Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WGUS73 KMKX 080334
FFSMKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1031 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIC025-055-080830-
/O.CON.KMKX.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080608T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JEFFERSON WI-DANE WI-
1031 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT FOR DANE
AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 1028 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS OVER DANE AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES.  
THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING TO THE EAST AT 50 MPH.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE HALF INCH TO ONE INCH IS LIKELY THROUGH 
330 AM WHICH WILL SERVE TO AGGRAVATE THE ALREADY WET GROUND FROM 
EARLIER RAINFALL. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKE MILLS...
I90/94 INTERCHANGE...MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT...MADISON CAPITOL
SQUARE...WINDSOR...WAUNAKEE...WATERTOWN...WATERLOO...SUN PRAIRIE...
SHOREWOOD HILLS...MIDDLETON...MAZOMANIE...MARSHALL...MAPLE BLUFF...
JOHNSON CREEK...DE FOREST...CROSS PLAINS...COTTAGE GROVE AND BLACK
EARTH

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 4324 8981 4324 8976 4330 8971 4329 8937
      4328 8903 4320 8901 4319 8853 4285 8855
      4286 8983 4322 8984
TIME...MOT...LOC 0331Z 180DEG 0KT 4307 8901

$$
MBK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
609 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

.UPDATE...HAVE EXPANDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE REMAINDER OF
CWA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL UP TO 2.5 INCHES WITH THE LATE AFTERNOON
COMPLEX HAS CAUSED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE TO LOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
TIER OF CWA. EXPECTING ADDITIONAL SERIES OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 239 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008/

DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON VERY WET AND UNSETTLED PERIOD FOR
THE WEEKEND.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
AS MANY SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING PARAMETERS COMING
TOGETHER ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. AFTER SEVERE EPISODE THIS
EVENING...ATTENTION TURNS TO FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. VERY JUICY AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NOW
BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2 INCHES...WILL BE RESIDE OVER AREA ALONG WITH
MODERATE TO EXCELLENT PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES. BUT BIGGEST
CHANGE IS THE VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT OF PROGS THAT SETS UP A LONG
PERIOD THAT SEES THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET POINT INTO THE CWA
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY WITH A 40 TO 50 KNOT CORE. EXPECTING A
SERIES OF STORMS TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN IOWA AND PROPAGATE INTO
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ON THE NOSE OF THIS JET. CORFIDI VECTORS VERY
FAVORABLE TO INDICATE THAT EXTENSIVE BACK BUILDING OF STORMS WILL
LEAD TO TRAINING ECHOES OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. HAVE ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN ZONES WHICH HAVE SEEN DECENT RAINS DURING THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LOW.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN
CONTINUES AS UPPER FEATURES REFLECT LARGE HIGH OVER THE SOUTHERN
U.S. WHILE ACTIVE JET STREAM ESTABLISHED OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF
STATES. THERE ARE HINTS OF BRIEF BREAKS IN PRECIPITATION PATTERN.
BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AT THE MOMENT TO FORECAST A DRY PERIOD
OF ANY LENGTH. WILL JUST KEEP MODIFYING RAIN CHANCES FOR NOW. KEPT
TEMPERATURES ON WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE AS PENETRATION OF COOL
AIR MASSES SHALLOW AT BEST.

AVIATION...MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. SEVERAL PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW
SEVERE...WILL PUSH ACROSS REGION. OTHER THAN BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS
IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12Z
SUNDAY. SOUTH SURFACE WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
KNOTS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIZ046-047-051-052-
     056>060-062>072.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...17
AVIATION/MARINE...17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-081215-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER ALL OF
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE.

THE FOX RIVER AT NEW MUNSTER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT TONIGHT OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

THE FOX RIVER AT NEW MUNSTER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

LMZ643>646-081215-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY

TZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
843 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     HAIL             WAUKESHA                43.01N 88.24W
06/07/2008  E1.00 INCH       WAUKESHA           WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            REPORTED BY AN OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE. NEAR LISBON AND

            BROWN STREET. PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
844 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     TSTM WND GST     WAUKESHA                43.01N 88.24W
06/07/2008  E70 MPH          WAUKESHA           WI   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WITH PENNY SIZE
            HAIL. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
850 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     TSTM WND GST     RANDOLPH                43.54N 89.00W
06/07/2008  E60 MPH          DODGE              WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS WITH PEA SIZE HAIL.
            ALSO MENTIONED A LOWERING WITH WEAK ROTATION.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
859 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND GST     STOUGHTON               42.92N 89.22W
06/07/2008  M57 MPH          DANE               WI   MESONET

            MEASURED AT A SCHOOL NET SITE IN STOUGHTON. DELAYED
            INFORMATION.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
913 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MILWAUKEE               43.03N 87.92W
06/07/2008                   MILWAUKEE          07   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STATE OF EMERGENCY IN MILWAUKEE COUNTY DUE TO WIDESPREAD
            FLOODING. AT 51ST AND GOOD HOPE ROAD...CARS WERE FLOATING
            IN WATER AND THE OCCUPANTS HAD TO SWIM TO SAFETY. LOTS OF
            MAJOR THOROUGHFARES IN MILWAUKEE COUNTY ARE INUNDATED
            WITH WATER INCLUDING HIGHWAY 100 IN WEST ALLIS AND MILLER
            PARKWAY.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
914 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MILWAUKEE               43.03N 87.92W
06/07/2008                   MILWAUKEE          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STATE OF EMERGENCY IN MILWAUKEE COUNTY DUE TO WIDESPREAD
            FLOODING. AT 51ST AND GOOD HOPE ROAD...CARS WERE FLOATING
            IN WATER AND THE OCCUPANTS HAD TO SWIM TO SAFETY. LOTS OF
            MAJOR THOROUGHFARES IN MILWAUKEE COUNTY ARE INUNDATED
            WITH WATER INCLUDING HIGHWAY 100 IN WEST ALLIS AND MILLER
            PARKWAY.

&&

LAMERS