Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 660
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 12, 2012, 5:22 PM MDT for 7 counties in New Mexico; 31 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 12, 2012, 5:22 PM MDT (23:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 13, 2012, 1:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 5:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro, Hale, Swisher | 39 min |
| Oct 12, 5:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Floyd, Hale | 38 min |
| Oct 12, 6:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 40 min |
| Oct 12, 6:05 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Floyd, Hale | 25 min |
| Oct 12, 6:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Swisher | 23 min |
| Oct 12, 6:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Briscoe, Floyd, Hale, Swisher | 50 min |
| Oct 12, 6:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Randall | 33 min |
| Oct 12, 6:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, De Baca, Roosevelt | 58 min |
| Oct 12, 6:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Swisher | 55 min |
| Oct 12, 6:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 32 min |
| Oct 12, 7:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Gray, Hutchinson, Roberts | 39 min |
| Oct 12, 7:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 66 min |
| Oct 12, 7:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Curry, Roosevelt | 35 min |
| Oct 12, 7:48 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 27 min |
| Oct 12, 8:24 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 36 min |
| Oct 12, 8:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 25 min |
| Oct 12, 9:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Yoakum | 29 min |
| Oct 12, 9:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Hockley, Terry, Yoakum | 27 min |
| Oct 12, 9:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Hockley, Terry, Yoakum | 31 min |
| Oct 12, 10:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Harding, Quay | 47 min |
| Oct 12, 11:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Curry, Quay | 55 min |
| Oct 13, 12:51 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Curry, Quay | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1935 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -142 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 708 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 196 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 92 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 2.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
369
WWUS20 KWNS 122325
SEL0
SPC WW 122325
NMZ000-TXZ000-130700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 660
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT FRI OCT 12 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NM NEW MEXICO
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
CARLSBAD NEW MEXICO TO 25 MILES NORTH OF AMARILLO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THIS EVENING ACROSS EASTERN NM AND MUCH OF WEST/NORTHWEST
TX. A SEASONALLY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...IN
THE PRESENCE OF STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR...WILL SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. A TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST AS
WELL THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY/MID EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHEAST NM/TX PANHANDLE...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN AFTER DARK.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...GUYERSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2:19 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Eddy, Lea, Roosevelt | 86 min |
| Oct 12, 10:49 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | McKinley, San Juan | 86 min |
| Oct 12, 12:03 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bernalillo, Los Alamos, Mora, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Miguel and 4 more | 87 min |
| Oct 12, 4:50 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Curry, Eddy, Lea, Quay, Roosevelt | 85 min |
| Oct 12, 4:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Cottle, Hardeman | 53 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.