Tornado Warning 32, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 081351
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
851 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

MOC043-081401-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0032.000000T0000Z-090508T1430Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-
851 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE TORNADO
THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS EXITING THE WARNED AREA...THUS THE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

HOWEVER HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FRIDAY
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3704 9318 3709 9293 3708 9290 3683 9291
      3682 9292 3681 9314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1351Z 236DEG 37KT 3704 9283

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
655 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

THE MCS ENTERING THE WESTERN CWA HAS NOW BECOME FORWARD
PROPAGATING WITH ITS FORWARD MOTION APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING 70
MPH. SEVERAL REPORTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH WINDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. SEE NO REASON FOR THIS TREND NOT TO CONTINUE AS
THIS LINE BLASTS THROUGH SOUTHWEST MISSOURI GIVEN LATEST SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE. THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL
FOR MESOVORTICES AND PERHAPS BRIEF TORNADOES AS PLENTY OF AMBIENT
AND STORM SCALE VERTICAL VORTICITY SOURCES ARE PRESENT. HAIL WILL
ALSO BE A CONTINUED THREAT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR PRESENT. EXTREME RAINFALL RATES...IN SOME CASES EXCEEDING
THREE INCHES PER HOUR...WILL ALSO POSE A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD
THREAT.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS THE SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM
THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS MORNING.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS MCS IS IN ITS BEGINNING
STAGES ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE DATA INDICATE AN ENVIRONMENT VERY FAVORABLE FOR A
FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS. THIS SHOULD FAVOR THESE STORMS
ACCELERATING TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST MISSOURI SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. THESE STORMS
WILL BE PROLIFIC WIND PRODUCERS...WITH 70 MPH WIND GUSTS EASILY
ATTAINABLE. ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR ALSO EXIST FOR SOME LARGE
HAIL. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO BE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR
MESOVORTICES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THIS
MCS WILL RACE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...POSSIBLY CLEARING THE
FORECAST AREA BY 18Z. ONE GOOD THING ABOUT THIS TYPE OF MCS IS
THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL NOT LAST ALL THAT LONG. THE BAD
NEWS IS THAT RAINFALL RATES WITH THE LINE WILL BE RATHER INTENSE.
WILL THEREFORE LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTACT. NOT SURE HOW
MUCH WE WILL WARM UP THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE WAKE PRECIPITATION
AND CLOUD COVER...BUT SOME BREAKS OUT WEST MAY ALLOW SOME
AFTERNOON WARMING.

WE MAY SEE A LEFT OVER SHOWER OR STORM TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI...BUT A PASSING COLD FRONT SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT MOST IF
NOT ALL ACTIVITY INTO ARKANSAS. CANNOT RULE OUT A SHOWER OR
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI...BUT THINK MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY. WE MAY SEE A SLIGHTLY
BETTER SHOT AT SHOWER ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY AS UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
TRAVERSES THE AREA. NOT LOOKING AT MUCH INSTABILITY...SO THINK
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE ABOUT ALL WE CAN MUSTER. MAINLY DRY WEATHER
AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO START NEXT WORK WEEK
BEFORE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN BY MIDWEEK.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.AVIATION...

A SEVERE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND WILL PASS THROUGH KJLN AND KSGF BETWEEN 13
AND 16Z. IFR AND BRIEF LIFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
STORMS. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS WITH
GUSTS OVER 40 KNOTS POSSIBLE. ONCE THE MAIN LINE PASSES...RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LAST A FEW MORE HOURS. EXPECT MVFR AND
OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. FLIGHT CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WE MAY SEE A STRATUS DECK
DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT...BUT CONFIDENCE
IS TOO LOW TO GO WITH IFR CEILINGS AT THIS TIME.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOZ077-079>083-
     088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR KSZ097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
435 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090945-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
435 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.
  ISOLATED TORNADOES.
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 A SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST
 KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI AFTER 530 AM. THIS LINE WILL
 CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE EASTWARD INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS...
 REACHING THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AFTER 700 AM AND THE HIGHWAY 63
 CORRIDOR AFTER 830 AM.

  DISCUSSION:

 AN INTENSE...SQUALL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
 RAPIDLY DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
 HOURS. THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THIS LINE WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST
 AND UNSTABLE. WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
 SYSTEM...THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST
 SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS AND INTO WESTERN
 PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA PRIOR TO SUNRISE.

 SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS AS IT MOVES
 THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS BETWEEN
 500 AM AND 1000 AM. INTENSE STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH
 CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS. GIVEN
 STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...ISOLATED TORNADOES EMBEDDED WITHIN
 THE SQUALL LINE ARE POSSIBLE.

 WHILE THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA THIS
 MORNING...HIGH RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO THE VERY MOIST
 ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS
 OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH WILL LEAD
 TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND LOW WATER
 CROSSINGS.

 THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER NEAR THE ARKANSAS BORDER THIS AFTERNOON
 AND EVENING...HOWEVER THE OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND
 HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH
 THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS
 MORNING BEGINNING AT 530 AM ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
 WESTERN MISSOURI AND AFTER 700 AM FOR AREAS NEAR THE HIGHWAY 65
 CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN/SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
813 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
05/08/2009                   GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUT AT CAMPBELL AND PRIMROSE

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
816 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HAIL             2 S IBERIA              38.06N  92.29W
05/08/2009  E1.25 INCH       MILLER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL FALLING ALONG ALONG HIGHWAY 17.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
818 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S MONETT              36.91N  93.93W
05/08/2009                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            OUTBUILDINGS DAMAGE

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
820 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     TSTM WND GST     BATTLEFIELD             37.12N 93.37W
05/08/2009  M60 MPH          GREENE             MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            GUST TO 60 MPH AT FF JUST SOUTH OF JAMES RIVER

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
821 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 AM     TSTM WND GST     SPRINGFIELD             37.20N  93.29W
05/08/2009  E70 MPH          GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS REPORTED AT BATTLEFIELD AND GLENSTONE IN
            SPRINGFIELD.

&&

RUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
822 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 NNE BROOKLINE         37.23N  93.39W
05/08/2009  M65 MPH          GREENE             MO   ASOS

&&

KARDELL