Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 89

March 29, 200710 counties in Oklahoma; 28 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 29, 2007, 12:05 PM CDT for 10 counties in Oklahoma; 28 counties in Texas. It took effect at Mar 29, 2007, 12:10 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2007, 12:05 PM CDT (17:05 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2007, 12:10 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 29, 2007, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Coal County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 4:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDBosque, Hill3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 447 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 290 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
447 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-246 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
674 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
290 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
425 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 7:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Texas2 hr
Mar 28, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas113 min
Mar 28, 10:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 10 more62 min
Mar 28, 11:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 8 more6 hr
Mar 29, 2:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 16 more57 min
Mar 29, 11:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes and 7 more119 min
Mar 29, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal, Creek and 17 more85 min
Mar 29, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 28 more6 hr
Mar 28, 8:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Dawson, Ector and 19 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.