Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081425
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
925 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC045-105-081515-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-080608T1515Z/
GREEN WI-ROCK WI-
925 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT
FOR ROCK AND GREEN COUNTIES...

AT 922 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MONTICELLO TO JUDA TO 21
MILES SOUTH OF MONROE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MONROE TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONROE TO FREEPORT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 62 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BRODHEAD BY 930 AM CDT...
  EVANSVILLE AND UNION BY 935 AM CDT...
  COOKSVILLE AND ORFORDVILLE BY 940 AM CDT...
  NEWARK...FULTON AND FOOTVILLE BY 945 AM CDT...
  INDIANFORD AND HANOVER BY 950 AM CDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4286 8961 4285 8937 4284 8936 4285 8929
      4284 8887 4283 8885 4248 8915 4250 8983
TIME...MOT...LOC 1425Z 233DEG 54KT 4277 8948 4259 8947
          4232 8960

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081439
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
939 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC045-105-081515-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-080608T1515Z/
GREEN WI-ROCK WI-
939 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT
FOR ROCK AND EASTERN GREEN COUNTIES...

AT 936 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM COOKSVILLE TO FOOTVILLE TO 
12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWARK...MOVING EAST AT 62 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  INDIANFORD...FULTON AND EDGERTON BY 945 AM CDT...
  AFTON...MILTON AND DOWNTOWN JANESVILLE BY 950 AM CDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4285 8945 4285 8937 4284 8936 4285 8933
      4284 8887 4283 8885 4248 8915 4250 8957
TIME...MOT...LOC 1439Z 249DEG 53KT 4288 8920 4270 8919
          4243 8933

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081457
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
956 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC045-081506-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-080608T1515Z/
GREEN WI-
956 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN GREEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE STORMS PUSHED OUT OF GREEN COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WARNING 
IS CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4284 8929 4284 8887 4283 8885 4271 8894
      4267 8899 4263 8901 4262 8903 4253 8910
      4250 8914 4249 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1456Z 249DEG 52KT 4296 8889 4278 8889
          4251 8904

$$

WIC105-081515-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-080608T1515Z/
ROCK WI-
956 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT
FOR ROCK COUNTY...

AT 951 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF FORT ATKINSON TO MILTON 
TO ROCKTON...MOVING EAST AT 59 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4284 8929 4284 8887 4283 8885 4271 8894
      4267 8899 4263 8901 4262 8903 4253 8910
      4250 8914 4249 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1456Z 249DEG 52KT 4296 8889 4278 8889
          4251 8904

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 081509
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1008 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC105-081518-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-080608T1515Z/
ROCK WI-
1008 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN ROCK COUNTY WILL 
EXPIRE AT 1015 AM CDT...

THE LINE OF SEVERE STORMS HAS PUSHED INTO EASTERN ROCK 
COUNTY...THEREFORE THIS WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 AM. THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ROCK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 
AM. 

REPORT DAMAGE TO 911 AND THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4284 8929 4284 8887 4283 8885 4271 8894
      4267 8899 4263 8901 4262 8903 4253 8910
      4250 8914 4249 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1508Z 249DEG 52KT 4302 8866 4284 8867
          4257 8882

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
332 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

FORECAST FOCUS ON HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE POTENTIAL TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED SOUTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND PLAINS STATES. CURRENT CONVECTION IN
EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO IOWA AND FAR SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA. THIS
ACTIVITY BEING DRIVEN BY 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET NOSE...ALONG WITH
LOW TO MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS...AND STRONG 40 TO 50 KNOT DEEP
LAYER WIND SHEAR. AT THE SURFACE...WARM FRONT WAS DEVELOPING IN
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY TO THE
NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. QUASI
STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE REGION UNTIL
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PULLS IT NORTH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT SHOULD
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE TONIGHT.

THESE SURFACE BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH GOOD LOW TO
MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESPONSE FIELDS...AND 40 KNOT PLUS LOW
LEVEL JET NOSE...TO BRING MORE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCAL HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS DO SHOW AN AREA OF STORMS...CURRENTLY DEVELOPING
ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA AT THIS TIME...COMING THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING...WITH A SECOND AREA WITH THE COLD FRONT LATER TODAY AND
INTO THIS EVENING.

WOULD EXPECT SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS...ESPECIALLY WITH
THE COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEAN LAYER CAPE
VALUES APPROACH 2500 J/KG BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH 0-6KM SHEAR
VALUES OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS. 0-1KM SHEAR VALUES ALSO HIGH...WITH 20
TO 30 KNOTS A GOOD BET. MEAN LAYER LCLS REMAIN LOW AS WELL. SO
POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE GOOD. WILL MENTION SEVERE WORDING IN FORECAST.

HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO A GOOD BET TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY MOIST
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...ALONG WITH SLOW PROPAGATION OF CELLS FROM MESO BETA
ELEMENTS DATA ON AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS. ORIENTATION OF SURFACE
AND LOW LEVEL BOUNDARIES PARALLEL TO THE STEERING LEVEL FLOW AS
WELL. GROUND IS SATURATED FROM PAST CONVECTION. WILL EXTEND FLASH
FLOOD WATCH GOING THROUGH THIS EVENING...TO TIME CONVECTION ACROSS
THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. ALL IN ALL...MORE FLASH
FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

MAY SEE ANOTHER MCS GO THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES
ON MONDAY. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY NOW WITH SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES,
WILL KEEP THE CHANCE WORDING IN THE FORECAST. IN FACT...THE CHANCY
WORDING WILL REMAIN IN MOST PERIODS OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST.
SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS WITH TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
FEATURES...BUT WILL NOT GET TOO PICKY THIS FAR OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...EXTREMELY MOIST ATMOSPHERE OVR AREA TODAY. GENERALLY
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD...EXCEPT IN AND AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS. CONTINUOUS REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING. STUBBORN BOUNDARY
FINALLY SAGS SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR WIZ046-047-051-052-
     056>060-062>072.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...08/WOOD
AVIATION/MARINE...05/DAVIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-081315-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE THE MAIN THREAT. TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...OR
FORECAST TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER
ALL OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL LEAD TO MORE FLASH FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-081315-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY

DAVIS
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
714 AM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MILWAUKEE INTL ARPT(KMK 42.96N 87.90W
06/07/2008                   MILWAUKEE          WI   OTHER FEDERAL

            MITCHELL INTERNATIONAL AIPORT WAS SHUT DOWN AT 8 PM
            SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO MAJOR FLOODING...IT IS EXPECTED
            TO REOPEN AT 730 AM THIS SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

SDAVIS