Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WGUS73 KMKX 080325
FFSMKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1021 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIC021-027-039-080415-
/O.CON.KMKX.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-080608T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FOND DU LAC WI-COLUMBIA WI-DODGE WI-
1021 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR
DODGE...SOUTHEASTERN COLUMBIA AND FOND DU LAC COUNTIES...

AT 1019 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS OVER DODGE...COLUMBIA AND FOND DU 
LAC COUNTIES LATE THIS EVENING.  IN ADDITION...MORE THUNDERSTORMS 
WERE LOCATED TO THE WEST OVER SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

ALL THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING TO THE EAST AT 50 MPH.  ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL OF ONE HALF INCH TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES IS EXPECTED 
FROM 1020 PM THROUGH MIDNIGHT.  

THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY SERVE TO WORSEN THE FLOODING 
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FOND DU
LAC...WAUPUN...ROSENDALE...RIPON...OAKFIELD...NORTH FOND DU LAC...
LOMIRA...CAMPBELLSPORT AND BRANDON

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4365 8924 4363 8906 4364 8888 4390 8887
      4391 8842 4393 8841 4394 8815 4358 8814
      4356 8816 4354 8839 4320 8842 4323 8901
      4328 8901 4329 8962
TIME...MOT...LOC 0321Z 180DEG 0KT 4356 8877

$$
MBK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
609 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

.UPDATE...HAVE EXPANDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE REMAINDER OF
CWA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL UP TO 2.5 INCHES WITH THE LATE AFTERNOON
COMPLEX HAS CAUSED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE TO LOWER ACROSS NORTHERN
TIER OF CWA. EXPECTING ADDITIONAL SERIES OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 239 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008/

DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON VERY WET AND UNSETTLED PERIOD FOR
THE WEEKEND.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
AS MANY SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING PARAMETERS COMING
TOGETHER ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. AFTER SEVERE EPISODE THIS
EVENING...ATTENTION TURNS TO FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. VERY JUICY AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NOW
BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2 INCHES...WILL BE RESIDE OVER AREA ALONG WITH
MODERATE TO EXCELLENT PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES. BUT BIGGEST
CHANGE IS THE VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT OF PROGS THAT SETS UP A LONG
PERIOD THAT SEES THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET POINT INTO THE CWA
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY WITH A 40 TO 50 KNOT CORE. EXPECTING A
SERIES OF STORMS TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN IOWA AND PROPAGATE INTO
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ON THE NOSE OF THIS JET. CORFIDI VECTORS VERY
FAVORABLE TO INDICATE THAT EXTENSIVE BACK BUILDING OF STORMS WILL
LEAD TO TRAINING ECHOES OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. HAVE ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN ZONES WHICH HAVE SEEN DECENT RAINS DURING THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LOW.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN
CONTINUES AS UPPER FEATURES REFLECT LARGE HIGH OVER THE SOUTHERN
U.S. WHILE ACTIVE JET STREAM ESTABLISHED OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF
STATES. THERE ARE HINTS OF BRIEF BREAKS IN PRECIPITATION PATTERN.
BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AT THE MOMENT TO FORECAST A DRY PERIOD
OF ANY LENGTH. WILL JUST KEEP MODIFYING RAIN CHANCES FOR NOW. KEPT
TEMPERATURES ON WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE AS PENETRATION OF COOL
AIR MASSES SHALLOW AT BEST.

AVIATION...MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. SEVERAL PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW
SEVERE...WILL PUSH ACROSS REGION. OTHER THAN BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS
IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12Z
SUNDAY. SOUTH SURFACE WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
KNOTS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIZ046-047-051-052-
     056>060-062>072.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...17
AVIATION/MARINE...17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-081215-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER ALL OF
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE.

THE FOX RIVER AT NEW MUNSTER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT TONIGHT OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT SUNDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

THE FOX RIVER AT NEW MUNSTER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

LMZ643>646-081215-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY

TZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
731 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MILWAUKEE INTL ARPT(KMK 42.96N 87.90W
06/07/2008                   MILWAUKEE          WI   OTHER FEDERAL

            WAIST DEEP WATER REPORTED BY THE CONTRACT WEATHER
            OBSERVER.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
745 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STOUGHTON               42.92N 89.22W
06/07/2008                   DANE               WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THIS IS AN UPDATE TO THE ORIGNAL LSR. IT APPEARS THAT AN
            EXTREME DOWNBURST WIND EVENT DEVELOPED SOMEWHERE TO THE
            SOUTH OF THE TOWN OF OREGON...AND TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST
            THROUGH THE WESTERN SIDE OF STOUGHTON TOWARDS LAKE
            KEGONSA. A COUPLE OF BARNS WERE DESTROYED AND A ROOF WAS
            RIPPED OFF A HOME. CHRIST LUTHERAN CHURCH HAD A PORTION
            OF THE EAST SIDE OF THEIR BUILDING BADLY DAMAGED. A FEW
            MOBILE HOMES SUSTAINED DAMAGE AND AT AN AUTO SALES
            LOT...A FEW CARS WERE MOVED BY THE WINDS.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
749 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W BROOKFIELD          43.06N 88.18W
06/07/2008  M4.30 INCH       WAUKESHA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORT RECEIVED FROM THE TOWN OF BROOKFIELD WEST OF THE
            CITY OF BROOKFIELD. RAINFALL TOTAL IS SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
759 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                43.34N 89.03W
06/07/2008                   COLUMBIA           WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS SEVERE FLOODING IN COLUMBUS WITH
            HOUSES FLOODED. HIGHWAY 16 IS CLOSED. A FEW ROADS ALONG
            HIGHWAY 89 SOUTH OF COLUMBUS HAVE WASHED OUT. ALSO THE
            ROAD HAS WASHED OUT AT HIGHWAY J AND VOSS ROAD. THE FLOOD
            EVENT IS ONGOING.

&&

LAMERS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
812 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-080230-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
812 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 482 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR MUCH OF
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...

AT 810 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN
FROM SHEBOYGAN TO KENOSHA. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THE STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST
AROUND 30 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN EARLY TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS INVADING SOUTH
CENTRAL WISCONSIN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THESE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO
OVERSPREAD SOUTHERN WISCONSIN OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVY RAIN.

THE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXTREMELY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN. ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RAPIDLY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND TORNADOES.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SITUATION. ALL PERSONS ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN NEED TO BE PREPARED
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. BE READY TO TAKE
QUICK ACTION WHEN A WARNING IS ISSUED.

TZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
815 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DALTON                  43.66N 89.21W
06/07/2008                   GREEN LAKE         WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS COMING DOWN...ALSO SPOTTER ESTIMATED 60 MPH
            WIND GUSTS.

&&

LAMERS