Severe Thunderstorm Warning 429, NWS Fort Worth, TX

477 
WWUS54 KFWD 210246
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
946 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

TXC503-210255-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0429.000000T0000Z-110621T0330Z/
YOUNG TX-
946 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN YOUNG COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF SOUTHEASTERN YOUNG COUNTY.


LAT...LON 3295 9845 3295 9842 3310 9842 3310 9773
      3293 9762 3280 9776 3288 9846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 257DEG 31KT 3299 9807

$$

TXC237-363-367-497-210330-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0429.000000T0000Z-110621T0330Z/
JACK TX-PALO PINTO TX-WISE TX-PARKER TX-
946 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN PARKER...SOUTHWESTERN WISE...NORTHERN PALO PINTO AND
SOUTHERN JACK COUNTIES...

AT 945 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES 
EAST OF GRAFORD...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.  ANOTHER SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF GRAFORD. THIS 
STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 
60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  POOLVILLE AND BOONSVILLE AROUND 1005 PM CDT...
  SPRINGTOWN AROUND 1020 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 3295 9845 3295 9842 3310 9842 3310 9773
      3293 9762 3280 9776 3288 9846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 257DEG 31KT 3299 9807

$$


92

610 
WWUS54 KFWD 210313
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1013 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

TXC237-363-367-497-210330-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0429.000000T0000Z-110621T0330Z/
JACK TX-PALO PINTO TX-WISE TX-PARKER TX-
1013 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN PARKER...SOUTHWESTERN WISE...NORTHEASTERN PALO PINTO AND
SOUTHEASTERN JACK COUNTIES...

AT 1013 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GRAFORD...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  POOLVILLE AND BOONSVILLE AROUND 1030 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND
STAY INSIDE...AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3286 9826 3293 9832 3310 9822 3310 9773
      3293 9762 3280 9776
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 263DEG 29KT 3299 9809

$$


92

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
740 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

.UPDATE...
WILL ISSUE UPDATE TO REMOVE RED FLAG WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY.
WATCH CONTINUES. 84

&&

.AVIATION...
NOW THAT CONVECTION HAS FORMED...LINEAR EXTRAPOLATION AND
GUIDANCE BRINGS TSRA LINE ACROSS METROPLEX IN THE 02Z/05Z TIME
FRAME WITH MOST LIKELY TIME OF ARRIVAL DFW OF 03Z. HAVE ISSUED
AMENDMENTS FOR TEMPO TSRA TO REFLECT THIS. STORMS SHOULD HAVE A
COLD POOL BY THEN SO LIGHTNING WILL LIKELY OCCUR BEHIND THE LINE
AS WELL AS ALONG IT. ONE WILD CARD THAT MAY FURTHER AFFECT
FORECASTS IS THAT HRRR IS FORECASTING REDEVELOPMENT BEHIND THIS
LINE. THIS IS NOT SUPPORTED YET BY ALL THE GUIDANCE...BUT SHOULD
TRENDS GO THAT WAY TSRA WILL HAVE TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. 84

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011/
PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS QUITE IMPRESSIVE ACROSS THE AREA AS
NORTH TEXAS SITS BETWEEN A FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM THE
PLAINS INTO WEST TEXAS...AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR THE STRONG
SOUTH WINDS GUSTING INTO THE 35-40 MPH RANGE. SPEEDS SHOULD
DECREASE SOME AS WE APPROACH SUNSET...THEREFORE BOTH THE WIND
ADVISORY AND THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8
PM.

ALL EYES WILL THEN BE PEELED AND DIRECTED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST
WHERE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO HAVE DEVELOPED BY LATE AFTERNOON.
THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...THE THE PRESENCE
OF A DRYLINE...AND HOT LATE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW
THIS SCENARIO TO UNFOLD SOMETIME IN THE 4 TO 6 PM TIMEFRAME JUST
WEST OF THE CWA. ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS
ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT BEFORE
WEAKENING SOME DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE HIGHEST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER
WHERE BEST DYNAMICS WILL BE IN PLACE...HOWEVER SEVERE WEATHER
PARAMETERS WILL BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH FOR AT LEAST A FEW SEVERE
STORMS FURTHER S INTO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. THIS AREA IS INCLUDED
IN SPC DAY ONE AND DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

FOCUS SHOULD SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST ALONG WITH INITIAL SHORTWAVE
ENERGY TOMORROW MORNING. COLD FRONT WILL THEN MAKE A PUSH INTO
THE AREA TUESDAY AS SECOND SHORTWAVE PROPAGATES OVER THE REGION
AROUND THE BASE OF MAIN UPPER TROUGH. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THIS BOUNDARY DURING THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
HOURS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COUNTIES. THINKING IS THAT BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT A GOOD PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS WILL GET A GOOD HALF
INCH OF RAIN WITH SOME AREAS GETTING UPWARDS OF AN INCH.

UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES NORTHWESTERLY BY THURSDAY AS UPPER TROF
SHIFTS EAST OVER THE EASTERN U.S. AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. MODEL GUIDANCE THEN INDICATING A DECENT
UPPER IMPULSE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. INCLUDED LOW POPS OVER ROUGHLY THE
NORTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA DURING THIS TIME. BEYOND THAT IT
LOOKS LIKE 500 MB RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME THE DOMINANT
FEATURE OVER NORTH TEXAS BRINGING HOT AND DRY WEATHER TO THE
REGION IN THE EXTENDED RANGE.    30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  78  95  76  95  76 /  30  30  50  20  20
WACO, TX              78  97  76  96  74 /   5  30  50  30  20
PARIS, TX             75  91  74  93  70 /  40  40  50  20  10
DENTON, TX            76  94  72  95  73 /  40  30  50  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          78  92  73  95  71 /  40  30  50  10  10
DALLAS, TX            77  95  77  95  77 /  30  30  50  20  20
TERRELL, TX           77  94  75  96  73 /  20  30  50  20  20
CORSICANA, TX         76  97  76  96  75 /  10  30  50  30  20
TEMPLE, TX            77  98  75  96  73 /   5  20  40  30  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     76  97  71  96  72 /  30  30  50  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

 /

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
325 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-211145-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
325 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS WEST OF A GAINESVILLE TO
CORSICANA TO TEMPLE LINE.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS. BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD BE SEVERE
WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE BEST CHANCES WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT.
A FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN
PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

92

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
842 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             ELIASVILLE              32.95N  98.75W
06/20/2011  E1.75 INCH       STEPHENS           TX   PUBLIC

            PING PONG AND GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
847 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     TORNADO          2 E ELIASVILLE          32.95N  98.72W
06/20/2011                   STEPHENS           TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            REPORTED BY 2 SPOTTERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
851 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             BRIDGEPORT              33.22N  97.77W
06/20/2011  M1.25 INCH       WISE               TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
852 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     HAIL             RUNAWAY BAY             33.17N  97.87W
06/20/2011  E1.75 INCH       WISE               TX   AMATEUR RADIO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
920 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             5 S BRYSON              33.10N  98.38W
06/20/2011  E2.75 INCH       JACK               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
926 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 PM     HAIL             GRAFORD                 32.93N  98.25W
06/20/2011  E2.75 INCH       PALO PINTO         TX   PUBLIC