Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 87

March 28, 200714 counties in Oklahoma; 29 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2007, 11:22 PM CDT for 14 counties in Oklahoma; 29 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2007, 11:22 PM CDT (04:22 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2007, 5:04 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 43 counties

Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver64 min
Mar 28, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Gray67 min
Mar 28, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOchiltree, Roberts63 min
Mar 28, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMALipscomb60 min
Mar 28, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLynn, Terry43 min
Mar 29, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Lubbock25 min
Mar 29, 12:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLUBCrosby119 min
Mar 29, 12:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADonley55 min
Mar 29, 12:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMADonley, Gray2 hr
Mar 29, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Lynn45 min
Mar 29, 12:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall38 min
Mar 29, 1:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBMotley44 min
Mar 29, 1:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNEllis26 min
Mar 29, 1:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarper49 min
Mar 29, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Lynn45 min
Mar 29, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHall45 min
Mar 29, 1:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMALipscomb2 hr
Mar 29, 2:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1596 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1596 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 290420
SEL7  
SPC WW 290420
OKZ000-TXZ000-291100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
       MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1120 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF GAGE
OKLAHOMA TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 82...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 84. WATCH NUMBER 82 84
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1120 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 83...WW
85...WW 86...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A MORE LINEAR
MODE.  HOWEVER WITH STRONG SHEAR AND INSTABILITY...POTENTIAL
CONTINUES FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG WITH THE VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WITH ANY SUPERCELL EMBEDDED OR AHEAD OF LINE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 7:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Texas2 hr
Mar 28, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas113 min
Mar 28, 10:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 10 more62 min
Mar 29, 2:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 16 more57 min
Mar 29, 11:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes and 7 more119 min
Mar 29, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Johnston and 4 more6 hr
Mar 29, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal, Creek and 17 more85 min
Mar 29, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 28 more6 hr
Mar 28, 8:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Dawson, Ector and 19 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.