Tornado Warning 42, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 081422
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
922 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

MOC105-081500-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090508T1500Z/
LACLEDE MO-
922 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE COUNTY...

AT 922 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR TWIN BRIDGES...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LEBANON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
LACLEDE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF DRY KNOB AND FALCON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FRIDAY FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 9262 3758 9268 3764 9250 3768 9235
      3748 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 1423Z 243DEG 25KT 3756 9259

$$

GAEDE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
655 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

THE MCS ENTERING THE WESTERN CWA HAS NOW BECOME FORWARD
PROPAGATING WITH ITS FORWARD MOTION APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING 70
MPH. SEVERAL REPORTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH WINDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. SEE NO REASON FOR THIS TREND NOT TO CONTINUE AS
THIS LINE BLASTS THROUGH SOUTHWEST MISSOURI GIVEN LATEST SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE. THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL
FOR MESOVORTICES AND PERHAPS BRIEF TORNADOES AS PLENTY OF AMBIENT
AND STORM SCALE VERTICAL VORTICITY SOURCES ARE PRESENT. HAIL WILL
ALSO BE A CONTINUED THREAT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR PRESENT. EXTREME RAINFALL RATES...IN SOME CASES EXCEEDING
THREE INCHES PER HOUR...WILL ALSO POSE A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD
THREAT.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS THE SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM
THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS MORNING.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS MCS IS IN ITS BEGINNING
STAGES ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE DATA INDICATE AN ENVIRONMENT VERY FAVORABLE FOR A
FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS. THIS SHOULD FAVOR THESE STORMS
ACCELERATING TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST MISSOURI SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. THESE STORMS
WILL BE PROLIFIC WIND PRODUCERS...WITH 70 MPH WIND GUSTS EASILY
ATTAINABLE. ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR ALSO EXIST FOR SOME LARGE
HAIL. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO BE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR
MESOVORTICES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THIS
MCS WILL RACE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...POSSIBLY CLEARING THE
FORECAST AREA BY 18Z. ONE GOOD THING ABOUT THIS TYPE OF MCS IS
THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL NOT LAST ALL THAT LONG. THE BAD
NEWS IS THAT RAINFALL RATES WITH THE LINE WILL BE RATHER INTENSE.
WILL THEREFORE LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTACT. NOT SURE HOW
MUCH WE WILL WARM UP THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE WAKE PRECIPITATION
AND CLOUD COVER...BUT SOME BREAKS OUT WEST MAY ALLOW SOME
AFTERNOON WARMING.

WE MAY SEE A LEFT OVER SHOWER OR STORM TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI...BUT A PASSING COLD FRONT SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT MOST IF
NOT ALL ACTIVITY INTO ARKANSAS. CANNOT RULE OUT A SHOWER OR
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI...BUT THINK MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY. WE MAY SEE A SLIGHTLY
BETTER SHOT AT SHOWER ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY AS UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
TRAVERSES THE AREA. NOT LOOKING AT MUCH INSTABILITY...SO THINK
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE ABOUT ALL WE CAN MUSTER. MAINLY DRY WEATHER
AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO START NEXT WORK WEEK
BEFORE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN BY MIDWEEK.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.AVIATION...

A SEVERE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND WILL PASS THROUGH KJLN AND KSGF BETWEEN 13
AND 16Z. IFR AND BRIEF LIFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
STORMS. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS WITH
GUSTS OVER 40 KNOTS POSSIBLE. ONCE THE MAIN LINE PASSES...RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LAST A FEW MORE HOURS. EXPECT MVFR AND
OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. FLIGHT CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WE MAY SEE A STRATUS DECK
DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT...BUT CONFIDENCE
IS TOO LOW TO GO WITH IFR CEILINGS AT THIS TIME.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOZ077-079>083-
     088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR KSZ097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
435 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090945-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
435 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.
  ISOLATED TORNADOES.
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST
 KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI AFTER 530 AM. THIS LINE WILL
 CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE EASTWARD INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS...
 REACHING THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AFTER 700 AM AND THE HIGHWAY 63
 CORRIDOR AFTER 830 AM.

  DISCUSSION:

 AN INTENSE...SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
 RAPIDLY DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
 HOURS. THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THIS LINE WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST
 AND UNSTABLE. WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
 SYSTEM...THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST
 SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS AND INTO WESTERN
 PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA PRIOR TO SUNRISE.

 SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS AS IT MOVES
 THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS BETWEEN
 500 AM AND 1000 AM. INTENSE STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH
 CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS. GIVEN
 STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...ISOLATED TORNADOES EMBEDDED WITHIN
 THE SQUALL LINE ARE POSSIBLE.

 WHILE THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA THIS
 MORNING...HIGH RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO THE VERY MOIST
 ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS
 OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH WILL LEAD
 TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND LOW WATER
 CROSSINGS.

 THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER NEAR THE ARKANSAS BORDER THIS AFTERNOON
 AND EVENING...HOWEVER THE OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND
 HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
 THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS
 MORNING BEGINNING AT 530 AM ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
 WESTERN MISSOURI AND AFTER 700 AM FOR AREAS NEAR THE HIGHWAY 65
 CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN/SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
905 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GOODHOPE                36.91N 92.81W
05/08/2009                   DOUGLAS            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            HOME DESTROYED NW OF GOODHOPE

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
906 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0902 AM     TSTM WND DMG     STRAFFORD               37.27N 93.12W
05/08/2009                   GREENE             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            PARTIAL BUILDING COLLAPSE

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
907 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W CHARITY             37.52N  93.05W
05/08/2009                   DALLAS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BUILDINGS DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 38 AND M HIGHWAY.

&&

RUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
908 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WINDYVILLE              37.71N  92.93W
05/08/2009                   DALLAS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN

&&

RUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
910 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0909 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FORDLAND                37.16N 92.94W
05/08/2009                   WEBSTER            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING AT Z AND 60 HWY

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
911 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0909 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E STRAFFORD           37.27N  93.08W
05/08/2009                   WEBSTER            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TRACTOR TRAILER TURNED OVER NEAR MILE MARKER 90 WEST
            BOUND INTERSTATE 44 CLOSED.

&&

RUNNELS