Alert archive / Colorado / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 2036

October 12, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 12, 2012, 9:49 AM MST for 4 states. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2012, 9:49 AM MST (16:49 UTC)
Expired
Oct 12, 2012, 11:15 AM MST
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Apache County, AZ, Dolores County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, McKinley County, NM, San Juan County, NM, San Juan County, UT

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 306 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2012-10-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 21 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2012-10-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
21 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-166 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1668 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
205 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 12, 1:19 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCApache, Navajo116 min
Oct 12, 2:52 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCApache, Navajo113 min
Oct 12, 1:19 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Eddy, Lea, Roosevelt86 min
Oct 12, 11:03 AM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBernalillo, Los Alamos, Mora, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Miguel and 4 more87 min
Oct 12, 3:50 PM MSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCurry, Eddy, Lea, Quay, Roosevelt85 min
Oct 12, 4:22 PM MSTTornado WatchSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Lea, Quay and 1 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Arizona, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.