Flash Flood Warning 85, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 111613
FFSSJT
TXC105-235-413-435-451-111800-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1105 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOM 
GREEN...IRION...CROCKETT...SCHLEICHER...AND SUTTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 100 PM CDT...

AT 1055 AM CDT...THE CROCKETT COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED
THAT HIGHWAY 163 LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTH OF OZONA IS CLOSED DUE TO 
FAST MOVING WATER OVER THE ROAD.  

AT 1100 AM CDT...SAN ANGELO POLICE REPORTED SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS 
IN THE CITY WERE FLOODED AND WERE BEING BARRICADED.  

MOST DEATHS IN FLASH FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.  DONT BECOME
A STATISTIC...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN...WHEN YOU COME TO A FLOODED 
LOW WATER CROSSING.

AT 1112 AM...THE LEADING EDGE OF ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN 
STRETCHED FROM BIG LAKE...TO MERTZON...TO CHRISTOVAL AND WAS 
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO ROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER 
COVERS THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A 
SMALL ONE...ON FOOT.

$$

26/GUERRERO

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 111619 CCA
FFSSJT
TXC105-235-413-435-451-111800-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED SPELLING IN LAST PAR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1120 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOM 
GREEN...IRION...CROCKETT...SCHLEICHER...AND SUTTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 100 PM CDT...

AT 1055 AM CDT...THE CROCKETT COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED
THAT HIGHWAY 163 LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTH OF OZONA IS CLOSED DUE TO 
FAST MOVING WATER OVER THE ROAD.  

AT 1100 AM CDT...SAN ANGELO POLICE REPORTED SEVERAL LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS IN THE CITY WERE FLOODED AND WERE BEING BARRICADED.  

MOST DEATHS IN FLASH FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.  DONT BECOME
A STATISTIC...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN...WHEN YOU COME TO A FLOODED 
LOW WATER CROSSING.

AT 1112 AM...THE LEADING EDGE OF ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN 
STRETCHED FROM BIG LAKE...TO MERTZON...TO CHRISTOVAL AND WAS 
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER 
COVERS THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A 
SMALL ONE...ON FOOT.

$$

26/GUERRERO

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 111654
FFSSJT
TXC435-111800-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1150 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUTTON COUNTY UNTIL 
100 PM CDT...
...THIS WARNING MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED...

AT 1148 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT THE LEADING EDGE OF 
VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS APPROACHING SONORA FROM THE SOUTH...MOVEMENT WAS 
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.  ANOTHER 2 INCHES OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE 
THROUGH 1 PM CDT ACROSS SUTTON COUNTY.  

THIS NEXT BAND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLOODING 
OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS...DRAWS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

REMEMBER IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROAD...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

$$

26/GUERRERO

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
900 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003

.CURRENT...COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE AREA
AT THIS TIME. MODELS STILL SHOW A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EVENT SHAPING
UP FOR THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND WILL BE UPDATING ZONES AND WILL BE
ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME AND DECIDE OTHER AREAS AT LATER TIME
IF NEEDED.

FLOOD WATCH WILL BE COMMING OUT SHORTLY...BUT WILL NEED TO DO SOME
SERIOUS WORK ON THE GRIDS...SO IT MAY BE AN HOUR BEFORE NEW ZONES
COME OUT.

27/BRAZZELL

CURRENT...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
DEVELOPING OVER THE BIG BEND. AT THE SURFACE...DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN
THE MID 60S. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES COLD FRONT ABOUT TO PUSH
INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.

DAYS 1-3...MODELS CONTINUE TO PRESENT DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS. THE AVN
CONTINUES TO BE MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH MOISTURE...POPS...AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. WILL TREND FORECAST PACKAGE TOWARD THE AVN.
HOWEVER...BELIEVE SLIGHTLY LOWER POPS...FOR THE FIRST TWO
PERIODS...THAN THAT WHICH MAV MOS CURRENTLY PRESENTS BEST GIVEN
DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. MODELS ALSO INDICATE MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY
SKIES WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY CLEARING THROUGH
MONDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO TEXAS BEHIND THE FRONT.

DAYS 4-7...AGAIN...NO MAJOR CHANGES HERE WITH MAIN FOCUS ON THE
SHORT TERM.

CCF PRELIMS...

ABI 075/053/072/053/078 46211
SJT 076/055/071/053/079 67421
JCT 075/063/072/058/078 77642

.SJT...FFA MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...SAN SABA SOUTH.

23/HUBER

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-121030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
530 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY WILL COMBINE WITH
ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO CREATE A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM MEXICO WILL ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

CHANCES FOR RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY BUT DRIER AIR WILL
FILTER INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY BRINGING A MORE FALL LIKE WEATHER
PATTERN FOR THE COMING WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

15