Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 594

July 4, 201147 counties in North Carolina; 21 counties in Tennessee; 41 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2011, 12:50 PM EDT for 47 counties in North Carolina; 21 counties in Tennessee; 41 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2011, 12:50 PM EDT (16:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2011, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 109 counties

Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Anson County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Polk County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Union County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Blount County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Roane County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Norton, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Lee County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Wythe County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 12:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea, Roane67 min
Jul 4, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany56 min
Jul 4, 1:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Transylvania65 min
Jul 4, 1:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAshe, Watauga63 min
Jul 4, 1:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Madison, Yancey55 min
Jul 4, 1:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLoudon, Morgan, Roane66 min
Jul 4, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKTazewell53 min
Jul 4, 2:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMadison, Yancey39 min
Jul 4, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPJackson, Transylvania50 min
Jul 4, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKSmyth, Tazewell62 min
Jul 4, 2:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Craig63 min
Jul 4, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Loudon, Monroe65 min
Jul 4, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson31 min
Jul 4, 2:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFranklin, Henry5 hr
Jul 4, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKWilkes64 min
Jul 4, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBotetourt, Craig, Roanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem48 min
Jul 4, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXSullivan31 min
Jul 4, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson60 min
Jul 4, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Franklin, Roanoke54 min
Jul 4, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell49 min
Jul 4, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania65 min
Jul 4, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Surry, Wilkes57 min
Jul 4, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCaldwell40 min
Jul 4, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCharlotte55 min
Jul 4, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington54 min
Jul 4, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Iredell66 min
Jul 4, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKSurry, Yadkin29 min
Jul 4, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Burke, Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln67 min
Jul 4, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax65 min
Jul 4, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHForsyth57 min
Jul 4, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Stokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin57 min
Jul 4, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Gaston, Lincoln66 min
Jul 4, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Gaston63 min
Jul 4, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Buckingham59 min
Jul 4, 4:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes, Surry, Yadkin26 min
Jul 4, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville52 min
Jul 4, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCharlotte26 min
Jul 4, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes, Surry58 min
Jul 4, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth39 min
Jul 4, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham59 min
Jul 4, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, Union55 min
Jul 4, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Guilford60 min
Jul 4, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham28 min
Jul 4, 6:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson42 min
Jul 4, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHStanly50 min
Jul 4, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGuilford, Montgomery, Randolph54 min
Jul 4, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Durham, Orange19 min
Jul 4, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Richmond51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 880 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
880 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1130 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 12:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Harlan, Knott, Knox, Laurel and 8 more95 min
Jul 4, 2:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chatham, Chowan, Currituck, Durham and 18 more6 hr
Jul 4, 6:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden and 41 more61 min
Jul 4, 1:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester, Fayette, Hardeman, Hardin, Haywood, Henderson and 4 more53 min
Jul 3, 8:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAccomack, Caroline, Charles City, Essex, Hanover, Henrico and 13 more64 min
Jul 4, 1:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Augusta, Bath, Clarke, Frederick, Highland and 9 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.