Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 75

February 15, 200312 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2003, 6:48 AM CST for 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 87 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2003, 6:48 AM CST (12:48 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2003, 8:15 AM CST
In force
87 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Brooks County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Duval County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, Nueces County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Willacy County, TX

The radar

The Corpus Christi radar (KCRP), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 741 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
741 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
605 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

727 
ACUS11 KWNS 151248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151248 
TXZ000-151415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0075
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 AM CST SAT FEB 15 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 6...

VALID 151248Z - 151415Z

12Z SOUNDINGS FROM SOUTH TX REFLECT MID LEVEL CAA AHEAD OF UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING ACROSS NERN MEXICO.  THIS APPEARS TO BE
PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR ORIENTATION OF ONGOING CONVECTION AS IT
MARCHES EWD AT ROUGHLY 30 KT.  SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO
NWRN PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO...WITH NWD DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE
INTO MIDDLE/UPPER TX COAST REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY.

..DARROW.. 02/15/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

25829823 25819928 26969900 28109872 28109766 28109659
26969689 25819718

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 6:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Bowie and 43 more2 hr
Feb 14, 7:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Bowie and 43 more113 min
Feb 14, 9:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal and 22 more2 hr
Feb 14, 10:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell, Bexar and 40 more119 min
Feb 15, 12:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bexar, Brooks, Duval, Frio, Jim Hogg and 7 more119 min
Feb 15, 4:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRefugio3 hr
Feb 15, 4:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 6 more4 hr
Feb 15, 2:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bee, DeWitt, Goliad, Jim Wells, Karnes and 6 more118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.