Flash Flood Warning 57, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
925 MST TUE SEP 10 2002

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS ARIZONA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...BEFORE DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE LATER
IN THE WEEK. EXPECT A DRYING TREND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY THE
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...THEN RISE TO NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.

.DISCUSSION...WILL HAVE TO MAKE THIS QUICK...AS EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BLANKET THE CWA. HAVE CONTINUED TO ISSUE
AND/OR EXTEND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES THROUGHOUT THE EVENING. AT LEAST IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THIS AFTERNOONS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS QUIETED
DOWN...EXCEPT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY. MAIN THREAT FOR THE
EVENING WILL BE FLOODING. WITH SATURATED SOILS...CONTINUED MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL...REPORTS OF FLOODING AND RISING STREAM LEVELS
THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WILL EXTEND THE FFA TIL MORNING. THINK
WEDNESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY AS SOCAL LOW LIFTS NORTH AND
DYNAMICS REMAIN FAVORABLE.

KREITNER

.FGZ...FFA ALL ZONES UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST. WILL EXTEND FFA UNTIL 600
AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA

CITY             TEMPERATURES LO/HI           PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
                 TON WED   THU     FRI        TON WED   THU     FRI
FLAGSTAFF        050/070 046/073 044/074      080 060 040 040 030 020
WINSLOW          058/077 056/080 054/081      070 050 040 030 020 000
PRESCOTT         057/077 054/081 053/082      080 060 040 030 020 000
PAGE             065/080 064/082 063/083      060 050 040 030 020 000
WINDOW ROCK      053/070 050/072 047/073      080 070 060 050 040 030
CANYON DE CHELLY 060/076 057/078 054/079      080 070 060 050 040 020
COTTONWOOD       065/088 062/092 061/093      080 060 040 030 020 000
GRAND CANYON     051/071 047/074 045/075      080 060 040 040 020 000
GREER            049/067 045/070 043/071      080 060 040 040 030 030
HEBER            053/075 049/078 047/079      080 060 040 040 030 020
JACOB LAKE       050/067 046/070 044/071      060 050 040 030 020 000
NAVAJO N.M.      059/068 056/070 053/071      070 050 040 030 020 020
PAYSON           057/081 054/085 053/086      070 050 040 030 020 000
SEDONA           064/085 061/089 060/090      080 060 040 030 020 000
SELIGMAN         050/080 047/084 046/085      080 060 040 040 020 000
SHOW LOW         059/076 055/079 053/080      080 060 040 040 030 030
ST. JOHNS        054/073 052/076 050/077      080 060 040 040 030 020
WUPATKI N.M.     060/079 058/082 056/083      070 050 040 030 020 000