Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 85

March 28, 200725 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2007, 8:51 PM CDT for 25 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2007, 8:51 PM CDT (01:51 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2007, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGaines62 min
Mar 28, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews51 min
Mar 28, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGaines44 min
Mar 28, 10:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGaines50 min
Mar 28, 11:03 PM CDTTornado WarningMAFAndrews42 min
Mar 28, 11:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Ector58 min
Mar 28, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin64 min
Mar 28, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos57 min
Mar 28, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMartin, Midland55 min
Mar 29, 12:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFUpton55 min
Mar 29, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMidland63 min
Mar 29, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFDawson45 min
Mar 29, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane61 min
Mar 29, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden57 min
Mar 29, 1:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFDawson4 hr
Mar 29, 1:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock66 min
Mar 29, 1:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFUpton61 min
Mar 29, 1:24 AM CDTTornado WarningMAFGlasscock34 min
Mar 29, 1:25 AM CDTTornado WarningMAFUpton53 min
Mar 29, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReagan62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2254 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2254 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-116 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1208 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 290151
SEL5  
SPC WW 290151
NMZ000-TXZ000-290900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
850 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST CORNER OF NEW MEXICO
       PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 850 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF WINK TEXAS
TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...WW 82...WW
83...WW 84...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ALONG DRY LINE/COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO WATCH AREA FROM THE WEST.  WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000
J/KG AND STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED. 
ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 7:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Donley and 14 more2 hr
Mar 28, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 33 more113 min
Mar 28, 10:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Armstrong, Baylor, Borden, Briscoe, Carson and 50 more62 min
Mar 28, 11:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 23 more6 hr
Mar 29, 2:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Foard, Hardeman, Wichita, Wilbarger57 min
Mar 29, 11:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Collin, Comanche and 32 more119 min
Mar 29, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 22 more6 hr
Mar 29, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 11 more85 min
Mar 29, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 32 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.