Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Topeka, KS

June 20, 20115 counties in Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 20, 2011, 8:07 PM CDT for 5 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 20, 2011, 8:07 PM CDT (01:07 UTC)
Expired: Jun 20, 2011, 8:30 PM CDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Topeka, KS

Counties Coffey County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Osage County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2898 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1426 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 156 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.9
Supercell composite: 5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 20, 6:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 6:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

LATEST ANALYSIS HAD SURFACE LOW NEAR RUSSEL WITH A DRY LINE
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA TO NEAR ELLSWORTH. A LINE OF
ELEVATED SHOWERS HAD DEVELOPED ABOVE THE CAPPING INVERSION EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS UPPER LOW BEGINNING TO TAKE A
NEGATIVE TILT AS IT MOVES ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. DRY LINE WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING. STARTING TO GET
INITIATION OFF THE DRY LINE IN THE WESTERN CWA NEAR MCPHERSON. 0-6KM
SHEAR 40 TO 50 KTS AND WILL INCREASE AS THE UPPER LOW PROGRESSES
EASTWARD. LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO STEEPEN AS WELL. DOWNDRAFT
CAPE AVERAGING AROUND 1000-17000 J/KG. LCL HEIGHTS WERE AVERAGING
BETWEEN 1200 TO 1500 METERS. FORCING FOR ASCENT AND CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE DRY LINE WILL CONTINUE TO TOUCH OFF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. INCREASING SHEAR WILL KEEP A TORNADO THREAT. STORMS
WILL BE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS INITIALLY THEN FORMING INTO A LINE WITH
BOWING SEGMENTS.

WINDS IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS SHOULD ABATE THIS EVENING AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA SO WILL LIKELY BE
ABLE TO HAVE THE WIND ADVISORY EXPIRE AROUND 00Z.

OVERNIGHT THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AS DRYLINE SPREADS
NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MO.

ON TUESDAY WRAP AROUND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEBRASKA THEN INTO NORTHWEST IOWA IN THE AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
CWA. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH LOWER HUMIDITY. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO THE MID 80S. 53

AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...CANNOT RULE OUT
A SHOWER POSSIBILITY IN THE FAR NORTHEAST COUNTY WARNING (CWA) AS
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO WRAP IN BEHIND IT. HOWEVER...STILL FEEL THE
POTENTIAL IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT A POP AND CONTINUED A DRY
FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH DRIER AIR AND DECREASING
CLOUDS MOST AREAS TUESDAY NIGHT...IT WILL BE A COOLER NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND AND
MOST CLOUDS MAINLY CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE
CWA...HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTHEAST TO THE MIDDLE
80S IN THE ABILENE AND EMPORIA AREAS. AFTER ONE MORE NIGHT IN THE
UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S WEDNESDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE THURSDAY AS UPSTREAM UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TAKES
PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS REGION. HIGHS
THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE 80S WITH THE 80S AND A FEW LOW 90S THE RULE
ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF
WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES TO MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES AND INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS REGION. AT THE SAME TIME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
ALSO RETURN FROM THE SOUTH AND  POOL ACROSS THE AREA. THIS UNSETTLED
PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF EACH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. 63

&&

.AVIATION...

LINE OF CONVECTION WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING.
OF FIRST CONCERN WILL BE MHK FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE
PERIOD. LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH MHK WITH WIND GUSTS OVER
50 KTS POSSIBLE AS WELL AS HAIL. THIS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE
TOP AND FOE AREAS AFTER 01Z AS THE LINE ACCELERATES. MVFR GIGS AND
VSBYS EXPECTED WITH THE CONVECTION AND BRIEFLY DOWN TO IFR VSBYS
WILL BE COMMON. AFTER LINE MOVES THROUGH VFR EXPECTED BUT STRATUS
WILL WRAP BACK INTO THE SITES BUT REMAINING VFR.

53

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 20, 3:41 PM CDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
341 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-212045-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
341 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE STRONG TO
SEVERE. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE.

STRONG WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
UNTIL EARLY EVENING WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 20, 7:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
705 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BURDICK                 38.56N 96.85W
06/20/2011                   MORRIS             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            3 TO 4 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jun 20, 7:13 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
713 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NW MANHATTAN          39.21N 96.61W
06/20/2011  E58 MPH          RILEY              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Jun 20, 7:51 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
751 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARYSVILLE              39.84N 96.65W
06/20/2011                   MARSHALL           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            4 LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MRC

Local storm report, Jun 20, 7:56 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
756 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0752 PM     TSTM WND GST     AMERICUS                38.51N 96.26W
06/20/2011  E50 MPH          LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JB

Local storm report, Jun 20, 8:02 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
802 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW BAILEYVILLE        39.79N 96.25W
06/20/2011  E65 MPH          MARSHALL           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JB

Special weather statement, Jun 20, 8:07 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
807 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

KSZ038-039-054-055-058-210130-
COFFEY-LYON-OSAGE-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-
807 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHAWNEE...WESTERN OSAGE...LYON...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND EASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTIES...

THROUGH 830 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT
40 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF SHAWNEE...WESTERN OSAGE...LYON...
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY AND EASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. WIND
GUSTS WILL ARRIVE BEFORE THE RAIN BEGINS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE DOVER...OLPE...SILVER
LAKE...HARVEYVILLE...READING...AUBURN...NEOSHO RAPIDS...BURLINGAME...
SOUTHWESTERN TOPEKA...HARTFORD...OSAGE CITY...JOHN REDMOND
RESERVOIR...MELVERN LAKE...COFFEY COUNTY AIRPORT...BILLARD AIRPORT...
FORBES FIELD...BETO JUNCTION...NEW
STRAWN...BERRYTON...PAULINE...SCRANTON...OLIVET...LYNDON...LEBO...CAR
BONDALE AND BURLINGTON. MOTORISTS ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 117 AND 182 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG
INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 128 AND 157 COULD ALSO BE
AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 330 AND
355 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 9635 3836 9636 3919 9623 3917 9606
      3916 9606 3916 9609 3915 9609 3914 9604
      3913 9604 3917 9603 3913 9559 3816 9573
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 283DEG 33KT 3906 9596 3830 9623

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 20, 7:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Geary, Morris, Wabaunsee	40 min
Jun 20, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Lyon, Morris, Riley, Wabaunsee	48 min
Jun 20, 7:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie	45 min
Jun 20, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Jackson, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Shawnee	46 min
Jun 20, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Brown, Nemaha	43 min
Jun 20, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Brown, Jackson, Nemaha	42 min
Jun 20, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TOP	Coffey, Lyon, Osage, Shawnee	33 min
Jun 20, 8:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Coffey, Osage	44 min
Jun 20, 8:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Osage, Shawnee	38 min
Jun 20, 9:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TOP	Anderson, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson	22 min
Jun 20, 9:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TOP	Anderson, Franklin	31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.