Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1959

September 18, 20125 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 18, 2012, 11:14 AM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 18, 2012, 11:14 AM EDT (15:14 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2012, 12:45 PM EDT
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 45 counties

New Castle County, DE, Cecil County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 224 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
267 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC34 min
Sep 18, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region8 hr
Sep 18, 4:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Sep 18, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 18, 7:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Sep 18, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region6 hr
Sep 18, 11:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle86 min
Sep 18, 12:10 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex9 hr
Sep 18, 1:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex64 min
Sep 18, 6:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, Sussex67 min
Sep 18, 6:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, Sussex30 min
Sep 18, 8:49 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 8 more116 min
Sep 18, 10:54 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Dorchester and 11 more9 hr
Sep 18, 1:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Dorchester and 10 more63 min
Sep 18, 3:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Charles, Dorchester, Howard and 7 more113 min
Sep 18, 12:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia, Cortland and 11 more93 min
Sep 18, 1:21 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Madison, Oneida and 4 more5 hr
Sep 18, 2:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer and 6 more95 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.