Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 734

May 6, 201238 counties in Illinois; Lee County, Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 6, 2012, 3:56 PM CDT for 38 counties in Illinois; Lee County, Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2012, 3:56 PM CDT (20:56 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 70 counties

Lee County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Warren County, IL, Will County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 168 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2361 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2361 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
9.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

519 
ACUS11 KWNS 062056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062056 
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-062200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0734
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IL TO NRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 258...

VALID 062056Z - 062200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 258
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN EXPANDING CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD
ACROSS NRN IL INTO NWRN IND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  OTHER ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST SWWD INTO MO AS WELL.

DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS HAVE EVOLVED ALONG
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS DRAPED ACROSS NRN IL...AT TIMES SEVERAL OF
THESE STRUCTURES HAVE EXHIBITED SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS.  EVEN SO
STORM MERGERS ARE RESULTING IN AN EXPANDING CORRIDOR OF CONVECTION
THAT COULD EVOLVE INTO AN MCS.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD/DEVELOP
SLOWLY ESEWD INTO EXTREME NWRN IND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

FARTHER SW...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE OUTFLOW ACROSS NRN MO.

..DARROW.. 05/06/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON   40039414 41858759 40138758 38299413 40039414

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 8:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox and 12 more65 min
May 6, 9:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Carroll, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 11 more4 hr
May 6, 1:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Fulton, Grundy, Hancock and 20 more53 min
May 6, 1:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Cook and 35 more7 hr
May 6, 5:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Edgar, Iroquois, Vermilion53 min
May 5, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Ida, Lyon and 6 more7 hr
May 5, 11:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon89 min
May 6, 2:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson and 17 more63 min
May 6, 4:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Guthrie and 8 more2 hr
May 6, 7:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Clarke, Dallas, Davis and 16 more6 hr
May 6, 2:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPlatte95 min
May 6, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Bates, Buchanan, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 10 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.