Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 9

January 29, 201312 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Illinois; 38 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 29, 2013, 12:35 PM CST for 12 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Illinois; 38 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2013, 12:35 PM CST (18:35 UTC)
Expired
Jan 29, 2013, 8:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 61 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 12:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway48 min
Jan 29, 1:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Montgomery39 min
Jan 29, 1:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMontgomery25 min
Jan 29, 1:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike40 min
Jan 29, 2:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGasconade, Osage48 min
Jan 29, 2:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Warren38 min
Jan 29, 3:12 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXSaint Charles, Warren33 min
Jan 29, 3:30 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles30 min
Jan 29, 3:42 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey33 min
Jan 29, 4:12 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFStone, Taney48 min
Jan 29, 4:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone38 min
Jan 29, 4:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Ozark, Taney39 min
Jan 29, 4:55 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFOzark, Taney20 min
Jan 29, 4:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy34 min
Jan 29, 5:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope38 min
Jan 29, 5:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark47 min
Jan 29, 5:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy46 min
Jan 29, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas51 min
Jan 29, 6:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPope, Searcy37 min
Jan 29, 6:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren and 1 more23 min
Jan 29, 6:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren29 min
Jan 29, 6:48 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more3 hr
Jan 29, 6:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope, Yell37 min
Jan 29, 7:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Searcy and 3 more45 min
Jan 29, 7:55 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Marion, Searcy and 3 more3 hr
Jan 29, 7:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp and 3 more48 min
Jan 29, 7:57 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKConway, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2013-01-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 285 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2013-01-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 257 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
285 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
728 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

543 
WWUS20 KWNS 291836
SEL9  
SPC WW 291836
ARZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-300200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
       SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH OF HARRISON
ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF SAINT LOUIS MISSOURI. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6...WW 7...WW 8...

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD
ACROSS CENTRAL MO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WHILE ADDITIONAL STORMS
FORM AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM NW AR INTO SRN MO.  THOUGH INSTABILITY
WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...VERY STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE BOTH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS AND SOME
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 7:26 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington10 hr
Jan 29, 9:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River and 9 more119 min
Jan 29, 10:59 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCFranklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River, Logan and 9 more8 hr
Jan 29, 11:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington55 min
Jan 29, 11:54 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 3 more96 min
Jan 29, 1:19 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington56 min
Jan 29, 2:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Logan, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more2 hr
Jan 29, 3:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Crawford and 12 more89 min
Jan 29, 4:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 5 more2 hr
Jan 29, 4:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 47 more92 min
Jan 29, 5:37 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 62 more8 hr
Jan 28, 9:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 20 more2 hr
Jan 29, 12:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden and 27 more84 min
Jan 29, 5:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade and 10 more94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2013Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2013Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.