Alert archive / Pennsylvania / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 55, NWS State College, PA

April 28, 2011Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this river flood warning at Apr 28, 2011, 10:26 AM EDT for Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Apr 28, 2011, 4:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Apr 28, 2011, 10:26 AM EDT (14:26 UTC)
In effect from: Apr 28, 2011, 4:00 PM EDT
Expired: Apr 28, 2011, 9:39 PM EDT
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS State College, PA
Flood severity: Minor

County Huntingdon County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Aughwick Creek at Shirleysburg (SLYP1).

Action stage: 8 ft
Minor stage: 10 ft
Moderate stage: 12 ft
Major stage: 20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01564512, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

213 
WGUS41 KCTP 281426
FLWCTP
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN PENNSYLVANIA...

  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

PAC081-290226-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110429T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY. FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE SPROUT BAUER PLANT IS AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC097-119-290225-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0047.110428T1745Z-110430T0700Z/
/ILTP1.2.ER.110428T1745Z.110429T0600Z.110430T0100Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 22.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE EVENING TOMORROW.
* AT 22.0 FEET...HOMES ON SOUTH WATER STREET IN MILTON ARE FLOODED.

$$

PAC037-290225-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-110501T0237Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.110428T1600Z.110429T2000Z.110430T2037Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...18.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...MUCH OF THE FAIRGROUNDS...AS WELL AS ADJACENT 
  AREAS...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. HIGH WATER ALSO BEGINS TO 
  AFFECT THE RUNWAY AT THE AIRPORT.

$$

PAC037-093-097-290225-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.110428T2100Z-110501T0417Z/
/DANP1.2.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T2300Z.110430T2217Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...19.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 24.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...INUNDATION IN RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK OF THE 
  RIVER BEGINS TO AFFECT RESIDENCES.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-290225-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0052.110428T2100Z-110430T1938Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T1700Z.110430T1338Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...23.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 26.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS A NUMBER OF HOMES AND BUSINESSES 
  IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-290225-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0053.110429T0705Z-110501T0500Z/
/HARP1.1.ER.110429T0705Z.110430T0000Z.110430T2300Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...14.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 19.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN WEST FAIRVIEW...DAUPHIN...AND 
  HARRISBURG FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-290225-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0054.110428T2200Z-110501T1338Z/
/MRTP1.1.ER.110428T2200Z.110430T0600Z.110501T0738Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...47.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 51.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 52.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES IN THE WRIGHTSVILLE AND 
  COLUMBIA AREAS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC061-290225-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FL.W.0055.110428T2100Z-110429T1400Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T0200Z.110429T0800Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE, PA HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET BY TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG EXCEEDS ITS 
  BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$

3 follow-up statements

312 
WGUS81 KCTP 281558
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED {**** ENTER GENERIC TIMING 
FOR NEXT ISSUANCE OF THIS PRODUCT.  I.E. "LATE THIS EVENING"*****}

&&

PAC081-290358-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110429T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE SPROUT BAUER PLANT IS AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC081-097-119-290357-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0046.110428T1750Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.110428T1750Z.110429T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 23.5 FEET BY TONIGHT.
* AT 24.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES ON BROAD AND SECOND STREETS ARE 
  AFFECTED.

$$

PAC097-119-290357-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0047.110428T1749Z-110430T0700Z/
/ILTP1.2.ER.110428T1749Z.110429T0600Z.110430T0100Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 22.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE EVENING TOMORROW.
* AT 22.0 FEET...HOMES ON SOUTH WATER STREET IN MILTON ARE FLOODED.

$$

PAC097-119-290357-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0048.110428T1743Z-110430T0655Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.110428T1743Z.110429T0500Z.110430T0055Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 20.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...THE LEFT...OR EAST BANK EXPERIENCES SUBSTANTIAL 
  OVERFLOW.

$$

PAC037-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-110501T0237Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.110428T1403Z.110429T2000Z.110430T2037Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...MUCH OF THE FAIRGROUNDS...AS WELL AS ADJACENT 
  AREAS...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. HIGH WATER ALSO BEGINS TO 
  AFFECT THE RUNWAY AT THE AIRPORT.

$$

PAC037-093-097-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0049.110428T2100Z-110501T0417Z/
/DANP1.2.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T2300Z.110430T2217Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 24.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 24.0 FEET...INUNDATION IN RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK OF THE 
  RIVER BEGINS TO AFFECT RESIDENCES.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0052.110428T2100Z-110430T1938Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T1700Z.110430T1338Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 26.5 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS A NUMBER OF HOMES AND BUSINESSES 
  IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0053.110429T0705Z-110501T0500Z/
/HARP1.1.ER.110429T0705Z.110430T0000Z.110430T2300Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 19.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN WEST FAIRVIEW...DAUPHIN...AND 
  HARRISBURG FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0054.110428T2200Z-110501T1338Z/
/MRTP1.1.ER.110428T2200Z.110430T0600Z.110501T0738Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 51.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 52.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES IN THE WRIGHTSVILLE AND 
  COLUMBIA AREAS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC041-133-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-110430T0600Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110428T1158Z.110428T2100Z.110430T0000Z.UU/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN THE GREEN LANE FARMS DEVELOPMENT
  ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.  CEDAR CLIFF DRIVE ON THE LEFT BANK 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE BRIDGE IS INUNDATED. CREEKWOOD DRIVE HAS SEVERAL 
  FEET OF WATER ON IT, AND WATER IS APPROACHING HOMES.

$$

PAC035-290357-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110429T0800Z/
/BECP1.1.ER.110428T1051Z.110428T1800Z.110429T0200Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC061-290357-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0055.110428T2100Z-110429T1400Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T0200Z.110429T0800Z.NO/
1158 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET BY TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG EXCEEDS ITS 
  BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$

370 
WGUS81 KCTP 281926
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON
  WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG
  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING CREEKS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION
  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG
  YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

AN UPDATE TO THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS EVENING.

&&

PAC081-290726-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0056.110428T2000Z-110429T1520Z/
/WILP1.1.ER.110428T2000Z.110429T0400Z.110429T0920Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT WILLIAMSPORT.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 20.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN THE AREA OUTSIDE
  THE LEVEE SYSTEM ARE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC081-290726-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCYP1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.110429T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MUNCY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 22.5 FEET TONIGHT.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE SPROUT BAUER PLANT IS AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC081-097-119-290726-
/O.CON.KCTP.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTGP1.1.ER.110428T1755Z.110429T0300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MONTGOMERY.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 22.5 FEET BY TONIGHT THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...SOUTH MAIN STREET AND ELLIS PARKWAY ARE FLOODED.

$$

PAC097-119-290726-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-110430T0210Z/
/ILTP1.1.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T0600Z.110429T2010Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT MILTON.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 20.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 21.0 FEET...RIVER ROAD IN WEST MILTON FLOODS. LOW LYING AREAS IN
  MILTON ARE INUNDATED.

$$

PAC097-119-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-110430T0200Z/
/LWBP1.1.ER.110428T1858Z.110429T0600Z.110429T2000Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WEST BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA AT LEWISBURG.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 21.0 FEET...THE LEFT...OR EAST BANK EXPERIENCES SUBSTANTIAL 
  OVERFLOW.

$$

PAC037-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-110501T0152Z/
/BMBP1.2.ER.110428T1403Z.110430T0000Z.110430T1952Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT BLOOMSBURG.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 23.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...MUCH OF THE FAIRGROUNDS...AS WELL AS ADJACENT 
  AREAS...ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER. HIGH WATER ALSO BEGINS TO 
  AFFECT THE RUNWAY AT THE AIRPORT.

$$

PAC037-093-097-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0049.110428T1912Z-110501T0313Z/
/DANP1.2.ER.110428T1638Z.110430T0000Z.110430T2113Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT DANVILLE.
* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 23.6 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...INUNDATION IN RIVERSIDE ON THE LEFT BANK OF THE 
  RIVER BEGINS TO AFFECT RESIDENCES.

$$

PAC043-067-097-099-119-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0052.110428T2100Z-110430T1905Z/
/SBYP1.2.ER.110428T2100Z.110429T1800Z.110430T1305Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER NEAR SUNBURY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...HIGH WATER AFFECTS A NUMBER OF HOMES AND BUSINESSES 
  IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY THE FLOOD WALL AND LEVEE SYSTEM.

$$

PAC041-043-067-071-097-099-109-133-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0053.110429T0300Z-110501T0300Z/
/HARP1.1.ER.110429T0300Z.110430T0000Z.110430T2100Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT HARRISBURG.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CREST NEAR 19.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 19.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES IN WEST FAIRVIEW...DAUPHIN...AND 
  HARRISBURG FLOOD.

$$

PAC071-133-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0054.110428T2200Z-110501T1236Z/
/MRTP1.1.ER.110428T2200Z.110430T0600Z.110501T0636Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT MARIETTA.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 49.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND
  CREST NEAR 51.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 52.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF RESIDENCES IN THE WRIGHTSVILLE AND 
  COLUMBIA AREAS BEGIN TO BE AFFECTED.

$$

PAC041-133-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-110430T0700Z/
/CPHP1.2.ER.110428T1158Z.110428T2100Z.110430T0100Z.UU/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW BREECHES CREEK NEAR CAMP HILL.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK WILL CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 
  CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE EVENING TOMORROW.
* AT 11.0 FEET...A NUMBER OF HOMES ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF YELLOW 
  BREECHES CREEK ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

PAC035-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110429T0900Z/
/BECP1.3.ER.110428T1051Z.110428T1530Z.110429T0300Z.NR/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BALD EAGLE CREEK NEAR BEECH CREEK STATION.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
* AT 13.0 FEET...HOMES IN THE COTTAGE AREA ARE ISOLATED BY HIGH WATER
  FROM BALD EAGLE CREEK.

$$

PAC061-290725-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FL.W.0055.110428T2000Z-110429T1600Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.110428T2000Z.110429T0400Z.110429T1000Z.NO/
326 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG EXCEEDS ITS 
  BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$

EVANEGO

676 
WGUS81 KCTP 290139
FLSCTP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE, PA
939 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...

  AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!!  THE WATER 
MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.  MOST DEATHS THAT OCCUR DURING
FLOODING ARE RELATED TO VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

PAC061-290209-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-110429T1600Z/
/SLYP1.1.ER.110428T2000Z.110428T2230Z.110429T0045Z.NO/
939 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9 PM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 5.6 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...THE AUGHWICK CREEK AT SHIRLEYSBURG EXCEEDS ITS 
  BANKS. SEVERAL HOMES ARE AFFECTED.

$$

EVANEGO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 28, 8:01 AM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 8:01 AM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
801 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...SOME CONTAINING HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. COOLER...AND DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE
AFTER THE FRONT PASSES AND WILL LAST INTO FRIDAY. A SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY AND MAY
LINGER WITH CLOUDY AND SHOWERY WEATHER INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...
SCT SHRA WILL LINGER ALL MORNING FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. COLD FRONT
MOVING INTO WRN COS SHORTLY. POSTED A WIND ADVY FOR THE W FOR THIS
AM...AS GUSTS COULD REACH 40-45KTS ON THE HILLS PER UPSTREAM OBS.
FLASH FLOODING SHOULD START TO RECEDE SHORTLY...AND MANY WARNINGS
HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO DIE OFF. MINOR FLOODING MAY CONTINUE FOR THE
MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
PERSISTENCE FORECAST IN STORE FOR THESE PERIODS OF THE FCST...AS
LITTLE CHANGE SEEMED TO BE IN ORDER...AND ACTIVE CURRENT WEATHER
PRECLUDES FURTHER DIAGNOSES. SHOWERS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
FAR EAST WILL MOVE AWAY AND THEY WILL MOVE INTO THE NW. WILL
ADJUST POPS APPROPRIATELY. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS AS COLD AIR
RUSHES IN. TONIGHT...MINS DROP TO THE U30S AND M40S...WITH WINDS
DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA.

FRI LOOKS LESS BREEZY AND SHRA STAY CONTAINED IN THE NWRN MTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AFTER A NUMBER OF DAYS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS COMING
WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE SUNNY AND DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPS.  LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT A WARM FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS INTO WESTERN PA. GEFS
SHOWS THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE STATE WITH
LIGHT SHOWERS AND CLOUDY WEATHER THROUGH TUESDAY. THE 00Z ECMWF IS
MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM BY MIDWEEK AS THE PATTERN
BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED. HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE MORE PROGRESSIVE
SOLUTION WITH GENERALLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK AND CHANCE POPS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW FAST
THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AND HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL.
HOWEVER...AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS TO BE SLIGHTLY WETTER THAN NORMAL
AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
POTENT EARLY MORNING THUNDERSTORMS EXITING CWA TO THE EAST AT
12Z...THOUGH SHOWERS LINGER BEHIND FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS BEFORE
COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

INTERESTINGLY...ALL TAF SITES REPORTING VFR CONDITIONS AT 12Z.
COULD SEE A BRIEF BOUT WITH MVFR IN THE SE /KMDT-KLNS/ THROUGH MID
MORNING BEFORE SHOWERS TAPER FROM THE WEST. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
THEN CONTINUE ALONG WITH LLWS...THOUGH JET ALIGNMENT WILL SHIFT
FROM SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY AT AROUND 50 KTS AT 850
MB...GRADUALYL DIMINISHING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE GUSTY DURING THE DAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST.

QUIET NIGHT IN STORE...THOUGH MVFR CIGS MAY SLIP INTO KBFD
OVERNIGHT AS THE INVERSION STRENGTHENS.

OUTLOOK...
FRI...SCTD MVFR CIGS EARLY NW...OTHERWISE VFR.
SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NO SIG WX.
SUN...VFR WITH CHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MON...VFR.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR PAZ004>006-010-011-017-
024-033.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR PAZ051>053-
056>059-063>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DANGELO
NEAR TERM...DANGELO
SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...KREKELER
AVIATION...RXR

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 7:02 AM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
702 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

PAZ004>006-010-011-017-024-033-291115-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
702 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ051>053-056>059-063>065-291115-
MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-
702 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ012-018-019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049-050-066-291115-
NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-
MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-LANCASTER-
702 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 28, 7:54 AM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
754 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

PAZ059-065-066-281230-
LANCASTER PA-LEBANON PA-YORK PA-
754 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL YORK...NORTHWESTERN
LANCASTER AND SOUTH CENTRAL LEBANON COUNTIES...

AT 750 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR YORK...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR STONYBROOK AROUND
800 AM...MOUNT JOY AROUND 810 AM...MANHEIM AROUND 820 AM AND
BRICKERVILLE AROUND 830 AM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 259 AND 277...I-83 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 11 AND 23.

LAT...LON 3987 7670 3995 7679 4019 7661 4020 7657
      4023 7658 4039 7646 4018 7611

FORECASTER: DANGELO

Special weather statement, Apr 28, 7:59 AM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
759 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

PAZ065-066-281245-
LANCASTER PA-YORK PA-
759 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL YORK AND
WEST CENTRAL LANCASTER COUNTIES...

AT 756 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
LINEBORO TO MANCHESTER TO 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANCHESTER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE STORMS
WILL BE NEAR CODORUS AROUND 810 AM...LOGANVILLE AROUND 820 AM...
DALLASTOWN AROUND 830 AM...STEWARTSTOWN AROUND 840 AM AND BROGUE
AROUND 850 AM.

THIS WILL IMPACT I-83 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 10.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT STATE ROAD 94.

LAT...LON 3973 7697 4003 7639 3990 7640 3973 7643
      3971 7645 3972 7697

FORECASTER: STEINBUGL

Special weather statement, Apr 28, 8:04 AM EDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
804 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

PAZ064-065-281230-
ADAMS PA-YORK PA-
804 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ADAMS AND
WESTERN YORK COUNTIES...

AT 800 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
GETTYSBURG TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEYSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE STORMS
WILL BE NEAR HEIDLERSBURG AROUND 810 AM...MCSHERRYSTOWN AROUND 820 AM
AND WEIGELSTOWN AROUND 830 AM.

THIS WILL IMPACT I-83 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 24 AND 29.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 15...ROUTE
30...STATE ROAD 94...STATE ROAD 97.

LAT...LON 3972 7732 3988 7720 4012 7671 3973 7684
      3971 7699

FORECASTER: STEINBUGL

Local storm report, Apr 28, 10:19 AM EDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1019 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WAYNESBORO              39.75N  77.58W
04/28/2011                   FRANKLIN           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EAST BRANCH ANTIETAM CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS AT RENFREW
            PARK. FIELD WATER CROSSED STATE LINE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100071

GAD

Local storm report, Apr 28, 10:23 AM EDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1023 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW WELLSVILLE        40.08N  76.96W
04/28/2011                   YORK               PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. MAN REPORTED FRONT END OF CAR
            LIFTED OFF GROUND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100072

GAD

Local storm report, Apr 28, 10:26 AM EDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1026 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW HARPER TAVERN      40.39N  76.59W
04/28/2011                   LEBANON            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES ACROSS REEDS CREEK ROAD. POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL
            COLLAPSE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100073

GAD

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 27, 8:09 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Lycoming, Sullivan	26 min
Apr 27, 8:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Columbia, Montour, Northumberland	53 min
Apr 27, 8:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Columbia, Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga	44 min
Apr 27, 9:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	York	31 min
Apr 27, 9:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Sullivan	28 min
Apr 27, 10:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Cambria	37 min
Apr 27, 10:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clearfield	23 min
Apr 27, 11:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clinton	36 min
Apr 27, 11:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Cambria, Centre, Clearfield	41 min
Apr 27, 11:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Centre, Clearfield, Clinton	37 min
Apr 27, 11:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clinton, Lycoming	46 min
Apr 28, 12:14 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Cambria	31 min
Apr 28, 12:19 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Centre, Clinton	41 min
Apr 28, 12:26 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Bedford, Somerset	64 min
Apr 28, 12:33 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lycoming, Tioga	57 min
Apr 28, 12:44 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Centre	31 min
Apr 28, 1:02 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lycoming	43 min
Apr 28, 1:21 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Bedford, Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin	39 min
Apr 28, 1:29 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clinton	31 min
Apr 28, 1:35 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lycoming, Sullivan	25 min
Apr 28, 1:42 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CTP	Cameron, Clinton, Lycoming, Potter, Sullivan, Tioga	4 hr
Apr 28, 1:42 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Fulton	33 min
Apr 28, 1:44 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CTP	Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Fulton, Huntingdon, Somerset	4 hr
Apr 28, 1:58 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clinton	47 min
Apr 28, 2:03 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Mifflin	42 min
Apr 28, 2:19 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Huntingdon	41 min
Apr 28, 2:26 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Franklin	34 min
Apr 28, 2:30 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clinton	30 min
Apr 28, 2:42 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Clinton	33 min
Apr 28, 2:52 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Centre, Clinton, Cumberland, Franklin, Juniata, Mifflin and 3 more	53 min
Apr 28, 2:55 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CTP	Centre, Franklin, Juniata, Mifflin, Perry, Snyder and 1 more	3 hr
Apr 28, 3:02 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CTP	Centre	3 hr
Apr 28, 3:03 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lycoming, Tioga	42 min
Apr 28, 3:11 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Adams, Franklin	34 min
Apr 28, 3:34 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CTP	Franklin	3 hr
Apr 28, 3:37 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Centre, Clinton, Dauphin, Juniata, Lycoming, Montour and 4 more	38 min
Apr 28, 3:39 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CTP	Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Montour, Northumberland, York	3 hr
Apr 28, 3:41 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lycoming	34 min
Apr 28, 3:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry and 1 more	44 min
Apr 28, 4:00 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Columbia, Dauphin, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill and 1 more	60 min
Apr 28, 4:12 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Lycoming	41 hr
Apr 28, 4:12 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Lycoming, Northumberland, Union	35 hr
Apr 28, 4:12 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Northumberland, Union	41 hr
Apr 28, 4:12 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Northumberland, Union	41 hr
Apr 28, 4:12 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Columbia, Montour, Northumberland	65 hr
Apr 28, 4:25 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CTP	Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Perry, York	7 hr
Apr 28, 4:28 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill and 1 more	47 min
Apr 28, 5:14 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Adams, Cumberland, Franklin, York	46 min
Apr 28, 5:35 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Adams, Cumberland, York	25 min
Apr 28, 5:49 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Dauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill	56 min
Apr 28, 6:13 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CTP	Lebanon, Schuylkill	4 hr
Apr 28, 6:32 AM EDT	Wind Advisory	CTP	Cambria, Cameron, Clearfield, Elk, McKean, Potter and 2 more	5 hr
Apr 28, 6:47 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CTP	Columbia, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Lycoming and 7 more	3 hr
Apr 28, 6:53 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lebanon, Schuylkill	37 min
Apr 28, 7:11 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Columbia, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan	49 min
Apr 28, 7:41 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Clinton	20 hr
Apr 28, 7:50 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Dauphin	25 min
Apr 28, 7:54 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lebanon, York	36 min
Apr 28, 7:59 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	York	46 min
Apr 28, 8:04 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Adams	26 min
Apr 28, 8:07 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Cumberland, York	24 hr
Apr 28, 8:17 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	58 min
Apr 28, 8:21 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	York	24 min
Apr 28, 8:44 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	14 min
Apr 28, 8:54 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	66 min
Apr 28, 9:30 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	15 min
Apr 28, 9:58 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	York	21 min
Apr 28, 10:03 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	27 min
Apr 28, 10:13 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	32 min
Apr 28, 10:26 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Union	45 hr
Apr 28, 10:26 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Lancaster, Northumberland, Perry and 2 more	48 hr
Apr 28, 10:26 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Lancaster, York	63 hr
Apr 28, 10:35 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CTP	Lancaster	10 min
Apr 28, 10:49 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lancaster	26 min
Apr 28, 11:15 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CTP	Lancaster	15 min
Apr 28, 12:52 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Lycoming	15 hr
Apr 28, 5:55 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	CTP	Dauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill	10 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2011 Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.