Flash Flood Warning 255, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 281034
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
534 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXC331-281115-
MILAM TX-
534 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT FOR MILAM
COUNTY...

AT 534 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER NORTHEAST MILAM 
COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CAMERON.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF 
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN 
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3074 9728 3054 9718 3091 9673 3113 9683
      3091 9726 3076 9732

$$

SCHULTZ

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 281114
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
612 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

TXC331-281122-
MILAM TX-
612 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 615 AM CDT FOR MILAM
COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...HOWEVER LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS NUMEROUS 
FLOODED ROADS OVER THE COUNTY...ESPECIALLY IN THE CAMERON AREA. 
COUNTY ROADS THAT CROSS THE BIG ELM CREEK HAVE BEEN GREATLY 
AFFECTED. RESIDUAL FLOODING OF ROADS...CREEKS...STEAMS...AND LOW 
LYING AREAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. EXERCISE 
CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THIS MORNING. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE 
THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT 
DROWN.

LAT...LON 3074 9728 3054 9718 3091 9673 3113 9683
      3091 9726 3076 9732

$$

SCHULTZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1250 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

.AVIATION...
1250 AM CDT

FEW SHRA STILL AFFECTING METRO TAF SITES. ACTIVITY IN CENTRAL TEXAS
EXPANDING...AND I-35 CORRIDOR MAY FILL IN EVEN MORE. WILL CARRY TS
AND CB EARLY FOR WACO...BUT EXPECT BULK OF ACTIVITY TO BE OF THE
SHOWER VARIETY. SOME IFR CIGS HAVE ALREADY APPEARED...AND EXPECT
FURTHER DETERIORATION OF CEILINGS WITH LIGHT WINDS IN SATURATED
BOUNDARY LAYER. CIGS WILL IMPROVE BY MID MORNING. THREAT OF TS/CB
AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 25

&&

.UPDATE...
920 PM CDT

WE HAVE UPDATE THE GRIDS AND FORECASTS TO INCREASE THE POPS IN THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST...AND KEPT THEM ABOUT THE SAME...OR SLIGHTLY
HIGHER WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. WE ALSO HAVE LOWERED RAIN CHANCES JUST
A BIT AFTER MIDNIGHT. #26

&&

.AVIATION...
615 PM CDT

UPPER LOW WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT TAF PERIOD...WITH DIURNAL
VARIATION IN PRECIP PATTERNS PROVIDING SOME PRECISION IN TIMING.
CURRENT ROUND OF CONVECTION IN METROPLEX WILL COME TO AN END
SHORTLY...WITH CENTRAL TEXAS STORMS AFFECTING METRO TAF SITES DURING
THE EVENING. AGREE WITH ZFW THAT SHEAR AXIS TO THE WEST WILL LIKELY
BE THE FOCUS FOR NOCTURNAL CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT...WHICH SHOULD
REMAIN TO THE WEST. WITH CONSIDERABLY LESS DAYTIME CONVECTION...THIS
TROPICAL FEATURE IS LIKELY TO BE RECHARGED FOR CORE RAINS LATE
TONIGHT. MAY CARRY VCTS/VCSH OR TEMPO -RA...BUT EXPECT MAIN EVENT
FOR TAF SITES TO BE THROUGH MID EVENING. EXPECT AFTERNOON CONVECTION
ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY. 25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 PM CDT

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

VERY NICE VIS SAT LOOP SHOWING UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA NEAR HOBART. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO SHEAR OUT LATE
TONIGHT WITH PART OF IT MERGING INTO EASTERN CANADA TROUGH AND
LEAVING THE REMAINDER OVER WRN OKLAHOMA/TEXAS. THIS WEAKEST ALOFT
SEPARATES TWO HIGH PRESSURE CELLS...ONE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND THE OTHER OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP
THE SHEAR ZONES OVER THE REGION THROUGH FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS
THE ZONE TILTS WEST TO EAST AND SLIDES DOWN INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
AND CENTRAL TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY.

AGAIN WE EXPECT SOME ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS...HOPEFULLY NOT A SEVERE AS MARBLE FALLS OR HOOD COUNTY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...CONVECTION WILL FAVOR AREAS WEST
AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WE WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE WITH PWATS
AROUND 2 INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN PWATS COMES DOWN TO 1.5
FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

EXPECT SLIGHTLY LESS CONVECTION OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SHEAR ZONE
LOSSES SOME OF ITS ENERGY...BUT SOME HEAVY RAIN PRODUCERS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. LOWER POPS EVEN MORE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE ZONES SLIDES SOUTH OF THE CWA.

BELOW NORMAL HIGHS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND
RAINFALL...THEN WARMER AFTERWARD. LOWS RETURNING TO NORMAL BY
MONDAY. 75

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  70  84  70  86  72 /  70  60  40  40  40
WACO, TX              72  86  70  87  72 /  70  60  40  30  40
PARIS, TX             71  84  71  87  70 /  50  50  40  40  40
DENTON, TX            70  83  69  85  70 /  70  60  40  40  40
MCKINNEY, TX          69  83  69  85  70 /  70  60  40  40  40
DALLAS, TX            72  84  71  87  72 /  70  60  40  40  40
TERRELL, TX           69  84  71  87  71 /  60  50  40  40  40
CORSICANA, TX         74  86  72  88  72 /  60  40  30  30  30
TEMPLE, TX            71  86  71  85  72 /  70  60  40  30  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

26/25/58/84/21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
345 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
345 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

WEAK LIFT AND ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE STORM WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS OR
EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO.  ALTHOUGH...FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS... LOCATIONS WEST OF
INTERSTATE 35 WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE BY TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES
TO ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER...SCATTERED AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
931 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXZ129-280330-
EASTLAND TX-
931 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
   EASTLAND COUNTY

AT 931 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
THUNDERSTORM WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN 11 MILES WEST OF
CISCO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CARBON...CISCO AND RISING
STAR.

AT THIS TIME...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS EASTLAND
COUNTY WITH THIS STORM. HOWEVER...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO
30 MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE CARBON...CISCO AND RISING STAR AREAS
THROUGH 1015 PM.

LAT...LON 3249 9912 3210 9912 3208 9895 3222 9867

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1018 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      10 NW COOPER            33.47N  95.81W
06/27/2007                   DELTA              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TXDOT CLOSED TWO ROADS NEAR RATTON...FM 1531 AND FM
            3388.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1033 PM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSW CAMERON           30.83N  96.99W
06/27/2007                   MILAM              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FM 1600 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER 2 MILES SSW OF CAMERON
            AT LITTLE RIVER.