Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 85
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2007, 8:51 PM CDT for 25 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2007, 8:51 PM CDT (01:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 29, 2007, 4:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 25 counties
Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 10:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 10:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 44 min |
| Mar 28, 10:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 50 min |
| Mar 28, 11:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Andrews | 42 min |
| Mar 28, 11:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector | 58 min |
| Mar 28, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin | 64 min |
| Mar 28, 11:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos | 57 min |
| Mar 28, 11:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Martin, Midland | 55 min |
| Mar 29, 12:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 55 min |
| Mar 29, 12:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Midland | 63 min |
| Mar 29, 12:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson | 45 min |
| Mar 29, 12:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane | 61 min |
| Mar 29, 12:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden | 57 min |
| Mar 29, 1:04 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Dawson | 4 hr |
| Mar 29, 1:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 66 min |
| Mar 29, 1:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 61 min |
| Mar 29, 1:24 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 34 min |
| Mar 29, 1:25 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Upton | 53 min |
| Mar 29, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reagan | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2254 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -116 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1208 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 2.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 290151
SEL5
SPC WW 290151
NMZ000-TXZ000-290900-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
850 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF NEW MEXICO
PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 850 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF WINK TEXAS
TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...WW 82...WW
83...WW 84...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ALONG DRY LINE/COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO WATCH AREA FROM THE WEST. WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000
J/KG AND STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED.
ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 7:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Donley and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 28, 8:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 33 more | 113 min |
| Mar 28, 10:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Armstrong, Baylor, Borden, Briscoe, Carson and 50 more | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 11:22 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 23 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 29, 2:03 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Foard, Hardeman, Wichita, Wilbarger | 57 min |
| Mar 29, 11:01 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Collin, Comanche and 32 more | 119 min |
| Mar 29, 12:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 22 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 29, 3:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 11 more | 85 min |
| Mar 29, 5:44 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 32 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.