Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081459
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
959 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC025-055-105-127-081530-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-080608T1530Z/
ROCK WI-JEFFERSON WI-WALWORTH WI-DANE WI-
959 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN DANE...WESTERN WALWORTH...JEFFERSON AND EASTERN ROCK
COUNTIES...

AT 956 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERLOO TO 
MILTON TO ROCKTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 63 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  JOHNSTOWN CENTER...HEBRON...EMERALD GROVE AND AVALON BY 1005 AM
  CDT...
  ROME...RICHMOND...PIPERSVILLE AND HELENVILLE BY 1010 AM CDT...     
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE BY 1015 AM CDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4314 8914 4320 8903 4320 8853 4285 8854
      4284 8847 4280 8846 4249 8860 4249 8911
      4283 8886 4284 8890 4284 8929
TIME...MOT...LOC 1459Z 242DEG 55KT 4316 8889 4283 8884
          4245 8904

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081511
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1010 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC025-081520-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-080608T1530Z/
DANE WI-
1010 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DANE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF SEVERE STORMS HAS PUSHED OUT OF THE COUNTY...THEREFORE 
THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4283 8886 4284 8894 4320 8895 4320 8853
      4285 8854 4284 8847 4280 8846 4249 8860
      4249 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 1510Z 242DEG 54KT 4324 8873 4290 8864
          4252 8884

$$

WIC055-105-127-081530-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-080608T1530Z/
ROCK WI-JEFFERSON WI-WALWORTH WI-
1010 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN WALWORTH...JEFFERSON AND EASTERN ROCK COUNTIES...

AT 1006 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERTOWN TO WHITEWATER TO 
CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 63 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SULLIVAN...MILLARD AND LA GRANGE BY       
  1015 AM CDT...
  TIBBETS...FONTANA...WALWORTH AND DELAVAN LAKE BY 1020 AM CDT...
  TROY CENTER AND ABELLS CORNERS BY 1025 AM CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE ACROSS JEFFERSON 
COUNTY. THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A 
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4283 8886 4284 8894 4320 8895 4320 8853
      4285 8854 4284 8847 4280 8846 4249 8860
      4249 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 1510Z 242DEG 54KT 4324 8873 4290 8864
          4252 8884

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081532
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1031 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC055-105-127-081541-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-080608T1530Z/
ROCK WI-JEFFERSON WI-WALWORTH WI-
1031 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN WALWORTH...JEFFERSON
AND EASTERN ROCK COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE SEVERE LINE HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE WARNING...THEREFORE THE 
WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4283 8886 4284 8894 4320 8895 4320 8853
      4285 8854 4284 8847 4280 8846 4249 8860
      4249 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 1511Z 242DEG 54KT 4324 8870 4290 8862
          4252 8882

$$

BORGHOFF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
332 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

FORECAST FOCUS ON HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE POTENTIAL TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED SOUTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND PLAINS STATES. CURRENT CONVECTION IN
EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO IOWA AND FAR SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA. THIS
ACTIVITY BEING DRIVEN BY 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET NOSE...ALONG WITH
LOW TO MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS...AND STRONG 40 TO 50 KNOT DEEP
LAYER WIND SHEAR. AT THE SURFACE...WARM FRONT WAS DEVELOPING IN
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY TO THE
NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. QUASI
STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE REGION UNTIL
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PULLS IT NORTH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT SHOULD
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE TONIGHT.

THESE SURFACE BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH GOOD LOW TO
MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESPONSE FIELDS...AND 40 KNOT PLUS LOW
LEVEL JET NOSE...TO BRING MORE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCAL HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS DO SHOW AN AREA OF STORMS...CURRENTLY DEVELOPING
ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA AT THIS TIME...COMING THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING...WITH A SECOND AREA WITH THE COLD FRONT LATER TODAY AND
INTO THIS EVENING.

WOULD EXPECT SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS...ESPECIALLY WITH
THE COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEAN LAYER CAPE
VALUES APPROACH 2500 J/KG BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH 0-6KM SHEAR
VALUES OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS. 0-1KM SHEAR VALUES ALSO HIGH...WITH 20
TO 30 KNOTS A GOOD BET. MEAN LAYER LCLS REMAIN LOW AS WELL. SO
POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE GOOD. WILL MENTION SEVERE WORDING IN FORECAST.

HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO A GOOD BET TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY MOIST
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...ALONG WITH SLOW PROPAGATION OF CELLS FROM MESO BETA
ELEMENTS DATA ON AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS. ORIENTATION OF SURFACE
AND LOW LEVEL BOUNDARIES PARALLEL TO THE STEERING LEVEL FLOW AS
WELL. GROUND IS SATURATED FROM PAST CONVECTION. WILL EXTEND FLASH
FLOOD WATCH GOING THROUGH THIS EVENING...TO TIME CONVECTION ACROSS
THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. ALL IN ALL...MORE FLASH
FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

MAY SEE ANOTHER MCS GO THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES
ON MONDAY. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY NOW WITH SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES,
WILL KEEP THE CHANCE WORDING IN THE FORECAST. IN FACT...THE CHANCY
WORDING WILL REMAIN IN MOST PERIODS OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST.
SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS WITH TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
FEATURES...BUT WILL NOT GET TOO PICKY THIS FAR OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...EXTREMELY MOIST ATMOSPHERE OVR AREA TODAY. GENERALLY
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD...EXCEPT IN AND AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS. CONTINUOUS REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING. STUBBORN BOUNDARY
FINALLY SAGS SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR WIZ046-047-051-052-
     056>060-062>072.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...08/WOOD
AVIATION/MARINE...05/DAVIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-081315-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE THE MAIN THREAT. TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...OR
FORECAST TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER
ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL LEAD TO MORE FLASH FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-081315-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY

DAVIS
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
714 AM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MILWAUKEE INTL ARPT(KMK 42.96N 87.90W
06/07/2008                   MILWAUKEE          WI   OTHER FEDERAL

            MITCHELL INTERNATIONAL AIPORT WAS SHUT DOWN AT 8 PM
            SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO MAJOR FLOODING...IT IS EXPECTED
            TO REOPEN AT 730 AM THIS SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

SDAVIS