Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 698

May 4, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 4, 2012, 3:52 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2012, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2012, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 66 counties

Buena Vista County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Sac County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Rice County, MN, Rock County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Antelope County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Holt County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Rock County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2705 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2705 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
584 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

752 
ACUS11 KWNS 042052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042052 
MNZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-042145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0698
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT FRI MAY 04 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN SD...NERN NEB...SRN MN...NRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 239...

VALID 042052Z - 042145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 239
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM
SCNTRL MN...SWWD INTO NERN NEB INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS REJUVENATED ALONG SRN FLANK OF
LONGER-LIVED MCS AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION. 
ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT COMPLEX...A FEW SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED ALONG A
WEAK BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHES FROM THE MN/IA BORDER...SWWD INTO
EXTREME NERN NEB.  GIVEN THE AXIS OF INSTABILITY THAT EXISTS ALONG
THIS CORRIDOR IT APPEARS THE ONGOING CONVECTION WILL MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY AS IT MOVES ACROSS CNTRL PORTIONS OF WW239.  WHILE A FEW
OF THE SUPERCELLS ALONG THE MN/IA BORDER HAVE PRODUCED ISOLATED
TORNADOES...LATEST THINKING IS THE COMPLEX STORM INTERACTIONS AND
THE PROPENSITY FOR UPWARD LINEAR EVOLUTION WILL LIMIT FUTURE
TORNADIC POTENTIAL.

..DARROW.. 05/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...UNR...

LAT...LON   43409955 44569305 42689306 41539955 43409955

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Cedar, Clarke and 23 more6 hr
May 3, 11:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Cedar, Clarke and 23 more27 min
May 4, 12:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDes Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren4 hr
May 4, 2:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Decatur, Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson and 9 more119 min
May 4, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Ida and 7 more25 min
May 4, 2:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Clay and 23 more9 hr
May 4, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 66 more29 min
May 4, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 2 more5 hr
May 4, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 22 more3 hr
May 4, 6:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Cedar, Dixon, Holt, Keya Paha and 5 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.