Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 415, NWS Juneau, AK

November 14, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 14, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

170 
FZAK51 PAJK 142331
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-151400-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A SERIES OF 1000 MB LOWS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTH GULF
AND ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MON NIGHT. STRONG WEST WINDS
AND HIGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE SLOWLY THROUGH TUESDAY.  A STRONG
OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR FROM THE NORTH WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-151400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-151400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-151400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-151400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-151400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-151400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-151400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-151400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SW WIND 25 KT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE.
SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-151400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-151400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-151400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011 

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
161 
FZAK51 PAJK 150328 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-152130-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A SERIES OF 1000 MB LOWS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTH GULF
AND ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MON NIGHT. STRONG WEST WINDS
AND HIGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE SLOWLY THROUGH TUESDAY.  A STRONG
OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR FROM THE NORTH WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-152130-
GLACIER BAY-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-152130-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-152130-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-152130-
ICY STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 
5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-152130-
CROSS SOUND-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. W
SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-152130-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-152130-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-152130-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SW WIND 25 KT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE.
SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-152130-
FREDERICK SOUND-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-152130-
SUMNER STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-152130-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
557 
FZAK51 PAJK 150829 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1128 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-152130-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A SERIES OF 1000 MB LOWS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTH GULF
AND ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MON NIGHT. STRONG WEST WINDS
AND HIGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE SLOWLY THROUGH TUESDAY.  A STRONG
OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR FROM THE NORTH WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-152130-
GLACIER BAY-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-152130-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-152130-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-152130-
ICY STRAIT-
11 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-152130-
CROSS SOUND-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. W
SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-152130-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-152130-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-152130-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SW WIND 25 KT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE.
SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-152130-
FREDERICK SOUND-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-152130-
SUMNER STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-152130-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
628 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
307 
FZAK51 PAJK 151241
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160100-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
A FRONT MOVING INTO THE PANHANDLE TUESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG OUTBREAK
OF ARCTIC AIR FROM THE NORTH WILL DEVELOP LATER WEDNESDAY.   

$$

PKZ011-160100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.THU...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-160100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-160100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW.
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-160100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-160100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-160100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-160100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-160100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-160100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-160100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-160100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 15 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 14, 3:17 PM AKST, 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 3:17 PM AKST, 43 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
317 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.SHORT TERM...A SMALL LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR PAJN WILL MOVE E OF
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE
N-CENTRAL AREA TONIGHT...THEN BE WELL E OF THE AREA BY LATE TUE.
YET ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SW GULF TUE. USED A BLEND OF
THE 12Z GFS AND NAM FOR TONIGHT FOR WAY THEY HANDLE SYSTEM MOVING
THRU N-CENTRAL AREA...THEN SWITCHED TO GFS FOR TUE TO FOR BETTER
TRANSITION TO THE LONGER RANGE.

BIG ISSUE WILL BE HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS TONIGHT. SYSTEM MOVING IN
FOR TONIGHT LOOKS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE ATTM AND IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN A LITTLE AS IT MOVES IN. DEEP LAYER QVEC
CONVERGENCE DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA AND WITH MID-LEVELS
UNSTABLE...THE PRECIP RATES WILL BE ON THE HEAVY SIDE AT TIMES.
WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AREA AS WELL AS
THE PAEL ZONE FOR TONIGHT...AND A WINTER WX ADVY FOR THE PAGS
AREA. THINK AREAS FURTHER N WILL MOSTLY MISS THIS SYSTEM SO SEE
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SNOW THERE...AND FURTHER S WILL HAVE
SNOW...BUT RAIN IS LIKELY TO MIX IN AT TIMES AS SOME MILDER AIR
MOVES IN...REDUCING SNOW ACCUMS. THINK THE COAST MTNS FROM PAWG TO
PAJN WILL END UP WITH THE MOST SNOW OUT OF THIS SYSTEM DUE TO
TERRAIN ENHANCEMENT. WILL GO WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES FOR THE PAJN/PAPG
AREAS TONIGHT...5 TO 8 INCHES FOR THE PAOH/PAGN/PAEL AREAS...AND 3
TO 6 INCHES FOR PAGS AREA. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF QUICKLY TUE
MORNING.

OTHERWISE...WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE OUTER WATERS AND OCEAN
ENTRANCES TO INNER CHANNELS SHOULD DECREASE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE AREA. WILL HAVE INCREASED WINDS OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SRN INNER CHANNELS TONIGHT AS LOW MOVES INTO THE NRN
AREA...THEN THY SHOULD DECREASE SLOWLY TUE. BUT WINDS WILL PICK UP
AGAIN OVER THE GULF AS A STRONGER LOW MOVES IN FROM THE SW ON TUE.
MAY SEE RETURN OF GALES FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TUE.

.LONG TERM...ARCTIC OUTBREAK SPREADING IN A N TO S SEQUENCE FROM
TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT. THE PRIMARY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
PACKAGE WERE TO DIMINISH THE INTENSITY OF THE OUTBREAK, ESPECIALLY
IN THE PANHANDLE S OF FREDERICK SOUND. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

THE SHORT RANGE SECTION ABOVE DESCRIBES A SERIES OF LOWS TRACKING
ZONALLY ONSHORE THE NRN HLF OF THE PANHANDLE. THE LAST SUCH LOW WILL
BE A 1000 MB 200 NM SW OF PAYA AT 00Z WED AND DEEPENING TO 986 MB
100 NM SSW OF PAYA AT 12Z WED. THE RESULT WILL BE AN OVERRUN OF THE
EARLY STAGES OF ARCTIC OUTBREAK AND IS THE REASON FOR SNOW
TUE NIGHT AND CLOUD COVER WED AND THU ALL PERSISTING LONGER THAN
USUAL FOR AN ARCTIC OUTBREAK.

THE CLOUD COVER WITH THE ARCTIC OUTBREAK WED WILL BE SLOW TO LOSE
CLOUD COVER. THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS GOOD THAT A 500 MB TROUGH WILL
BE CONTINUING TO EXTEND S FM OVER PAMD AND SUPPORTING A 995 MB LOW
ABOUT 100 NM S OF PAYA WITH A LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION. THIS LARGE
SCALE CIRCULATION WILL SUPPORT MIDDLE AND UPPER CLOUD CIGS THAT
WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE IN A N TO S SEQUENCE WED THROUGH THU.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ021-022-
     024>026.
         WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
     NIGHT FOR AKZ017-019.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-033-036-042-043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-041-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.

&&

RWT/JBT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 14, 11:10 AM AKST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1110 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            BACK LOOP ROAD

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M7.5 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            FRITZ COVE

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   UTILITY COMPANY

            JUNEAU-DOUGLAS WATER TREATMENT

1000 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M8.0 INCH                           AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            JUNEAU AIRPORT

1030 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            JUNEAU FORECAST OFFICE

&&

GLS
Local storm report, Nov 14, 2:46 PM AKST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
246 PM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            BACK LOOP ROAD

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   UTILITY COMPANY

            JUNEAU-DOUGLAS WATER TREATMENT

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M7.5 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            FRITZ COVE

1000 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M8.0 INCH                           AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            JUNEAU AIRPORT

1030 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            JUNEAU FORECAST OFFICE

1155 AM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  M11.0 INCH                          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NORTH DOUGLAS

1230 PM     HEAVY SNOW       JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
11/14/2011  E4.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SHELTER ISLAND BRANCHES BREAKING DUE TO SNOW

&&

GLS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 14, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Nov 15, 5:15 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK28 hr
Nov 15, 5:15 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK23 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.