Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Topeka, KS

818 
WWUS53 KTOP 210145
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
845 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

KSC131-210155-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-110621T0200Z/
NEMAHA-
845 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEMAHA COUNTY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...

THE STRONGEST PART OF THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAD MOVED OUT OF THE 
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3999 9545 3965 9542 3965 9556 3942 9556
      3942 9559 3940 9559 3929 9578 3975 9579
      3980 9569 4000 9570
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 235DEG 36KT 4003 9564 3938 9567

$$

KSC013-085-210200-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-110621T0200Z/
JACKSON-BROWN-
845 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR BROWN AND EASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES...

AT 843 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FALLS CITY TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
HOLTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DENISON...WHITING...RESERVE...HIAWATHA...HORTON...WILLIS AND EVEREST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED
ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AS
WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3999 9545 3965 9542 3965 9556 3942 9556
      3942 9559 3940 9559 3929 9578 3975 9579
      3980 9569 4000 9570
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 235DEG 36KT 4003 9564 3938 9567
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

PHILLIPS

603 
WWUS53 KTOP 210201
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
901 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

KSC013-085-210211-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-110621T0200Z/
JACKSON-BROWN-
901 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BROWN AND EASTERN JACKSON
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

AT 901 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS EXPIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE 
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH EASTERN 
JACKSON AND EASTERN BROWN COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3999 9545 3965 9542 3965 9556 3942 9556
      3942 9559 3940 9559 3929 9578 3975 9579
      3980 9569 4000 9570
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 235DEG 36KT 4003 9564 3938 9567

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

LATEST ANALYSIS HAD SURFACE LOW NEAR RUSSEL WITH A DRY LINE
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA TO NEAR ELLSWORTH. A LINE OF
ELEVATED SHOWERS HAD DEVELOPED ABOVE THE CAPPING INVERSION EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS UPPER LOW BEGINNING TO TAKE A
NEGATIVE TILT AS IT MOVES ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. DRY LINE WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING. STARTING TO GET
INITIATION OFF THE DRY LINE IN THE WESTERN CWA NEAR MCPHERSON. 0-6KM
SHEAR 40 TO 50 KTS AND WILL INCREASE AS THE UPPER LOW PROGRESSES
EASTWARD. LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO STEEPEN AS WELL. DOWNDRAFT
CAPE AVERAGING AROUND 1000-17000 J/KG. LCL HEIGHTS WERE AVERAGING
BETWEEN 1200 TO 1500 METERS. FORCING FOR ASCENT AND CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE DRY LINE WILL CONTINUE TO TOUCH OFF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. INCREASING SHEAR WILL KEEP A TORNADO THREAT. STORMS
WILL BE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS INITIALLY THEN FORMING INTO A LINE WITH
BOWING SEGMENTS.

WINDS IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS SHOULD ABATE THIS EVENING AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA SO WILL LIKELY BE
ABLE TO HAVE THE WIND ADVISORY EXPIRE AROUND 00Z.

OVERNIGHT THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AS DRYLINE SPREADS
NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MO.

ON TUESDAY WRAP AROUND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA THEN INTO NORTHWEST IOWA IN THE AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
CWA. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO THE MID 80S. 53

AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...CANNOT RULE OUT
A SHOWER POSSIBILITY IN THE FAR NORTHEAST COUNTY WARNING (CWA) AS
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO WRAP IN BEHIND IT. HOWEVER...STILL FEEL THE
POTENTIAL IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT A POP AND CONTINUED A DRY
FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH DRIER AIR AND DECREASING
CLOUDS MOST AREAS TUESDAY NIGHT...IT WILL BE A COOLER NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND AND
MOST CLOUDS MAINLY CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE
CWA...HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTHEAST TO THE MIDDLE
80S IN THE ABILENE AND EMPORIA AREAS. AFTER ONE MORE NIGHT IN THE
UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WEDNESDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE THURSDAY AS UPSTREAM UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TAKES
PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. HIGHS
THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE 80S WITH THE 80S AND A FEW LOW 90S THE RULE
ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF
WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES TO MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES AND INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS REGION. AT THE SAME TIME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
ALSO RETURN FROM THE SOUTH AND  POOL ACROSS THE AREA. THIS UNSETTLED
PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF EACH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. 63

&&

.AVIATION...

LINE OF CONVECTION WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING.
OF FIRST CONCERN WILL BE MHK FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE
PERIOD. LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH MHK WITH WIND GUSTS OVER
50 KTS POSSIBLE AS WELL AS HAIL. THIS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE
TOP AND FOE AREAS AFTER 01Z AS THE LINE ACCELERATES. MVFR GIGS AND
VSBYS EXPECTED WITH THE CONVECTION AND BRIEFLY DOWN TO IFR VSBYS
WILL BE COMMON. AFTER LINE MOVES THROUGH VFR EXPECTED BUT STRATUS
WILL WRAP BACK INTO THE SITES BUT REMAINING VFR.

53

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
341 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-212045-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
341 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE STRONG TO
SEVERE. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE.

STRONG WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
UNTIL EARLY EVENING WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
751 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARYSVILLE              39.84N 96.65W
06/20/2011                   MARSHALL           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            4 LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
756 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0752 PM     TSTM WND GST     AMERICUS                38.51N 96.26W
06/20/2011  E50 MPH          LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
802 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW BAILEYVILLE        39.79N 96.25W
06/20/2011  E65 MPH          MARSHALL           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
807 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

KSZ038-039-054-055-058-210130-
COFFEY-LYON-OSAGE-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-
807 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHAWNEE...WESTERN OSAGE...LYON...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND EASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTIES...

THROUGH 830 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT
40 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF SHAWNEE...WESTERN OSAGE...LYON...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND EASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. WIND
GUSTS WILL ARRIVE BEFORE THE RAIN BEGINS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE DOVER...OLPE...SILVER
LAKE...HARVEYVILLE...READING...AUBURN...NEOSHO RAPIDS...BURLINGAME...
SOUTHWESTERN TOPEKA...HARTFORD...OSAGE CITY...JOHN REDMOND
RESERVOIR...MELVERN LAKE...COFFEY COUNTY AIRPORT...BILLARD AIRPORT...
FORBES FIELD...BETO JUNCTION...NEW
STRAWN...BERRYTON...PAULINE...SCRANTON...OLIVET...LYNDON...LEBO...CAR
BONDALE AND BURLINGTON. MOTORISTS ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 117 AND 182 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG
INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 128 AND 157 COULD ALSO BE
AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 330 AND
355 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 9635 3836 9636 3919 9623 3917 9606
      3916 9606 3916 9609 3915 9609 3914 9604
      3913 9604 3917 9603 3913 9559 3816 9573
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 283DEG 33KT 3906 9596 3830 9623

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
809 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     TSTM WND GST     S CORNING               39.66N 96.03W
06/20/2011  E50 MPH          NEMAHA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
811 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 PM     TSTM WND GST     AMERICUS                38.51N 96.26W
06/20/2011  E55 MPH          LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.50 INCH HAIL ALSO IN THE REPORT.

&&

JB