Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081514
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1014 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC027-101-127-131-133-081600-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080608T1600Z/
DODGE WI-WASHINGTON WI-WAUKESHA WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-
1014 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT 
FOR WESTERN RACINE...EASTERN WALWORTH...WESTERN WAUKESHA...WESTERN 
WASHINGTON AND DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 1014 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JUNEAU TO WATERTOWN 
TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHITEWATER TO LOVES PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST 
AT 56 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  JUNEAU...JUNEAU DODGE AIRPORT...AND HORICON BY 1020 AM CDT...
  MAYVILLE...WOODLAND...TROY CENTER AND STONE BANK BY 1025 AM CDT...
  SAINT LAWRENCE AND GENESEE BY 1030 AM CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE ACROSS JEFFERSON 
COUNTY. THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A 
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4261 8824 4261 8831 4249 8831 4249 8861
      4283 8846 4284 8855 4320 8853 4321 8900
      4337 8901 4360 8840 4355 8838 4354 8827
      4339 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1514Z 245DEG 48KT 4336 8874 4323 8859
          4294 8858 4235 8888

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081534
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1034 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC027-101-127-131-133-081600-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080608T1600Z/
DODGE WI-WASHINGTON WI-WAUKESHA WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-
1034 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT 
FOR WESTERN RACINE...EASTERN WALWORTH...WESTERN WAUKESHA...WESTERN 
WASHINGTON AND DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 1029 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MAYVILLE TO HARTFORD TO WALES TO 
HARVARD...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WAYNE...BURLINGTON AIRPORT...AND KOHLSVILLE BY 1040 AM CDT...
  WATERFORD NORTH...ROCHESTER...PELL LAKE AND GENOA CITY BY 1045 AM
  CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE ACROSS JEFFERSON 
COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4261 8824 4261 8831 4249 8831 4249 8861
      4283 8846 4284 8855 4320 8853 4321 8900
      4337 8901 4360 8840 4355 8838 4354 8827
      4339 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1534Z 249DEG 47KT 4346 8840 4333 8825
          4304 8825 4245 8856

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081540
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1041 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC027-101-127-131-133-081600-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080608T1600Z/
DODGE WI-WASHINGTON WI-WAUKESHA WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-
1041 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN RACINE...EASTERN WALWORTH...CENTRAL WAUKESHA...WESTERN
WASHINGTON AND EAST CENTRAL DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 1041 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KOHLSVILLE TO SLINGER TO PEWAUKEE TO 6 
MILES SOUTHEAST OF FONTANA-ON-GENEVA LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 53 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  GENOA CITY AND BOHNERS LAKE BY 1050 AM CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4261 8824 4261 8831 4249 8831 4249 8861
      4279 8847 4321 8837 4332 8850 4353 8859
      4360 8840 4355 8838 4354 8827 4339 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1541Z 248DEG 46KT 4350 8829 4337 8814
          4308 8814 4249 8846

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081544
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1043 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC027-101-127-131-133-081600-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080608T1600Z/
DODGE WI-WASHINGTON WI-WAUKESHA WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-
1043 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN RACINE...EASTERN WALWORTH...CENTRAL WAUKESHA...WESTERN
WASHINGTON AND EAST CENTRAL DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 1038 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM KOHLSVILLE TO SLINGER TO PEWAUKEE TO FONTANA-ON-GENEVA
LAKE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEWASKUM
TO JACKSON TO BROOKFIELD TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF HARVARD...MOVING
EAST AT 53 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PELL LAKE...GENOA CITY AND BOHNERS LAKE BY 1050 AM CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 67 MPH. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4261 8824 4261 8831 4249 8831 4249 8861
      4279 8847 4321 8837 4332 8850 4353 8859
      4360 8840 4355 8838 4354 8827 4339 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1543Z 248DEG 46KT 4351 8825 4338 8810
          4309 8811 4250 8843

$$

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081554
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1053 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC027-101-127-131-133-081603-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080608T1600Z/
DODGE WI-WASHINGTON WI-WAUKESHA WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-
1053 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN RACINE...EASTERN
WALWORTH...CENTRAL WAUKESHA...WESTERN WASHINGTON AND EAST CENTRAL
DODGE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 AM CDT...

THE LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED EAST OF THE 
WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL LINES OF STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND 
FLASH FLOODING THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. 

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4261 8824 4261 8831 4249 8831 4249 8861
      4279 8847 4321 8837 4332 8850 4353 8859
      4360 8840 4355 8838 4354 8827 4339 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 1553Z 248DEG 46KT 4356 8808 4343 8794
          4314 8795 4255 8827

$$

GEHRING

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
332 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

FORECAST FOCUS ON HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE POTENTIAL TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED SOUTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND PLAINS STATES. CURRENT CONVECTION IN
EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO IOWA AND FAR SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA. THIS
ACTIVITY BEING DRIVEN BY 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET NOSE...ALONG WITH
LOW TO MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS...AND STRONG 40 TO 50 KNOT DEEP
LAYER WIND SHEAR. AT THE SURFACE...WARM FRONT WAS DEVELOPING IN
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY TO THE
NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. QUASI
STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE REGION UNTIL
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PULLS IT NORTH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT SHOULD
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE TONIGHT.

THESE SURFACE BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH GOOD LOW TO
MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESPONSE FIELDS...AND 40 KNOT PLUS LOW
LEVEL JET NOSE...TO BRING MORE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCAL HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS DO SHOW AN AREA OF STORMS...CURRENTLY DEVELOPING
ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA AT THIS TIME...COMING THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING...WITH A SECOND AREA WITH THE COLD FRONT LATER TODAY AND
INTO THIS EVENING.

WOULD EXPECT SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS...ESPECIALLY WITH
THE COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEAN LAYER CAPE
VALUES APPROACH 2500 J/KG BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH 0-6KM SHEAR
VALUES OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS. 0-1KM SHEAR VALUES ALSO HIGH...WITH 20
TO 30 KNOTS A GOOD BET. MEAN LAYER LCLS REMAIN LOW AS WELL. SO
POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE GOOD. WILL MENTION SEVERE WORDING IN FORECAST.

HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO A GOOD BET TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY MOIST
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...ALONG WITH SLOW PROPAGATION OF CELLS FROM MESO BETA
ELEMENTS DATA ON AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS. ORIENTATION OF SURFACE
AND LOW LEVEL BOUNDARIES PARALLEL TO THE STEERING LEVEL FLOW AS
WELL. GROUND IS SATURATED FROM PAST CONVECTION. WILL EXTEND FLASH
FLOOD WATCH GOING THROUGH THIS EVENING...TO TIME CONVECTION ACROSS
THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. ALL IN ALL...MORE FLASH
FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

MAY SEE ANOTHER MCS GO THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES
ON MONDAY. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY NOW WITH SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES,
WILL KEEP THE CHANCE WORDING IN THE FORECAST. IN FACT...THE CHANCY
WORDING WILL REMAIN IN MOST PERIODS OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST.
SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS WITH TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
FEATURES...BUT WILL NOT GET TOO PICKY THIS FAR OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...EXTREMELY MOIST ATMOSPHERE OVR AREA TODAY. GENERALLY
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD...EXCEPT IN AND AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS. CONTINUOUS REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING. STUBBORN BOUNDARY
FINALLY SAGS SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR WIZ046-047-051-052-
     056>060-062>072.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...08/WOOD
AVIATION/MARINE...05/DAVIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-081315-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE THE MAIN THREAT. TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...OR
FORECAST TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER
ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL LEAD TO MORE FLASH FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-081315-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY

DAVIS
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
714 AM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MILWAUKEE INTL ARPT(KMK 42.96N 87.90W
06/07/2008                   MILWAUKEE          WI   OTHER FEDERAL

            MITCHELL INTERNATIONAL AIPORT WAS SHUT DOWN AT 8 PM
            SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO MAJOR FLOODING...IT IS EXPECTED
            TO REOPEN AT 730 AM THIS SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

SDAVIS