTHER ROUND 
WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  HAMBURG BY 920 PM CST...
  SNYDER...MONTROSE AND PORTLAND BY 930 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 9185 3340 9172 3339 9146 3324 9146
      3289 9173 3265 9193 3266 9194 3270 9198
      3270 9201 3274 9206 3285 9208
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 212DEG 49KT 3311 9173

$$

JA

511 
WWUS54 KJAN 300336 RRA
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
936 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

ARC003-LAC067-300346-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130130T0345Z/
ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA-
936 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR ASHLEY COUNTY...AND WESTERN MOREHOUSE
PARISH WILL EXPIRE AT 945 PM CST...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE
WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN 
MISSISSIPPI. PLEASE STAY AWARE AS MORE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL 
OCCUR THROUGH THE NIGHT. 

LAT...LON 3323 9185 3340 9172 3339 9146 3324 9146
      3289 9173 3265 9193 3266 9194 3270 9198
      3270 9201 3274 9206 3285 9208
TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 212DEG 49KT 3337 9153

$$

JA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
353 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

.SHORT TERM...FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON
THE OVERALL SETUP FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WARMTH AND MOISTURE HAVE PRIMED A LARGE PORTION
OF THE AREA AHEAD OF AN IMPRESSIVE AND POTENT UPPER TROUGH. LOOK FOR
ADDED WARMTH ALONG WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED SURGE OF MOISTURE IN
ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM FOR TONIGHT. THE MAIN EVENT FOR OUR AREA WILL
BE LATER THIS EVE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STRONG ASCENT AND LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE HELP REMOVE THE CAP. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE WILL BE INTENSE WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY. SOME DISCRETE
ACTIVITY LOOKS POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING OVER THE NW PART OF THE
CWA AHEAD OF THE EVOLVING LINE. THESE STORMS WILL QUICKLY LIFT NNE
AND POSE A TORNADO AND DMG WIND RISK. AS WE MOVE LATER INTO THE
NIGHT...THE LINE WILL BECOME MORE DOMINATE AS IT EVOLVES EASTWARD.
THE MAIN THREATS WITH THIS SEVERE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS (60-80 MPH POSSIBLE) AND TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY
STRONG. AS FOR HEAVY RAIN...NOT TOO CONCERNED AS QUICK MOVEMENT AND
EVOLUTION LOOKS TO KEEP MOST PRECIP TOTALS AROUND .5 TO 1.0 INCH.
STILL...RAINS WILL BE EFFICIENT AND SOME AREAS COULD SEE A VERY
QUICK 1 INCH. AS FOR TIMING...WILL HAVE TO KEEP A BROAD WINDOW
ACROSS THE W/NW TO CAPTURE THE PERIOD OF PRE-LINE ACTIVITY AND THEN
THE ACTUAL LINE ITSELF.

LOOKS LIKE PRECIP WILL END QUICKLY WEDNESDAY WITH DRY AND COOLER AIR
MOVING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM. SEASONABLE TEMPS AND DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. LOWS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE 30S AREAWIDE WITH HIGHS ON THURSDAY IN THE
50S TO AROUND 60. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE
30S. /27/

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WILL THE CHANCES OF RAIN FOR SATURDAY AS WELL
AS MONDAY. THIS FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPS IN A GENERALLY QUIETER
PATTERN.

AFTER THE DEPARTURE OF THE STORM SYSTEM A MUCH MORE QUIET AND COOLER
PATTERN WILL COME ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD. WE WILL
GET BACK TO MORE NORMAL JANUARY CLIMATE TYPE TEMPS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR FOR THE MOST PART. MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE MODELS ALONG WITH
ENSEMBLES WERE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT. THEY SHOWED A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY. IT WILL STALL AS A SHORT WAVE IN
NORTHWEST FLOW BRINGS A LOW CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN FOR SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK GIVING
THE REGION A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL BE RATHER STABLE FOR SHOWERS ONLY. THE EURO
WAS A LITTLE FASTER IN BRINGING THE RAINS IN DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
SO LEANED TOWARD THE FASTER EURO SOLUTION...BUT NOT THE HIGHER EURO
POPS FOR MONDAY. THE RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY AS WE GET SOME POST FRONTAL ISENTROPIC LIFT.

ON TEMPS WENT WITH A BLEND OF MEX...GMOS AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE.
ON POPS WENT WITH A BLEND OF MEX AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE FOR
SATURDAY. ON POPS FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WENT WITH A BLEND OF
MEX AND EURO GUIDANCE...LEANING CLOSER TO LOWER MEX GUIDANCE. /17/

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY TODAY AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM
SYSTEM TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25KTS AND GUSTS TO 35KTS
REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN THE NW
TAF SITES. SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MAIN TIME PERIOD TO AFFECT KGLH/KGWO BEING
03Z-09Z. TIME PERIOD AFFECTING KJAN/KMEI/KHBG/KHKS/KGTR BEING
08Z-12Z. MAIN IMPACTS POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND WIND GUSTS
EXCEEDING 55-60KTS. MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL RETURN TONIGHT AHEAD
OF AND WITH STORMS. CONDITIONS CLEAR AFTER 12-14Z WEDNESDAY. /28/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       59  64  32  59 / 100  32  10   5
MERIDIAN      64  68  31  58 /  90  63  13   5
VICKSBURG     56  62  31  61 /  99  14   7   5
HATTIESBURG   66  67  33  59 /  87  63   9   5
NATCHEZ       56  61  31  60 /  97  13   7   5
GREENVILLE    53  55  31  58 / 100  14   5   5
GREENWOOD     57  61  30  59 / 100  15   8   5

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR MSZ018-019-025>027-
     034>036-040>042-047.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023-025.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

27/17/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
315 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-
040>042-047-302115-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
WARREN-
315 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
BRING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS TO THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME
TORNADOES. DUE TO A RARE COMBINATION OF INTENSE WIND SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...SOME HIGHER END SEVERE WEATHER
WILL BE POSSIBLE INCLUDING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO
80 MPH AND A STRONG TORNADO. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 9PM
AND 3AM BEFORE MOVING EAST.

AHEAD OF THIS SEVERE WEATHER...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 AND 30 MPH WILL BE
PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARKLAMISS WITH GUSTS REACHING 40 TO 45
MPH IN THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY LOCATIONS. THE WIND ADVISORY
CONTINUES UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ028>033-037>039-043>046-048>066-072>074-302115-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
315 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR  MOST OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BRING DAMAGING WINDS TO THE REGION ALONG
WITH SOME TORNADOES. DUE TO A RARE COMBINATION OF INTENSE WIND SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...SOME HIGHER END SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE INCLUDING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH AND A STRONG TORNADO. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
BETWEEN 9 PM AND 3 AM FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 AND BETWEEN
2 AND 7 AM FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 55.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

28

ARZ075-LAZ008-009-MSZ034-040-300120-
CHICOT AR-WASHINGTON MS-ISSAQUENA MS-EAST CARROLL LA-WEST CARROLL LA-
648 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
648 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...STORM IN EAST CARROLL PARISH GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILLIKIN AT 648 PM CST...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA...WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN CHICOT
COUNTIES...AND NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN EAST
CARROLL PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3340 9076 3332 9076 3285 9119 3295 9136
      3350 9093
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 215DEG 54KT 3297 9121

BYB

MSZ035-040>042-300220-
SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-HUMPHREYS MS-YAZOO MS-
749 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
749 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF ROLLING FORK AT 749 PM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 60 MPH.

PEOPLE IN EXTREME WEST CENTRAL YAZOO...WESTERN HUMPHREYS...NORTH
CENTRAL ISSAQUENA AND NORTHERN SHARKEY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3327 9046 3323 9042 3281 9077 3291 9095
      3310 9082 3310 9068 3313 9070 3320 9068
      3323 9072 3327 9070 3327 9056 3333 9056
      3333 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 0149Z 213DEG 52KT 3294 9080

JA

MSZ019-025-300245-
SUNFLOWER MS-LEFLORE MS-
815 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
815 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...ANOTHER STRONG STORM BEING MONITORED IN CENTRAL SUNFLOWER
COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS
WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF SUNFLOWER AT 815 PM CST...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN LEFLORE AND NORTHERN SUNFLOWER COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3398 9044 3382 9044 3381 9033 3350 9054
      3358 9073 3362 9071 3362 9066 3371 9066
      3399 9051 3399 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 206DEG 53KT 3363 9058

BYB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
817 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0727 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E LELAND              33.40N 90.88W
01/29/2013                   WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS THAT A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF AT LILLOS RESTAURANT ON
            HIGHWAY 82 EAST.

&&

DCOX

ARZ074-300250-
ASHLEY AR-
821 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
821 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 31 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FOUNTAIN HILL AT 819 PM CST...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF ROTATION AND WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO THE
ASHLEY AND BRADLEY COUNTY LINE. THIS STORM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
IF IT DEVIATES FARTHER RIGHT AND ENTER ASHLEY COUNTY ALONG THE
EXTREME WESTERN BORDER. PLEASE STAY UP TO DATE FOR THE LATEST.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3322 9209 3323 9210 3329 9204 3331 9198
      3334 9200 3337 9197 3340 9200 3340 9178
      3312 9210 3310 9213 3315 9211 3316 9214
      3319 9214
TIME...MOT...LOC 0219Z 217DEG 47KT 3309 9223

JA

ARZ074-LAZ007-300300-
ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA-
831 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
831 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF BASTROP AT 832 PM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
55 MPH.

PEOPLE IN ASHLEY COUNTY...AND MOREHOUSE PARISH SHOULD MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3292 9209 3332 9181 3310 9146 3265 9193
      3267 9196 3270 9198 3270 9201 3273 9207
      3280 9206 3282 9207 3285 9207 3287 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 212DEG 49KT 3283 9202

JA