Flash Flood Warning 63, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1010 AM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

HEAVY RAIN HAS SHIFTED SOUTHEAST AND IS STILL MAKING PROGRESS
EASTWARD. HOWEVER BIG PIECE OF ENERGY STILL TO ROUND BASE OF
UPPER TROF AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT WAS EXTENDED FROM NEAR MIAMI TO
OKEMAH BUT 850 MB TROF IS STILL NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
NORTHEAST OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITH MAIN AREAS OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINS SOUTHEAST OF CURRENT POSITION
OF SURFACE COLD FRONT. DUE TO CURRENT RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS IN EFFECT WON'T CANCEL  ANY OF THE FFA AT THIS
TIME...BUT THREAT WILL HAVE SHIFTED INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...SO PLAN ON SHAVING
OFF NORTHWEST PART OF WATCH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

WILL UPDATE ZONES TO LOWER MAXES BEHIND COLD FRONT WHERE CLOUDS
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM RISING MUCH.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE STEADY OR FALL WITH PRECIP OVER THE
REST OF THE AREA...EXCEPT NEAR RED RIVER WHERE SUNSHINE
COULD LET TEMPS WARM INTO MID 80S. THREAT FOR SEVERE SHOULD
BE LIMITED TO THAT AREA...BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR LEADING
EDGE OF STORMS FOR POSSIBLE INTENSIFICATION. UPDATED ZONES
SHOULD BE OUT BY 11AM.

.TUL...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR ZONES OKZ049...OKZ053>077.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR ZONES ,ARZ001>002...ARZ010>011...
ARZ019>020...ARZ029.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-060>076-051410-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
858 AM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 866 THAT WAS ISSUED EARLY THIS
MORNING FOR MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

AT 855 AM WEATHER RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS
DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA AND THE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.