Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Raleigh, NC

226 
WWUS52 KRAH 042050
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
450 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCC067-042130-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0210.000000T0000Z-110704T2130Z/
FORSYTH NC-
450 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT
FOR FORSYTH COUNTY...

AT 443 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
DONNAHA...OR NEAR EAST BEND...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... 
LEWISVILLE...PFAFFTOWN...RURAL HALL...STANLEYVILLE...AND THE NORTH 
SIDE OF WINSTON-SALEM.

THE STORM WAS ALSO PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING. ONE CLOUD TO GROUND 
STRIKE WAS OCCURRING ABOUT EVERY FIVE SECONDS. 

SEVERE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND CAN DAMAGE 
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE 
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AROUND THE TRIAD.

LAT...LON 3611 8051 3614 8044 3621 8045 3623 8044
      3626 8046 3626 8004 3621 8003 3605 8005
      3605 8047 3606 8047 3605 8047 3605 8051
      3609 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 269DEG 16KT 3622 8043

$$

DJF

425 
WWUS52 KRAH 042106
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
506 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCC067-042130-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0210.000000T0000Z-110704T2130Z/
FORSYTH NC-
506 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT
FOR FORSYTH COUNTY...

AT 503 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PFAFFTOWN...OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF KING...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... RURAL HALL...
STANLEYVILLE...AND WINSTON-SALEM.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE TRIAD 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3611 8051 3614 8044 3621 8045 3623 8044
      3626 8046 3626 8004 3621 8003 3605 8005
      3605 8047 3606 8047 3605 8047 3605 8051
      3609 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 276DEG 26KT 3617 8034

$$

DJF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
305 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL THROUGH
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH MID WEEK... BRINGING
INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM MONDAY...

THROUGH TONIGHT: OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
FORECAST RECENTLY UPDATED AND TWEAKED FOR NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES IN THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT/NRN COASTAL PLAIN... EFFECTIVE
UNTIL 8 PM WEST AND 10 PM EAST THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT
ACCORDING TO SURFACE ANALYSES STILL STRETCHES ACROSS THE MASON DIXON
LINE AND OH/IN... WITH A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH FROM SW VA THROUGH
EASTERN TN... ALONG AN OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER CONVECTION AND SUPPORTED
ALOFT BY DPVA GENERATED BY AN MCV FROM LAST EVENING'S STORMS OVER
WESTERN MO. DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN ARE RAPIDLY
MULTIPLYING AND WILL MOVE WESTWARD INTO THE WATCH AREAS OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO... POTENTIALLY ORGANIZING INTO SHORT BOWING
SEGMENTS. MLCAPE IS ALREADY 2500-3000 J/KG IN THE NW CWA AND
CLIMBING WITH AN UNCAPPED COLUMN... AND DOWNDRAFT CAPE OVER 1000
J/KG WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICTED AN INVERTED-V SIGNAL IN THE
LOW LEVELS SUPPORTS A DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND THREAT... AS WELL AS A
SLIGHTLY LESSER LARGE HAIL RISK GIVEN THE -10C TO -30C LAYER CAPE
NEAR 800 J/KG. THE REST OF THE PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN
CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH IMPROVING EFFECTIVE SHEAR TO NEAR 25
KTS... THUS CONVECTION SHOULD BE SUSTAINED WELL INTO THE EVENING AS
IT HEADS EASTWARD. HAVE RAISED POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
CWA THROUGH THE EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MARGINAL
ELEVATED INSTABILITY LASTING OVERNIGHT WITH SOUPY AIR IN THE LOW
LEVELS... WILL KEEP A MENTION OF ISOLATED STORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS
69-73.

FOR TUESDAY: MID-UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS WILL PERSIST JUST TO OUR NW
WITH WEAK TROUGHING HOLDING AT THE SURFACE. PRECIP WATER VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO HOLD AT 1.5 TO NEAR 2 INCHES... AND WITH MLCAPE ONCE
AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG... EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS. WITH THE DEEP WARM LAYER AND
ANTICIPATED SLOW STORM MOVEMENT... HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN A THREAT.
HIGHS 89-94. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 205 PM...

VERY WEAK NEAR SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TUESDAY EVENING OVER
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA IN A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN. HINTS ON SOME
MODELS OF FLOW BEING MILDLY DIVERGENT AT THE SURFACE... AND AT THE
LEAST... QUITE WEAK. MODEL CONSENSUS IS PRECIPITABLE WATERS ACROSS
THE AREA IN EXCESS OF 1.75 INCHES AND DO EXPECT A NOCTURNAL LOW
LEVEL JET TO DEVELOP TOWARD MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY A BAGGY TROUGH
NEAR OR WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL PROVIDE SOME SYNOPTIC NEAR
SURFACE CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE LIKELY TO DROP OFF
WITH LOSS OF HEATING FOR TUESDAY EVENING THEN PICK UP A BIT TOWARD
MIDNIGHT AND TO DAWN AS DYNAMICS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE.
FIFTY/THIRTY RAIN CHANCES NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FOR THE EVENING
THEN FORTY PERCENT POPS NORTHWEST SLIDING TO TWENTY PERCENT
SOUTHEAST FOR THE LATE NIGHT. A MILD MUGGY NIGHT EXPECTED WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED TROUGH RELATIVELY STATIC THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AND PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINS HIGH. A CONSTANT MOISTURE FEED FROM
THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WITH 3000 FEET WINDS IN THE FIFTEEN TO
TWENTY-FIVE KNOT RANGE SUGGEST RAIN CHANCES OF AT LEAST 50 PERCENT
DURING THE AFTERNOONS... AND PERHAPS TWICE THAT. SEVERE THREAT TINY
TO NIL IN THIS ENVIRONMENT. FIND IT DIFFICULT TO BELIEVE THAT ANYONE
WILL AVOID GETTING MEASURABLE RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. MODEL
CONSENSUS IS HEAVIER AMOUNTS NORTH AND WEST THAN ELSEWHERE AND GIVEN
THE PATTERN THIS IS ACCEPTED. A WIDESPREAD ONE INCH OF RAIN NOT
IMPOSSIBLE... WITH THE USUAL HEAVIER AMOUNTS DUE TO PERSISTENT
CONVECTION.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FORECAST WITHOUT CONFIDENCE AS TIMING AND
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL PLAY HAVOC WITH INSOLATION. FAVOR DROPPING
HIGH TEMPERATURES UNDER 90 EXCEPT PERHAPS SOUTHEAST... THOUGH SPOTTY
90S ANYWHERE SUNSHINE IS SUFFICIENTLY STRONG. MID 70S FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES COMMON WITH CONVECTION DROPPING SOME SPOTS TOWARD 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 205 PM...

A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH WHICH HAD LINGERED OVER THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST AND BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER NORTH
CAROLINA FRIDAY. HOWEVER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN HIGH AND
WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INLAND OF AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH...
THOUGH WEAK... IS PERHAPS ALL THAT IS NEEDED WHEN COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING. FIFTY POPS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CONVECTION
DECREASING FRIDAY NIGHT BUT LIKELY TO CONTINUE AT LEAST TO MIDNIGHT.

WEAK EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW SATURDAY WITH THE MID
LEVELS IN TRANSITION THOUGH NOT YET INTO A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN.
WEAK TROUGH ALOFT OVER THE FOOTHILLS WILL PROVIDE MINIMAL CONVECTIVE
SUPPORT. WITH AIR MASS POTENTIALLY DRYING A BIT ALOFT... AFTERNOON
RAIN CHANCES FORTY PERCENT.

AIR MASS FINALLY SIGNIFICANTLY DRYS ALOFT SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A PERHAPS TOO HIGH 30 PERCENT
AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE. WEAK SOUTH FLOW AROUND THE BERMUDA HIGH WITH
SOME WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION MONDAY. CLIMATOLOGY LOOKS GOOD HERE
WITH MONDAY AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES AGAIN 30 PERCENT.

COUNTING ON CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SUPPRESSING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS... FOR HIGHS UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. A
WARMING TREND WITH SUNSHINE... AND HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY LOWER
90S SUNDAY... LOW TO MID 90S MONDAY. ONE MORE MUGGY WARM NIGHT
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES LOW TO MID 70S... THEN UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM MONDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY... HOWEVER A PERIOD
OF INCLEMENT AVIATION CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG
STORMS AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS IS LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN TERMINAL
SITES. A SURFACE FRONT REMAINS STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND WILL EASE
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MID
LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING FROM THE DELMARVA ACROSS VIRGINIA AND
KENTUCKY TONIGHT... AND THE APPROACH OF THIS TROUGH AND FRONT
COMBINED WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WILL SPAWN THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...
AFFECTING INT/GSO AROUND 18Z TO 23Z... AND RDU/RWI 20Z-02Z. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT FAY 23Z TO 06Z BUT ARE LIKELY TO BE WEAKER
AS DEEP LAYER WINDS HERE ARE VERY LIGHT. IN AND NEAR THESE
STORMS... MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES AND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE... WITH A LESSER THREAT OF HAIL FROM MARBLE TO QUARTER
SIZE. OUTSIDE OF THESE STORMS... CEILINGS SHOULD BE VFR ABOVE 4
THOUSAND FEET WITH VFR VISIBILITIES. PATCHY MVFR/IFR FOG AND
SMOKE IS POSSIBLE MAINLY AT FAY/RWI AFTER 06Z THROUGH 13Z TUESDAY
MORNING AS THE LOW LEVELS DECOUPLE... AND THESE SAME LOCATIONS ARE
ALSO LIKELY TO SEE LOW LEVEL JETTING TONIGHT... WITH NEAR SURFACE
WINDS OF 6 TO 10 KNOTS INCREASING QUICKLY TO NEAR 25 KNOTS AT 800
TO 1200 FEET AGL. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RESUME AGAIN BY MID MORNING
TUESDAY... HOWEVER ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY BY MID
AFTERNOON AT ALL SITES.

LOOKING BEYOND 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY... MAINLY (BUT NOT ONLY) IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. ANY STORM COULD PRODUCE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SURFACE
WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH AND MVFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS. PATCHY
MVFR FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH MORNING FROM 08Z-13Z AS WEAK SURFACE
TROUGHING AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE HOLD OVER THE REGION. SLIGHTLY
DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. -GIH

&&

.CLIMATE...
HERE ARE THE TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR JULY 4TH.

RDU (RALEIGH-DURHAM AIRPORT):
JUL 4: RECORD HIGH 99 (2002) - RECORD HIGH MINIMUM 75 (2006)

GSO (GREENSBORO PIEDMONT TRIAD AIRPORT):
JUL 4: RECORD HIGH 98 (1970) - RECORD HIGH MINIMUM 72 (2005)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ007-021>024-038-039-051330-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 594 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE
MAIN THREAT. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
4 PM AND 9 PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ008>011-025>028-040-041-051330-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE
MAIN THREAT. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
4 PM AND 10 PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ073>078-083>086-088-089-051330-
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. A STORM OR
TWO COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.

ALSO... ONGOING WILDFIRES IN BLADEN COUNTY NEAR THE CUMBERLAND
COUNTY LINE AS WELL AS OVER PENDER COUNTY MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF
SMOKE WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY AND LEAD TO POOR AIR QUALITY
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SMOKE IS MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT CUMBERLAND...
SAMPSON... WAYNE... AND WILSON COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ042-043-051330-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE
MAIN THREAT. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
4 PM AND 9 PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

ALSO... ONGOING WILDFIRES IN BLADEN COUNTY NEAR THE CUMBERLAND
COUNTY LINE AS WELL AS OVER PENDER COUNTY MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF
SMOKE WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY AND LEAD TO POOR AIR QUALITY
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SMOKE IS MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT CUMBERLAND...
SAMPSON... WAYNE... AND WILSON COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
353 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ024-042030-
ORANGE-
353 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 430
PM EDT...

AT 353 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
TEER...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HILLSBOROUGH...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...EFLAND...AND
HILLSBOROUGH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING
AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT
OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 7897 3591 7901 3590 7926 3591 7926
      3607 7926 3609 7926 3614 7898
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 261DEG 12KT 3600 7921

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
358 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ011-042030-
HALIFAX-
358 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS HALIFAX COUNTY THROUGH 430
PM EDT...

AT 359 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WELDON...OR ABOUT OVER GARYSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE... RURAL NORTHERN
HALIFAX COUNTY.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PENNY SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.
AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3645 7762 3643 7759 3643 7756 3641 7754
      3637 7754 3634 7758 3632 7758 3630 7765
      3647 7772 3649 7769 3648 7764
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 251DEG 5KT 3642 7758

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
409 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ021-042115-
FORSYTH-
409 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS APPROACHING FORSYTH COUNTY...

AT 408 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14
MILES NORTHWEST OF HUNTSVILLE...OR ABOUT 10 MILES WEST OF EAST
BEND...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...DONNAHA.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HALF INCH DIAMETER SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

THESE ARE BASED ON THE INTENSITY OF THE STORM AT 408 PM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. STAY
TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8051 3614 8044 3627 8044 3626 8003
      3601 8005 3602 8021 3600 8022 3599 8032
      3597 8040 3599 8043 3601 8042 3606 8047
      3604 8049 3605 8051 3609 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 269DEG 7KT 3623 8067

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
429 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ011-042115-
HALIFAX-
429 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS HALIFAX COUNTY THROUGH 515
PM EDT...

AT 427 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
ROSEMARY...OR ABOUT OVER ROANOKE RAPIDS...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ROANOKE
RAPIDS...WELDON...SOUTH WELDON. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL AFFECT OTHER
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN HALIFAX COUNTY...INCLUDING LITTLETON AND THE
INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR BETWEEN MILE MARKER 168 AND THE VIRGINIA
BORDER.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING...PARTICULARLY ON INTERSTATE 95 BETWEEN MILE MARKER 168
AND THE VIRGINIA BORDER.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 7781 3649 7777 3648 7764 3645 7762
      3641 7754 3637 7754 3634 7758 3631 7756
      3633 7744 3629 7741 3627 7740 3620 7743
      3636 7792 3651 7790
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 285DEG 8KT 3644 7769

VINCENT