Alert archive / Massachusetts / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 647

September 18, 2012Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 13 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 18, 2012, 7:54 PM EDT for Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 13 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 18, 2012, 7:54 PM EDT (23:54 UTC)
Expired
Sep 19, 2012, 2:07 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region57 min
Sep 18, 9:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region59 min
Sep 18, 10:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region59 min
Sep 18, 11:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 224 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
267 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 11:14 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Sep 18, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC34 min
Sep 18, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region8 hr
Sep 18, 4:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Sep 18, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 18, 7:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Rhode Island, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.