Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2013
Tornado Watch 9
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 29, 2013, 12:35 PM CST for 12 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Illinois; 38 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 29, 2013, 12:35 PM CST (18:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 29, 2013, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 61 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 12:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 1:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery | 39 min |
| Jan 29, 1:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Montgomery | 25 min |
| Jan 29, 1:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Pike | 40 min |
| Jan 29, 2:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Osage | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 2:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Warren | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 3:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Warren | 33 min |
| Jan 29, 3:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Saint Charles | 30 min |
| Jan 29, 3:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Greene, Jersey | 33 min |
| Jan 29, 4:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 4:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 4:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Douglas, Ozark, Taney | 39 min |
| Jan 29, 4:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 20 min |
| Jan 29, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 34 min |
| Jan 29, 5:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton, Pope | 38 min |
| Jan 29, 5:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark | 47 min |
| Jan 29, 5:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 46 min |
| Jan 29, 5:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas | 51 min |
| Jan 29, 6:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pope, Searcy | 37 min |
| Jan 29, 6:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren and 1 more | 23 min |
| Jan 29, 6:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren | 29 min |
| Jan 29, 6:48 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 6:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Pope, Yell | 37 min |
| Jan 29, 7:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Searcy and 3 more | 45 min |
| Jan 29, 7:55 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Marion, Searcy and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 29, 7:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp and 3 more | 48 min |
| Jan 29, 7:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Conway, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell | 33 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 285 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 728 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 257 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 224 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
543
WWUS20 KWNS 291836
SEL9
SPC WW 291836
ARZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-300200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH OF HARRISON
ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF SAINT LOUIS MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6...WW 7...WW 8...
DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD
ACROSS CENTRAL MO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WHILE ADDITIONAL STORMS
FORM AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM NW AR INTO SRN MO. THOUGH INSTABILITY
WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...VERY STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE BOTH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS AND SOME
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
A FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 7:26 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 10 hr |
| Jan 29, 9:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River and 9 more | 119 min |
| Jan 29, 10:59 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Johnson, Little River, Logan and 9 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 29, 11:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 55 min |
| Jan 29, 11:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Newton and 3 more | 96 min |
| Jan 29, 1:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 56 min |
| Jan 29, 2:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Little River, Logan, Polk, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 29, 3:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Crawford and 12 more | 89 min |
| Jan 29, 4:37 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 29, 4:58 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 47 more | 92 min |
| Jan 29, 5:37 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 62 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 28, 9:59 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 29, 12:51 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell, Camden and 27 more | 84 min |
| Jan 29, 5:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade and 10 more | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2013Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2013Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.