Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Raleigh, NC

354 
WWUS52 KRAH 042256
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
656 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCC069-127-042345-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-110704T2345Z/
FRANKLIN NC-NASH NC-
656 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR NASH AND EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 654 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SPRING HOPE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LOUISBURG...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...CASTALIA... 
NASHVILLE...RED OAK AND DORTCHES.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3605 7775 3584 7785 3585 7786 3585 7789
      3580 7802 3593 7835 3618 7820
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 293DEG 15KT 3602 7816

$$

VINCENT

786 
WWUS52 KRAH 042317
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
717 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCC069-127-042325-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-110704T2345Z/
FRANKLIN NC-NASH NC-
717 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NASH AND EASTERN FRANKLIN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND SEVERE 
WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL 
CONTINUE TO AFFECT NASH COUNTY THROUGH 800 PM.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3605 7775 3584 7785 3585 7786 3585 7789
      3580 7802 3593 7835 3618 7820
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 293DEG 15KT 3599 7807

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
305 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL THROUGH
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH MID WEEK... BRINGING
INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM MONDAY...

THROUGH TONIGHT: OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
FORECAST RECENTLY UPDATED AND TWEAKED FOR NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES IN THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT/NRN COASTAL PLAIN... EFFECTIVE
UNTIL 8 PM WEST AND 10 PM EAST THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT
ACCORDING TO SURFACE ANALYSES STILL STRETCHES ACROSS THE MASON DIXON
LINE AND OH/IN... WITH A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH FROM SW VA THROUGH
EASTERN TN... ALONG AN OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER CONVECTION AND SUPPORTED
ALOFT BY DPVA GENERATED BY AN MCV FROM LAST EVENING'S STORMS OVER
WESTERN MO. DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN ARE RAPIDLY
MULTIPLYING AND WILL MOVE WESTWARD INTO THE WATCH AREAS OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO... POTENTIALLY ORGANIZING INTO SHORT BOWING
SEGMENTS. MLCAPE IS ALREADY 2500-3000 J/KG IN THE NW CWA AND
CLIMBING WITH AN UNCAPPED COLUMN... AND DOWNDRAFT CAPE OVER 1000
J/KG WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICTED AN INVERTED-V SIGNAL IN THE
LOW LEVELS SUPPORTS A DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND THREAT... AS WELL AS A
SLIGHTLY LESSER LARGE HAIL RISK GIVEN THE -10C TO -30C LAYER CAPE
NEAR 800 J/KG. THE REST OF THE PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN
CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH IMPROVING EFFECTIVE SHEAR TO NEAR 25
KTS... THUS CONVECTION SHOULD BE SUSTAINED WELL INTO THE EVENING AS
IT HEADS EASTWARD. HAVE RAISED POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
CWA THROUGH THE EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MARGINAL
ELEVATED INSTABILITY LASTING OVERNIGHT WITH SOUPY AIR IN THE LOW
LEVELS... WILL KEEP A MENTION OF ISOLATED STORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS
69-73.

FOR TUESDAY: MID-UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS WILL PERSIST JUST TO OUR NW
WITH WEAK TROUGHING HOLDING AT THE SURFACE. PRECIP WATER VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO HOLD AT 1.5 TO NEAR 2 INCHES... AND WITH MLCAPE ONCE
AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG... EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS. WITH THE DEEP WARM LAYER AND
ANTICIPATED SLOW STORM MOVEMENT... HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN A THREAT.
HIGHS 89-94. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 205 PM...

VERY WEAK NEAR SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TUESDAY EVENING OVER
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA IN A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN. HINTS ON SOME
MODELS OF FLOW BEING MILDLY DIVERGENT AT THE SURFACE... AND AT THE
LEAST... QUITE WEAK. MODEL CONSENSUS IS PRECIPITABLE WATERS ACROSS
THE AREA IN EXCESS OF 1.75 INCHES AND DO EXPECT A NOCTURNAL LOW
LEVEL JET TO DEVELOP TOWARD MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY A BAGGY TROUGH
NEAR OR WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL PROVIDE SOME SYNOPTIC NEAR
SURFACE CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE LIKELY TO DROP OFF
WITH LOSS OF HEATING FOR TUESDAY EVENING THEN PICK UP A BIT TOWARD
MIDNIGHT AND TO DAWN AS DYNAMICS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE.
FIFTY/THIRTY RAIN CHANCES NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FOR THE EVENING
THEN FORTY PERCENT POPS NORTHWEST SLIDING TO TWENTY PERCENT
SOUTHEAST FOR THE LATE NIGHT. A MILD MUGGY NIGHT EXPECTED WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED TROUGH RELATIVELY STATIC THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AND PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINS HIGH. A CONSTANT MOISTURE FEED FROM
THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WITH 3000 FEET WINDS IN THE FIFTEEN TO
TWENTY-FIVE KNOT RANGE SUGGEST RAIN CHANCES OF AT LEAST 50 PERCENT
DURING THE AFTERNOONS... AND PERHAPS TWICE THAT. SEVERE THREAT TINY
TO NIL IN THIS ENVIRONMENT. FIND IT DIFFICULT TO BELIEVE THAT ANYONE
WILL AVOID GETTING MEASURABLE RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. MODEL
CONSENSUS IS HEAVIER AMOUNTS NORTH AND WEST THAN ELSEWHERE AND GIVEN
THE PATTERN THIS IS ACCEPTED. A WIDESPREAD ONE INCH OF RAIN NOT
IMPOSSIBLE... WITH THE USUAL HEAVIER AMOUNTS DUE TO PERSISTENT
CONVECTION.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FORECAST WITHOUT CONFIDENCE AS TIMING AND
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL PLAY HAVOC WITH INSOLATION. FAVOR DROPPING
HIGH TEMPERATURES UNDER 90 EXCEPT PERHAPS SOUTHEAST... THOUGH SPOTTY
90S ANYWHERE SUNSHINE IS SUFFICIENTLY STRONG. MID 70S FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES COMMON WITH CONVECTION DROPPING SOME SPOTS TOWARD 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 205 PM...

A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH WHICH HAD LINGERED OVER THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST AND BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER NORTH
CAROLINA FRIDAY. HOWEVER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN HIGH AND
WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INLAND OF AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH...
THOUGH WEAK... IS PERHAPS ALL THAT IS NEEDED WHEN COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING. FIFTY POPS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CONVECTION
DECREASING FRIDAY NIGHT BUT LIKELY TO CONTINUE AT LEAST TO MIDNIGHT.

WEAK EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW SATURDAY WITH THE MID
LEVELS IN TRANSITION THOUGH NOT YET INTO A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN.
WEAK TROUGH ALOFT OVER THE FOOTHILLS WILL PROVIDE MINIMAL CONVECTIVE
SUPPORT. WITH AIR MASS POTENTIALLY DRYING A BIT ALOFT... AFTERNOON
RAIN CHANCES FORTY PERCENT.

AIR MASS FINALLY SIGNIFICANTLY DRYS ALOFT SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A PERHAPS TOO HIGH 30 PERCENT
AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE. WEAK SOUTH FLOW AROUND THE BERMUDA HIGH WITH
SOME WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION MONDAY. CLIMATOLOGY LOOKS GOOD HERE
WITH MONDAY AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES AGAIN 30 PERCENT.

COUNTING ON CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SUPPRESSING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS... FOR HIGHS UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. A
WARMING TREND WITH SUNSHINE... AND HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY LOWER
90S SUNDAY... LOW TO MID 90S MONDAY. ONE MORE MUGGY WARM NIGHT
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES LOW TO MID 70S... THEN UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM MONDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY... HOWEVER A PERIOD
OF INCLEMENT AVIATION CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG
STORMS AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS IS LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN TERMINAL
SITES. A SURFACE FRONT REMAINS STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND WILL EASE
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MID
LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING FROM THE DELMARVA ACROSS VIRGINIA AND
KENTUCKY TONIGHT... AND THE APPROACH OF THIS TROUGH AND FRONT
COMBINED WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WILL SPAWN THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...
AFFECTING INT/GSO AROUND 18Z TO 23Z... AND RDU/RWI 20Z-02Z. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT FAY 23Z TO 06Z BUT ARE LIKELY TO BE WEAKER
AS DEEP LAYER WINDS HERE ARE VERY LIGHT. IN AND NEAR THESE
STORMS... MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES AND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE... WITH A LESSER THREAT OF HAIL FROM MARBLE TO QUARTER
SIZE. OUTSIDE OF THESE STORMS... CEILINGS SHOULD BE VFR ABOVE 4
THOUSAND FEET WITH VFR VISIBILITIES. PATCHY MVFR/IFR FOG AND
SMOKE IS POSSIBLE MAINLY AT FAY/RWI AFTER 06Z THROUGH 13Z TUESDAY
MORNING AS THE LOW LEVELS DECOUPLE... AND THESE SAME LOCATIONS ARE
ALSO LIKELY TO SEE LOW LEVEL JETTING TONIGHT... WITH NEAR SURFACE
WINDS OF 6 TO 10 KNOTS INCREASING QUICKLY TO NEAR 25 KNOTS AT 800
TO 1200 FEET AGL. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RESUME AGAIN BY MID MORNING
TUESDAY... HOWEVER ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY BY MID
AFTERNOON AT ALL SITES.

LOOKING BEYOND 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY... MAINLY (BUT NOT ONLY) IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. ANY STORM COULD PRODUCE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SURFACE
WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH AND MVFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS. PATCHY
MVFR FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH MORNING FROM 08Z-13Z AS WEAK SURFACE
TROUGHING AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE HOLD OVER THE REGION. SLIGHTLY
DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. -GIH

&&

.CLIMATE...
HERE ARE THE TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR JULY 4TH.

RDU (RALEIGH-DURHAM AIRPORT):
JUL 4: RECORD HIGH 99 (2002) - RECORD HIGH MINIMUM 75 (2006)

GSO (GREENSBORO PIEDMONT TRIAD AIRPORT):
JUL 4: RECORD HIGH 98 (1970) - RECORD HIGH MINIMUM 72 (2005)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
606 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ007-021>024-038-039-051800-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
606 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 594 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE WILL BE ALONG
AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE MAIN THREAT.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9
PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ008>011-025>028-040-041-051800-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-
606 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE WILL BE ALONG
AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE MAIN THREAT.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 10
PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ077-078-085-086-088-089-051800-
HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
606 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. A STORM OR
TWO COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.

ALSO... ONGOING WILDFIRES IN BLADEN COUNTY NEAR THE CUMBERLAND
COUNTY LINE AS WELL AS OVER PENDER COUNTY MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF
SMOKE WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY AND LEAD TO POOR AIR QUALITY
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SMOKE IS MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT CUMBERLAND...
SAMPSON... WAYNE... AND WILSON COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ073-074-083-051800-
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON-
606 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 594 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE MAIN THREAT.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9
PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ042-043-075-076-084-051800-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-RICHMOND-
606 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE MAIN THREAT.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9
PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
617 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ024-025-042315-
DURHAM-ORANGE-
617 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS ORANGE AND DURHAM
COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 617 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF DURHAM...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...GORMAN.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. MANY LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. IF
YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A VEHICLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 7881 3607 7879 3607 7875 3603 7875
      3602 7874 3603 7872 3601 7870 3598 7871
      3595 7904 3612 7909 3620 7880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 257DEG 16KT 3606 7895

23

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
624 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NW SOUTH WELDON       36.42N  77.65W
07/04/2011                   HALIFAX            NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            ONE AND A HALF FEET OF WATER ON NC-125 NEAR OLD FARM
            ROAD... ROAD IMPASSABLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100982

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
630 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ARCOLA                  36.28N  77.98W
07/04/2011                   WARREN             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            2 TREES DOWN ON THE ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100983

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
632 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE MCLEANSVILLE       36.07N  79.62W
07/04/2011                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ACROSS EASTER GUILFORD COUNTY

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100984

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
638 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW ROANOKE RAPIDS    36.44N  77.66W
07/04/2011                   HALIFAX            NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON CAR AND POWER LINES ON CHALONER DR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100985

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
643 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEW LONDON              35.45N  80.22W
07/04/2011                   STANLY             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN 52 NORTH AND SOUTH MAIN IN NEW LONDON

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100986

SEC