Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 080612
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1212 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

MOC225-080622-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-080108T0700Z/
WEBSTER MO-
1212 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN WEBSTER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3724 9269 3726 9268 3727 9270 3748 9269
      3749 9267 3748 9225 3720 9255 3710 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 235DEG 54KT 3725 9258

$$

MOC229-080700-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-080108T0700Z/
WRIGHT MO-
1212 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN WRIGHT COUNTY...

AT 1210 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR ODIN...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MARSHFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHERN WRIGHT COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF MANES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3724 9269 3726 9268 3727 9270 3748 9269
      3749 9267 3748 9225 3720 9255 3710 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 235DEG 54KT 3725 9258

$$

WISE

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 080627
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1227 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

MOC229-080637-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-080108T0700Z/
WRIGHT MO-
1227 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN WRIGHT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER
SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST TUESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3724 9269 3726 9268 3727 9270 3748 9269
      3749 9267 3748 9225 3720 9255 3710 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0627Z 235DEG 54KT 3738 9235

$$

WISE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1141 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.UPDATE...

SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WITH LONG TRACKED SUPERCELLS PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING. ENTIRE FORECAST AREA HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN
CONVECTIVE WATCHES ISSUED BY SPC UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS WITH A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE WESTERN
MISSOURI OZARKS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AS MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTS OUT OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH AMPLE SHEAR
AND HELICITY ALONG WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

A 03Z SOUNDING HAS BEEN LAUNCHED AND WILL PROVIDE FURTHER DETAILS
ON THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE OF THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE AREA.
BALLOON WILL REACH 400 MB IN ABOUT 10 MINUTES WITH DATA BEING SENT
SHORTLY.

ANGLE

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CHALLENGES DEAL WITH SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TUESDAY.

SHORT TERM (THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WE DID HAVE A FAIRLY
GOOD CAP ON THE ATMOSPHERE THIS MORNING AS SEEN ON THIS MORNINGS
SF SOUNDING. DUE TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HOWEVER INCREASING
TO THE LOW 70S ACROSS THIS AREA...THE CAP HAS BEEN ERODED ENOUGH
TO ALLOW CONVECTION TO INITIATE. PERFORMED 20Z SPECIAL SOUNDING
SHOWING MODERATE 0-3KM HELICITIES OF 337 M2/S2. RUC SHOWING
INSTABILITIES AROUND 1000 J/KG OUT THAT WAY WITH 0-6KM BULK SHEAR
OF 50-60KTS. STORMS ARE ROTATING AND A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING.

THE BIG WEATHER PRODUCER THAT WILL AFFECT THE AREA IS THE UPPER
LOW CURRENTLY CLEARING THE 4 CORNERS AREA MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST.
AS THIS SYSTEM PICKS UP THE SURFACE LOW...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
START MOVING INTO OUR WESTERN CWA. INSTABILITIES EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS SHEAR CONTINUES TO INCREASE. WRF SHOWING
VALUES AS HIGH AS 60-70KTS. WOULD EXPECT THE TORNADO WATCH TO BE
CONTINUED AND EXPENDED FURTHER EAST AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES.

FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH WESTERN MISSOURI BY EARLY MORNING AND
THROUGH EASTERN MISSOURI AROUND NOON TOMORROW. PRECIP ENDING FROM
WEST TO EAST AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES EAST. TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY
WARM ENOUGH FOR MAINLY LIQUID. BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE FALLING
THROUGH THE DAY AND POSSIBLY A RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR A BRIEF PERIOD
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

CLAYCOMB

LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)

PATTERN SHIFT TAKES PLACE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE UPPER WAVE ON THURSDAY.  THIS WILL RETURN OUR FLOW TO
A MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION AND BRING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN
TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS.  IN ADDITION TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
THURSDAY...ADDITIONAL FRONTS SHOULD MOVE THROUGH ON SATURDAY AND
AGAIN ON MONDAY.

MOISTURE DOES APPEAR TO BE LIMITED AT THIS TIME SO KEPT POPS ON THE
LOW SIDE.  COULD SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES WITH THE SATURDAY
FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME.

GAEDE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE...MVFR WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DUE TO TSRA AND SHRA. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
AND TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST OVER KSGF WITH KJLN ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE TRAINING CONVECTION. TSRA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION
TO SHRA AS ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES AFTER 10Z. MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 10Z WITH CEILINGS IMPROVING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

ANGLE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
707 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
707 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.
  SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  BASEBALLS...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH AND TORNADOES.
  SEVERAL REPORTS OF TORNADOES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED WITH
  THIS ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. PERSONS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
  AND CENTRAL MISSOURI CAN EXPECT DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH
  200 AM. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE OZARKS...GENERALLY ALONG AND
  SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SALEM IN DENT COUNTY TO BRANSON IN
  TANEY COUNTY CAN EXPECTED ACTIVITY TO INCREASE AFTER 10 PM.
  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST
  KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI BY 10 PM. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
  MOVE EAST...WITH ALL FORMS OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. THIS IS A
  VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE

  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
  CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS RICH MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
  STREAM NORTH INTO THE REGION. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL
  BE INCREASED OVER ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
  THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
  THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR ON TUESDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A
  STRONG COLD FRONT. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE.
  THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WOULD INCREASE ON TUESDAY ACROSS
  SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI IF THE COLD FRONT IS SLOWER TO MOVE
  OUT OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NECESSARY TONIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST
  OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1108 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 W HARTVILLE           37.25N 92.64W
01/07/2008                   WRIGHT             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN 7 MILES WEST OF HARTVILLE.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1118 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 W FALCON              37.60N 92.51W
01/07/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POSSIBLE TORNADO...HOME SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED WITH TREES
            DOWN. RESCUE CREW ON THE SCENE.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1123 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1123 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E PURDY               36.82N 93.87W
01/07/2008                   BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER 10 INCHES DEEP OVER FARM ROAD 1100 SOUTH OF C
            HIGHWAY.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1124 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1124 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NIXA                    37.04N 93.29W
01/07/2008                   CHRISTIAN          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER OVER ROADS NEAR NIXA.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1127 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1127 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 W ELSEY               36.85N 93.63W
01/07/2008                   BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED 5 MILES WEST OF ELSEY.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1147 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 N HARTVILLE           37.34N 92.51W
01/07/2008                   WRIGHT             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            TREES DOWN SIX MILES NORTH OF HARTVILLE. REPORTED IN THE
            VICINITY OF A PREVIOUS A FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTING BY THE
            SAME OBSERVER.

&&

BARJENBRUCH