Severe Thunderstorm Warning 213, NWS Raleigh, NC

593 
WWUS52 KRAH 042154
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
554 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCC057-067-042230-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-110704T2230Z/
DAVIDSON NC-FORSYTH NC-
554 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR FORSYTH AND NORTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTIES...

AT 548 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MIDWAY...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF WINSTON-SALEM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS TO NEAR 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... WELCOME AND
THOMASVILLE.

THE STORM HAD SHOWN SOME SIGNS OF WEAKENING BETWEEN 535 PM AND 545 
PM. IF THE TREND CONTINUES...THE WARNING MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA IN THE TRIAD AREA.

LAT...LON 3584 8047 3584 8043 3586 8042 3585 8039
      3586 8039 3589 8042 3590 8039 3589 8037
      3596 8038 3599 8043 3601 8042 3602 8044
      3626 8040 3625 8003 3583 8005 3582 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 318DEG 20KT 3596 8028

$$

DJF

021 
WWUS52 KRAH 042208 RRA
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
608 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCC057-067-042217-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0213.000000T0000Z-110704T2230Z/
DAVIDSON NC-FORSYTH NC-
608 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR FORSYTH AND NORTHERN DAVIDSON
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE WARNING IS 
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE FORSYTH COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED SCATTERED TREES DOWN DUE TO THE 
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE PFAFFTOWN AND VIENNA AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN 
DRIVING THIS EVENING. AVOID ANY DOWNED POWER LINES. IF YOU SPOT A 
DOWNED LINE...STAY AWAY FROM IT AND CONTACT LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AROUND THE TRIAD.

LAT...LON 3584 8047 3584 8043 3586 8042 3585 8039
      3586 8039 3589 8042 3590 8039 3589 8037
      3596 8038 3599 8043 3601 8042 3602 8044
      3626 8040 3625 8003 3583 8005 3582 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 318DEG 20KT 3590 8022

$$

DJF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
305 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL THROUGH
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH MID WEEK... BRINGING
INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM MONDAY...

THROUGH TONIGHT: OF IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
FORECAST RECENTLY UPDATED AND TWEAKED FOR NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES IN THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT/NRN COASTAL PLAIN... EFFECTIVE
UNTIL 8 PM WEST AND 10 PM EAST THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT
ACCORDING TO SURFACE ANALYSES STILL STRETCHES ACROSS THE MASON DIXON
LINE AND OH/IN... WITH A WELL-DEFINED TROUGH FROM SW VA THROUGH
EASTERN TN... ALONG AN OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER CONVECTION AND SUPPORTED
ALOFT BY DPVA GENERATED BY AN MCV FROM LAST EVENING'S STORMS OVER
WESTERN MO. DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN ARE RAPIDLY
MULTIPLYING AND WILL MOVE WESTWARD INTO THE WATCH AREAS OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO... POTENTIALLY ORGANIZING INTO SHORT BOWING
SEGMENTS. MLCAPE IS ALREADY 2500-3000 J/KG IN THE NW CWA AND
CLIMBING WITH AN UNCAPPED COLUMN... AND DOWNDRAFT CAPE OVER 1000
J/KG WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICTED AN INVERTED-V SIGNAL IN THE
LOW LEVELS SUPPORTS A DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND THREAT... AS WELL AS A
SLIGHTLY LESSER LARGE HAIL RISK GIVEN THE -10C TO -30C LAYER CAPE
NEAR 800 J/KG. THE REST OF THE PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN
CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH IMPROVING EFFECTIVE SHEAR TO NEAR 25
KTS... THUS CONVECTION SHOULD BE SUSTAINED WELL INTO THE EVENING AS
IT HEADS EASTWARD. HAVE RAISED POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
CWA THROUGH THE EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MARGINAL
ELEVATED INSTABILITY LASTING OVERNIGHT WITH SOUPY AIR IN THE LOW
LEVELS... WILL KEEP A MENTION OF ISOLATED STORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS
69-73.

FOR TUESDAY: MID-UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS WILL PERSIST JUST TO OUR NW
WITH WEAK TROUGHING HOLDING AT THE SURFACE. PRECIP WATER VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO HOLD AT 1.5 TO NEAR 2 INCHES... AND WITH MLCAPE ONCE
AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG... EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS. WITH THE DEEP WARM LAYER AND
ANTICIPATED SLOW STORM MOVEMENT... HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN A THREAT.
HIGHS 89-94. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 205 PM...

VERY WEAK NEAR SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TUESDAY EVENING OVER
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA IN A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN. HINTS ON SOME
MODELS OF FLOW BEING MILDLY DIVERGENT AT THE SURFACE... AND AT THE
LEAST... QUITE WEAK. MODEL CONSENSUS IS PRECIPITABLE WATERS ACROSS
THE AREA IN EXCESS OF 1.75 INCHES AND DO EXPECT A NOCTURNAL LOW
LEVEL JET TO DEVELOP TOWARD MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY A BAGGY TROUGH
NEAR OR WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL PROVIDE SOME SYNOPTIC NEAR
SURFACE CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE LIKELY TO DROP OFF
WITH LOSS OF HEATING FOR TUESDAY EVENING THEN PICK UP A BIT TOWARD
MIDNIGHT AND TO DAWN AS DYNAMICS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE.
FIFTY/THIRTY RAIN CHANCES NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FOR THE EVENING
THEN FORTY PERCENT POPS NORTHWEST SLIDING TO TWENTY PERCENT
SOUTHEAST FOR THE LATE NIGHT. A MILD MUGGY NIGHT EXPECTED WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED TROUGH RELATIVELY STATIC THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AND PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINS HIGH. A CONSTANT MOISTURE FEED FROM
THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WITH 3000 FEET WINDS IN THE FIFTEEN TO
TWENTY-FIVE KNOT RANGE SUGGEST RAIN CHANCES OF AT LEAST 50 PERCENT
DURING THE AFTERNOONS... AND PERHAPS TWICE THAT. SEVERE THREAT TINY
TO NIL IN THIS ENVIRONMENT. FIND IT DIFFICULT TO BELIEVE THAT ANYONE
WILL AVOID GETTING MEASURABLE RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. MODEL
CONSENSUS IS HEAVIER AMOUNTS NORTH AND WEST THAN ELSEWHERE AND GIVEN
THE PATTERN THIS IS ACCEPTED. A WIDESPREAD ONE INCH OF RAIN NOT
IMPOSSIBLE... WITH THE USUAL HEAVIER AMOUNTS DUE TO PERSISTENT
CONVECTION.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FORECAST WITHOUT CONFIDENCE AS TIMING AND
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL PLAY HAVOC WITH INSOLATION. FAVOR DROPPING
HIGH TEMPERATURES UNDER 90 EXCEPT PERHAPS SOUTHEAST... THOUGH SPOTTY
90S ANYWHERE SUNSHINE IS SUFFICIENTLY STRONG. MID 70S FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES COMMON WITH CONVECTION DROPPING SOME SPOTS TOWARD 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 205 PM...

A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH WHICH HAD LINGERED OVER THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST AND BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER NORTH
CAROLINA FRIDAY. HOWEVER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN HIGH AND
WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INLAND OF AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH...
THOUGH WEAK... IS PERHAPS ALL THAT IS NEEDED WHEN COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING. FIFTY POPS FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CONVECTION
DECREASING FRIDAY NIGHT BUT LIKELY TO CONTINUE AT LEAST TO MIDNIGHT.

WEAK EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST SURFACE FLOW SATURDAY WITH THE MID
LEVELS IN TRANSITION THOUGH NOT YET INTO A BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN.
WEAK TROUGH ALOFT OVER THE FOOTHILLS WILL PROVIDE MINIMAL CONVECTIVE
SUPPORT. WITH AIR MASS POTENTIALLY DRYING A BIT ALOFT... AFTERNOON
RAIN CHANCES FORTY PERCENT.

AIR MASS FINALLY SIGNIFICANTLY DRYS ALOFT SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. A PERHAPS TOO HIGH 30 PERCENT
AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE. WEAK SOUTH FLOW AROUND THE BERMUDA HIGH WITH
SOME WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION MONDAY. CLIMATOLOGY LOOKS GOOD HERE
WITH MONDAY AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCES AGAIN 30 PERCENT.

COUNTING ON CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SUPPRESSING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS... FOR HIGHS UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. A
WARMING TREND WITH SUNSHINE... AND HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY LOWER
90S SUNDAY... LOW TO MID 90S MONDAY. ONE MORE MUGGY WARM NIGHT
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES LOW TO MID 70S... THEN UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM MONDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY... HOWEVER A PERIOD
OF INCLEMENT AVIATION CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG
STORMS AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS IS LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN TERMINAL
SITES. A SURFACE FRONT REMAINS STRETCHED JUST TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND WILL EASE
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MID
LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING FROM THE DELMARVA ACROSS VIRGINIA AND
KENTUCKY TONIGHT... AND THE APPROACH OF THIS TROUGH AND FRONT
COMBINED WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA WILL SPAWN THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...
AFFECTING INT/GSO AROUND 18Z TO 23Z... AND RDU/RWI 20Z-02Z. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT FAY 23Z TO 06Z BUT ARE LIKELY TO BE WEAKER
AS DEEP LAYER WINDS HERE ARE VERY LIGHT. IN AND NEAR THESE
STORMS... MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES AND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE... WITH A LESSER THREAT OF HAIL FROM MARBLE TO QUARTER
SIZE. OUTSIDE OF THESE STORMS... CEILINGS SHOULD BE VFR ABOVE 4
THOUSAND FEET WITH VFR VISIBILITIES. PATCHY MVFR/IFR FOG AND
SMOKE IS POSSIBLE MAINLY AT FAY/RWI AFTER 06Z THROUGH 13Z TUESDAY
MORNING AS THE LOW LEVELS DECOUPLE... AND THESE SAME LOCATIONS ARE
ALSO LIKELY TO SEE LOW LEVEL JETTING TONIGHT... WITH NEAR SURFACE
WINDS OF 6 TO 10 KNOTS INCREASING QUICKLY TO NEAR 25 KNOTS AT 800
TO 1200 FEET AGL. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RESUME AGAIN BY MID MORNING
TUESDAY... HOWEVER ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY BY MID
AFTERNOON AT ALL SITES.

LOOKING BEYOND 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY... MAINLY (BUT NOT ONLY) IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. ANY STORM COULD PRODUCE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SURFACE
WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH AND MVFR VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS. PATCHY
MVFR FOG IS POSSIBLE EACH MORNING FROM 08Z-13Z AS WEAK SURFACE
TROUGHING AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE HOLD OVER THE REGION. SLIGHTLY
DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. -GIH

&&

.CLIMATE...
HERE ARE THE TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR JULY 4TH.

RDU (RALEIGH-DURHAM AIRPORT):
JUL 4: RECORD HIGH 99 (2002) - RECORD HIGH MINIMUM 75 (2006)

GSO (GREENSBORO PIEDMONT TRIAD AIRPORT):
JUL 4: RECORD HIGH 98 (1970) - RECORD HIGH MINIMUM 72 (2005)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ007-021>024-038-039-051330-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 594 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE
MAIN THREAT. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
4 PM AND 9 PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ008>011-025>028-040-041-051330-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE
MAIN THREAT. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
4 PM AND 10 PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ073>078-083>086-088-089-051330-
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. A STORM OR
TWO COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.

ALSO... ONGOING WILDFIRES IN BLADEN COUNTY NEAR THE CUMBERLAND
COUNTY LINE AS WELL AS OVER PENDER COUNTY MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF
SMOKE WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY AND LEAD TO POOR AIR QUALITY
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SMOKE IS MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT CUMBERLAND...
SAMPSON... WAYNE... AND WILSON COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ042-043-051330-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-
415 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON... AND MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AS THE
MAIN THREAT. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN
4 PM AND 9 PM. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD GO
IMMEDIATELY TO A SAFE SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

ALSO... ONGOING WILDFIRES IN BLADEN COUNTY NEAR THE CUMBERLAND
COUNTY LINE AS WELL AS OVER PENDER COUNTY MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF
SMOKE WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY AND LEAD TO POOR AIR QUALITY
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SMOKE IS MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT CUMBERLAND...
SAMPSON... WAYNE... AND WILSON COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
434 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ024-025-042115-
DURHAM-ORANGE-
434 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS ORANGE AND DURHAM COUNTIES
THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 432 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 5 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HILLSBOROUGH...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE DURHAM...GORMAN...AND
OTHER AREAS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 85 AND INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR IN
ORANGE AND DURHAM COUNTIES.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING...PARTICULARLY ALONG INTERSTATE 85 AND INTERSTATE 40 IN
ORANGE AND DURHAM COUNTIES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 7881 3607 7879 3607 7875 3603 7875
      3602 7874 3603 7872 3601 7870 3597 7871
      3592 7876 3593 7880 3592 7881 3592 7926
      3613 7926 3616 7880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 268DEG 10KT 3603 7900

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
439 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ038-042130-
DAVIDSON-
439 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE SLOWLY APPROACHING DAVIDSON COUNTY AND
THE YADKIN RIVER FROM THE WEST...

AT 437 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 50 MILES
WEST OF ARCADIA...OR ABOUT 35 MILES WEST OF MOCKSVILLE...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
THE YADKIN RIVER.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

BOATERS ON THE WATER AND THOSE CAMPING OUTDOORS ARE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO THE DANGERS OF LIGHTNING. BOATERS SHOULD PREPARE TO
SEEK SAFE HARBOR. THOSE CAMPING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER.
BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK OF THE STORMS...THEY COULD COME CLOSE TO
THE YADKIN RIVER BY AROUND 530 PM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3584 8049 3584 8043 3586 8042 3585 8039
      3588 8042 3590 8040 3589 8037 3597 8040
      3598 8038 3600 8027 3551 8014 3551 8019
      3558 8021 3568 8034 3572 8033 3571 8038
      3574 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 275DEG 31KT 3577 8112

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
511 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0449 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE ROANOKE RAPIDS    36.46N  77.64W
07/04/2011                   HALIFAX            NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON A SHED ON WOODLAND ROAD IN ROANOKE RAPIDS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100971

VINCENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
518 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DONNAHA                 36.23N  80.43W
07/04/2011                   FORSYTH            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON SPAINHOUR MILL ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100972

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
520 PM EDT MON JUL 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W HALIFAX             36.33N  77.64W
07/04/2011  M41 MPH          HALIFAX            NC   ASOS

            41 MPH GUST AT KIXA AWOS AT 515 PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100973

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
529 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

NCZ025-040-041-042230-
CHATHAM-DURHAM-WAKE-
529 PM EDT MON JUL 4 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WAKE...DURHAM AND CHATHAM
COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM EDT...

AT 529 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
PARKWOOD...OR ABOUT OVER DURHAM...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BETHESDA...RESEARCH
TRIANGLE PARK...MORRISVILLE...RDU INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS
WELL AWAY FROM YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3602 7854 3600 7851 3564 7861 3580 7906
      3586 7903 3587 7901 3594 7901 3609 7895
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 277DEG 8KT 3593 7889

GIH