Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003
Flash Flood Warning 92, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 11, 2003, 2:35 PM CDT for McCulloch County, Mason County, San Saba County, Texas. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2003, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2003, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, San Saba County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 239 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 72 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -221 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 625 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 101 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS54 KSJT 111934
FFWSJT
TXC307-319-411-120030-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
235 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
MCCULLOCH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
SAN SABA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
MASON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT
* AT 210 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF HALF AN INCH PER HOUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF MCCULLOCH AND
MASON COUNTIES. THE STORMS PRODUCING THIS RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO
FILL IN TO THE EAST AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
* RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH 730 PM CDT OVER THE
WARNED AREA. RAINFALL OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAS THE SOILS NEARLY
SATURATED. THIS WILL CAUSE MUCH OF THE RAINFALL TO RUNOFF INTO
CREEKS AND DRAWS. STREET FLOODING CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN URBAN
AREAS.
TURN AROUND DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE.
REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
LAT...LON 3056 9944 3056 9904 3098 9900 3104 9856
3138 9890 3137 9949
$$
JOHNSON6 follow-up statements
000 WGUS74 KSJT 111946 FFSSJT TXC049-083-307-411-112100- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 245 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COLEMAN COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM...AND FOR BROWN...MCCULLOCH...AND SAN SABA COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE HEARTLAND THIS AFTERNOON. THROUGH 4 PM...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR FROM BRADY TO SAN SABA...AND NORTHWARD TO BROWNWOOD. RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED. BY EARLY AFTERNOON...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT NEARLY TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF THE HEARTLAND SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. UP TO TWO INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF CREEKS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. $$ 09
000 WGUS74 KSJT 112123 FFSSJT TXC267-319-327-112130- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 415 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUTTON AND KIMBLE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM...AND FOR MENARD COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM CDT... AT 415 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER KIMBLE COUNTY...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER MENARD AND MASON COUNTIES. THE HEAVIEST RAIN OF 3 INCHES WAS 8 MILES NORTHWEST AND WEST OF JUNCTION...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN KIMBLE COUNTY LINE. BETWEEN 415 PM AND 530 PM...NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL MOVE OVER MASON AND KIMBLE COUNTIES...PRODUCING ANOTHER 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF RAIN. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. $$ 04
000 WGUS74 KSJT 112118 FFSSJT TXC049-083-307-411-112215- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 420 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COLEMAN COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM...AND FOR BROWN...MCCULLOCH...AND SAN SABA COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HEARTLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THROUGH 530 PM...THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL FROM BRADY TO SAN SABA...WHERE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 INCH AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE HEARTLAND TODAY...WITH ANOTHER INCH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. $$ 9
000 WGUS74 KSJT 112222 FFSSJT TXC049-307-411-120030- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 525 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BROWN...SAN SABA AND MCCULLOCH COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT... AT 525 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTHERN MCCULLOCH AND SOUTHERN SAN SABA COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF BROWN AND SAN SABA COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER 1/4 INCH OF RAIN THROUGH 730 PM CDT...AS THEY MOVE EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS THIS EVENING. SOME LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN BROWN COUNTY REMAIN FLOODED DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS WEEK. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL MAKE FLOODING CONDITIONS WORSE. $$ 04
000 WGUS74 KSJT 112235 FFSSJT TXC267-319-435-112345- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 535 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUTTON AND KIMBLE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM...AND MASON COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM CDT... HEAVY RAINS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WERE REPORTED IN TELEGRAPH...IN SOUTHERN KIMBLE COUNTY. RADAR INDICATED SIMILAR AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN ALONG THE SOUTHERN KIMBLE AND SOUTHERN SUTTON COUNTY LINES. FLOODED STREETS WERE REPORTED IN JUNCTION AND MASON EARLIER AT 430 PM. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1/4 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF A JUNCTION TO MASON LINE BETWEEN 530 PM AND 645 PM. THIS WILL MAKE ANY FLOODING CONDITIONS WORSE. $$ 04
000 WGUS74 KSJT 112350 FFSSJT TXC319-120030- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 646 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MASON COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM CDT... AT 645 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER MASON COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1/10 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MASON COUNTY THROUGH 730 PM. RAIN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING. $$ 04
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 11, 9:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 9:00 AM CDT, 5 hours 35 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 900 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 .CURRENT...COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE AREA AT THIS TIME. MODELS STILL SHOW A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EVENT SHAPING UP FOR THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND WILL BE UPDATING ZONES AND WILL BE ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME AND DECIDE OTHER AREAS AT LATER TIME IF NEEDED. FLOOD WATCH WILL BE COMMING OUT SHORTLY...BUT WILL NEED TO DO SOME SERIOUS WORK ON THE GRIDS...SO IT MAY BE AN HOUR BEFORE NEW ZONES COME OUT. 27/BRAZZELL CURRENT...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX DEVELOPING OVER THE BIG BEND. AT THE SURFACE...DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE MID 60S. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES COLD FRONT ABOUT TO PUSH INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. DAYS 1-3...MODELS CONTINUE TO PRESENT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS. THE AVN CONTINUES TO BE MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH MOISTURE...POPS...AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. WILL TREND FORECAST PACKAGE TOWARD THE AVN. HOWEVER...BELIEVE SLIGHTLY LOWER POPS...FOR THE FIRST TWO PERIODS...THAN THAT WHICH MAV MOS CURRENTLY PRESENTS BEST GIVEN DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. MODELS ALSO INDICATE MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY CLEARING THROUGH MONDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO TEXAS BEHIND THE FRONT. DAYS 4-7...AGAIN...NO MAJOR CHANGES HERE WITH MAIN FOCUS ON THE SHORT TERM. CCF PRELIMS... ABI 075/053/072/053/078 46211 SJT 076/055/071/053/079 67421 JCT 075/063/072/058/078 77642 .SJT...FFA MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...SAN SABA SOUTH. 23/HUBER
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 5:30 AM CDT, 9 hours 5 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-121030- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 530 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO CREATE A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM MEXICO WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... CHANCES FOR RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY BUT DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY BRINGING A MORE FALL LIKE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE COMING WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 15
The office that day
Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 9:59 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Crockett, Irion, Schleicher, Sutton, Tom Green | 3 hr |
| Oct 11, 11:21 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Runnels | 6 hr |
| Oct 11, 11:33 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Coleman | 6 hr |
| Oct 11, 12:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Menard | 6 hr |
| Oct 11, 12:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Concho, Tom Green | 4 hr |
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Kimble, Schleicher, Sutton | 6 hr |
| Oct 11, 1:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Brown | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.