Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255

May 6, 201222 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 6, 2012, 7:17 AM CDT for 22 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2012, 7:17 AM CDT (12:17 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2012, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 22 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 7:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Dallas, Guthrie, Madison31 min
May 6, 7:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Polk46 min
May 6, 8:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marion, Polk, Warren48 min
May 6, 9:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marion42 min
May 6, 9:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marion48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -415 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
880 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-415 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

575 
WWUS20 KWNS 061220
SEL5  
SPC WW 061220
IAZ000-061800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 255
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
720 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHERN IOWA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 720 AM UNTIL 100
PM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF DES MOINES IOWA TO 25 MILES EAST OF LAMONI IOWA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...OVERNIGHT TSTM N-S BAND OVER THE LWR MO VLY...WITH
SPORADIC STRONGER STORMS...RECENTLY HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER
ORGANIZED ACROSS SW IA...MOST LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO ACTIVITY HAVING
REACHED ZONE OF GREATER LOW LVL MOISTURE /PW AOA 1.25 INCHES/. 
ORIENTATION OF THE SQLN LINE RELATIVE TO SELY SFC FLOW...AND ONSET
OF SFC HEATING...SUGGEST POSSIBILITY FOR A CONTINUED INCREASE IN
STORM STRENGTH/SUSTENANCE THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING...WITH AN
ATTENDANT INCREASED RISK FOR DMGG WIND/SVR HAIL DESPITE MODEST DEEP
SHEAR.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Ida, Lyon and 6 more7 hr
May 5, 11:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon89 min
May 6, 2:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson and 17 more63 min
May 6, 4:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Guthrie and 8 more2 hr
May 6, 8:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Clinton, Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson and 9 more65 min
May 6, 9:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Cedar, Clinton, Des Moines, Henry, Iowa and 12 more4 hr
May 6, 1:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDes Moines, Henry, Lee, Louisa, Van Buren7 hr
May 6, 3:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.