Flash Flood Warning 265, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 281830
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
128 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXC027-309-282200-
MCLENNAN TX-BELL TX-
128 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR BELL
AND MCLENNAN COUNTIES...

AT 128 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM MART...TO WACO...AND 
SOUTH TO LAKE BELTON. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 20 MPH.

RAINFALL OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR HAS FALLEN WITH THESE STORMS. 
FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES IS LIKELY. 
PEOPLE IN MART AND WACO WILL EXPEREINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL. 
ALTHOUGH THE RAIN IS DECREASING IN BELL COUNTY...CONTINUED RUNOFF 
AND FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3088 9762 3091 9783 3105 9791 3133 9742
      3159 9760 3186 9704 3153 9681 3128 9728
      3100 9709 3089 9728 3076 9732

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 281931
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
230 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXC027-309-282200-
MCLENNAN TX-BELL TX-
230 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR BELL
AND MCLENNAN COUNTIES...

AT 230 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA HAD DIMINISHED. 
AT 230 PM CDT...RADAR SHOWED SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS ACROSS 
MCLENNAN COUNTY CENTERED NEAR MCGREGOR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS MCLENNAN AND BELL COUNTIES 
THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE RESIDUAL FLOODING OF LOW 
LYING AREAS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO 
CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER 
TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO 
ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3088 9762 3091 9783 3105 9791 3133 9742
      3159 9760 3186 9704 3153 9681 3128 9728
      3100 9709 3089 9728 3076 9732

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 282034
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
332 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXC027-309-282200-
MCLENNAN TX-BELL TX-
332 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR BELL
AND MCLENNAN COUNTIES...

AT 332 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED 
HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS EAST OF TEMPLE.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN HAS DIMINISHED...RUNOFF AND LOCALIZED 
FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. 

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO 
CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER 
TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TURN 
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3088 9762 3091 9783 3105 9791 3133 9742
      3159 9760 3186 9704 3153 9681 3128 9728
      3100 9709 3089 9728 3076 9732

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 282128
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
427 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXC027-309-282137-
MCLENNAN TX-BELL TX-
427 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR BELL AND MCLENNAN
COUNTIES...

THE THREAT FOR CONTINUED RUNOFF AND FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED FOR BELL 
AND MCLENNAN COUNTIES.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELL AND MCLENNAN COUNTIES 
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 
LINGERING PONDING OF WATER.

LAT...LON 3088 9762 3091 9783 3105 9791 3133 9742
      3159 9760 3186 9704 3153 9681 3128 9728
      3100 9709 3089 9728 3076 9732

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1023 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SIT AND SPIN OVER THROCKMORTON WITH
BANDS OF RAIN FEEDING UP FROM THE SOUTH. THE MAIN FLOOD THREAT FOR
TODAY APPEARS WILL BE IN THE WACO/TEMPLE/KILLEEN AREA WITH AVERAGE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES...AND LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5
POSSIBLE. THIS BAND OF TRAINING ECHOES SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
SAG SOUTHEAST DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

UPPER LOW HAS BECOME MORE VERTICALLY STACKED DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES/THICKNESS VALUES NOTED IN THE
MID AND UPPER LEVELS. IT HAS BECOME A WARM CORE SYSTEM...VERY
SIMILAR TO A REMNANT TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH CORE RAINS
CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE CENTER THIS MORNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
SIGNIFICANT RAIN OVER THE WESTERN CWA EXISTS TONIGHT NEAR THE
CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION AND THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

THE FORECAST GRIDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR CURRENT TRENDS IN
TEMP/DEWPOINT/WIND/SKY CONDITIONS. HAVE RAISED POPS ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR TO CATEGORICAL.

TR.92

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007/

AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN LAMPASAS AND FORT WORTH AT 1130Z...WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE METROPLEX...BUT WILL KEEP A TEMPO TSRA
IN THE METROPLEX TAF SITES BETWEEN 13 AND 16Z...EXCEPT 14-17Z AT
KDAL. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD....BUT PAST 16-17Z...HAVE JUST PLACED
VCTS/VCSH FOR NOW. #58

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007/

DISCUSSION...
WE WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
THE BEST CHANCES FOR RENEWED FLASH FLOODING MOST LIKELY WILL OCCUR
TODAY AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

THERE ARE SUBSTANTIAL FORCES OPERATING ON THE THE LONG-LIVED MID-
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...SUCH THAT WE HAVE THE CONFIDENCE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
GRADUALLY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FIRST...STRENGTHENING AND
BUILDING SUMMER HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES WILL IMPINGE ON THE
OKLAHOMA/TEXAS STORM SYSTEM FROM BOTH THE EAST AND THE
WEST...CAUSING THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO SHEAR OUT (BECOME LESS
CIRCULAR)...AND LOSE STRENGTH IN THE PROCESS.

MOREOVER...IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO SLIP INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND OKLAHOMA. MOISTURE
WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD NORTHEAST ALONG THE WEAKENING AND SLOWING FRONT
.RATHER THAN CONTINUING TO SPIN ABOUT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHILE PRODUCING SERIOUS FLASH FLOODING. THE MOISTURE WILL SPLAY OUT
ALONG THE BOUNDARY...AND ACROSS WEST TEXAS AS WELL.

ALL OF THIS WILL TAKE SOME TIME...BUT DURING THE NEXT 4-5
DAYS...THE INCREDIBLY LIFE SPAN OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME
TO AN END. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE...BUT IN A LESS
CONCENTRATED FASHION...AS OPPOSED TO THE FLASH FLOOD EVENTS NEAR
THE CORE OF THE CIRCULATION DURING PREVIOUS DAYS AND NIGHTS.

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE SLOWLY..AS SUNSHINE BECOMES MORE PROMINENT
NEXT WEEK. #26

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  81  71  85  70  88 /  60  50  40  40  40
WACO, TX              80  70  85  69  90 / 100  50  30  40  30
PARIS, TX             88  71  86  70  88 /  40  40  40  40  40
DENTON, TX            80  70  85  66  87 /  60  50  40  40  40
MCKINNEY, TX          82  70  85  65  89 /  60  50  40  40  40
DALLAS, TX            82  72  85  71  87 /  60  50  40  40  40
TERRELL, TX           85  71  85  70  87 /  60  40  40  40  40
CORSICANA, TX         86  71  86  70  89 /  60  30  30  30  30
TEMPLE, TX            80  71  85  70  87 / 100  40  30  30  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

99/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
517 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-291100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
517 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION.
THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS OR EVEN A BRIEF
TORNADO. FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL DECREASE BY TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO ESTABLISH
ITSELF OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

58

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
822 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 AM     FLASH FLOOD      11 W GATESVILLE         31.44N  97.92W
06/28/2007                   CORYELL            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 84 CLOSED AT COWHOUSE CREEK...WATER THREATENING
            HWY 116 AT PIDCOKE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
836 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E IREDELL             31.99N  97.84W
06/28/2007                   BOSQUE             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY. 6 FLOODED NEAR IREDELL...DOWN TO ONE LANE AND MAY
            HAVE TO BE CLOSED COMPLETELY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1140 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1119 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 E LAMPASAS            31.06N  98.11W
06/28/2007                   LAMPASAS           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL COUNTY/SECONDARY ROADS FLOODED ACROSS COUNTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1253 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 PM     FLASH FLOOD      TEMPLE                  31.10N  97.36W
06/28/2007                   BELL               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LANES CLOSED ON I-35 AT EXIT 299 IN TEMPLE