Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2021

EF1 tornado, Paw Paw to Graphic, Oklahoma, May 3, 2021

From Paw Paw to Graphic, this EF1 tornado ran 10.3 miles across Sequoyah and Crawford counties on May 3, 2021, touching down at 9:36 PM CDT and reaching 900 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $110,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 3, 2021
Touchdown
9:36 PM CDT (02:36 UTC)
Lifted
9:47 PM CDT (02:47 UTC)
On the ground
11 minutes
Path length
10.3 miles (16.6 km)
Path width
900 yards (823 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$110,000
Counties
Sequoyah and Crawford counties
Touchdown point
35.409, -94.578
Lift-off point
35.476, -94.417
Record number
2105032036-01

The damage survey

77 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • Four poles broken from point and south
  • Three poles broken this pt and south
  • Southern edge of broken poles (four)
  • Crawford County Courthouse building had significant roof cover damage.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe thunderstorms developed across portions of eastern Oklahoma during the evening of the 3rd, along and mostly east of a stationary front that stretched across the area. The air mass across southeastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas became very unstable ahead of the storms, and wind shear across the region increased as an upper level disturbance approached from the west. These conditions supported the development of supercells and bowing line segments, which produced several tornadoes, large hail up to ping pong ball size, and damaging wind gusts.

Severe thunderstorms developed across portions of northwestern Arkansas during the evening of the 3rd, along and east of a stationary front that stretched across the area. The air mass across much of northwestern Arkansas became very unstable ahead of the storms, and wind shear across the region increased as an upper level disturbance approached from the west. These conditions supported the development of bowing line segments, which produced several tornadoes, and damaging wind gusts.

This is the first segment of a four segment tornado. The tornado developed southeast of Muldrow, where trees were uprooted. It moved northeast uprooting trees, toppling multiple center-pivot irrigation systems, and snapping power poles to near Moffett. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 95 to 105 mph. The tornado continued into Crawford County, Arkansas.

This is the first segment of a two segment tornado. This tornado developed on the east side of Muldrow, Oklahoma, uprooting trees and snapping large tree limbs. It moved east-northeast passing just north of Roland, where trees were snapped, power poles were snapped, outbuildings were destroyed, and several homes were damaged. The tornado then moved northeast uprooting trees, snapping power poles, and damaging outbuildings as it approached the state line. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 100 to 110 mph. The tornado continued into Crawford County, Arkansas.

This is the second segment of a four segment tornado. The tornado uprooted trees as it moved across this small portion of Crawford County, before crossing the Arkansas River and moving into Sebastian County. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 90 to 100 mph.

This is the second segment of a two segment tornado. In Crawford County, this tornado uprooted trees and snapped power poles before dissipating just east of Ranch Road. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 90 to 100 mph.

This is the fourth segment of a four segment tornado. After moving back into Crawford County, the tornado removed a large portion of the roof of the Crawford County Courthouse in Van Buren. Numerous homes and businesses were also damaged in Van Buren, and numerous power poles and trees were snapped by the tornado. This very large tornado then moved northeast across portions of Rudy and Alma, and then dissipated southeast of Mountainburg. Many trees were snapped or uprooted, outbuildings were destroyed, homes and businesses were damaged, and numerous power poles were snapped. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 100 to 110 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:48 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:48 UTC04:00 UTCTornado WatchTSA
01:52 UTC02:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
02:18 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
02:38 UTC02:48 UTCTornado WarningTSA
03:12 UTC06:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:59 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

2.6 hours before the tornado, 174 km from the path. May 4, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1558 joules per kilogram, CIN -63, lifted condensation level 972 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1558 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2212 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
972 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

9.4 hours after it, 174 km from the path. May 4, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 472 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
472 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Fort Smith Municipal (FSM), 17 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:40 UTC90° 5 kt1001.7
00:45 UTC90° 5 kt1001.4
00:50 UTC100° 2 kt1001.7
00:53 UTC7969100° 4 kt1001.7
00:55 UTC110° 4 kt1001.7
01:00 UTC120° 4 kt1002
01:05 UTC130° 2 kt1002.4
01:10 UTC150° 4 kt1002.4
01:15 UTC160° 2 kt1002.7
01:20 UTC0° 0 kt1003
01:25 UTC140° 2 kt1002.7
01:30 UTC100° 2 kt1002.4
01:35 UTC0° 0 kt1002.4
01:40 UTC30° 5 kt1002.7
01:45 UTC0° 0 kt1003.4
01:48 UTC78.869.80° 0 kt1003.7VCTS
01:50 UTC0° 0 kt1003.7
01:53 UTC79690° 0 kt1003.4VCTS -RA
01:55 UTC0° 0 kt1003.4-RA
02:00 UTC70° 4 kt1003-RA
02:03 UTC796980° 4 kt1003.4
02:05 UTC80° 4 kt1003.4
02:10 UTC0° 0 kt1003.4-RA
02:15 UTC0° 0 kt1003.7-RA
02:16 UTC78690° 0 kt1003.4VCTS -RA
02:20 UTC110° 2 kt1003.4-RA
02:25 UTC160° 2 kt1003.7-RA
02:30 UTC0° 0 kt1003.7-RA
02:35 UTC200° 5 kt1003.7-RA
02:37 UTC7770220° 7 kt1004.1-TSRA
02:40 UTC 15 kt281005.1-RA
02:45 UTC270° 421006.1RA SQ
02:48 UTC6662250° 24 kt541006.8+TSRA BR SQ
02:50 UTC270° 441005.8+RA BR SQ
02:53 UTC6562290° 40 kt641003.7+TSRA BR
02:55 UTC 62+RA BR
03:00 UTC 441005.4+RA BR
03:05 UTC 311007.5+RA BR
03:10 UTC310° 16 kt1007.1+RA BR
03:15 UTC310° 10 kt1007.1+RA
03:20 UTC270° 5 kt1007.5RA
03:25 UTC340° 9 kt1006.4RA
03:30 UTC360° 11 kt1005.8RA
03:35 UTC20° 5 kt1005.4-RA
03:40 UTC360° 9 kt1005.8RA
03:42 UTC6561350° 9 kt1006.1TSRA
03:45 UTC340° 11 kt1006.4-RA
03:50 UTC290° 4 kt1007.5-RA
03:53 UTC6661180° 7 kt1007.8TSRA
03:55 UTC170° 7 kt1007.8RA
04:00 UTC120° 2 kt1007.5RA
04:05 UTC0° 0 kt1007.8RA
04:10 UTC210° 5 kt1008.5-RA BR
04:15 UTC160° 5 kt1008.1+RA BR
04:18 UTC6461220° 3 kt1008.1TSRA BR
04:20 UTC0° 0 kt1008.1RA BR
04:22 UTC6462170° 4 kt1008.1VCTS RA BR
04:25 UTC160° 7 kt1008.1-RA BR
04:30 UTC 7 kt1008.5RA
04:35 UTC180° 5 kt1008.5RA BR

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:55 UTCTSTM WND GST 601 Ese StiglerHaskell, OKPOLICE CHIEF ESTIMATES WIND GUSTS AROUND 60MPH NEAR STIGLER. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:21 UTCTSTM WND DMGBokosheLe Flore, OKREPORT OF TREE DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN ON TWILIGHT ROAD NEAR BOKOSHE.
02:24 UTCHAIL 0.75PoteauLe Flore, OK
02:33 UTCTORNADO 1Van BurenCrawford, ARNWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMS AN EF1 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 100 TO 110MPH THAT TOUCHED DOWN 4 MILES SE OF MULDROW. THIS TORNADO MOVED NE INTO PARTS OF FT. SMITH AND VAN BUREN. THE TORNADO CONTINUED EAST OF VAN BUREN. THE ENDI
02:36 UTCTORNADO 1RolandSequoyah, OKNWS STORM SURVEY FINDS EF1 TORNADO DAMAGE FROM 1 E OF MULDROW, OK TO 3.5 W OF RENA, AR. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AT 9:36PM AND LIFTED AT 9:47PM. THE TORNADO UPROOTED TREES, SNAPPED LARGE TREE LIMBS, SNAPPED POWER POLES,
02:39 UTCTSTM WND DMGRolandSequoyah, OKDAMAGE IN THE ROLAND AND MULDROW AREA CONSISTED OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. ONE TREE FELL ONTO A HOME, TRAPPING ONE PERSON INSIDE.
02:39 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGRolandSequoyah, OKDAMAGE IN THE ROLAND AND MULDROW AREA CONSISTED OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. ONE TREE FELL ONTO A HOME, TRAPPING ONE PERSON INSIDE.
02:41 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw Van BurenSebastian, AREM REPORTS SEVERAL HOMES RECEIVING DAMAGE WITH MULTIPLE HOMES SUSTAINING MAJOR DAMAGE. A SCHOOL AND A CHURCH ALSO RECEIVED DAMAGE. POSSIBLE TORNADO. SURVEY TEAM WILL BE SURVEYING THE AREA. TIME IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:42 UTCTSTM WND GST 62Fort Smith Regional AirSebastian, ARTHUNDERSTORM WINDS OF 62 MPH MEASURED BY ASOS EQUIPMENT AS THE FORT SMITH REGIONAL AIRPORT.
02:47 UTCTSTM WND DMGVan BurenCrawford, ARMULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DAMAGED OR DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.
02:47 UTCTSTM WND GST 60Van BurenCrawford, ARTHUNDERSTORM WIND GUST ESTIMATED TO 60 MPH.
02:51 UTCTSTM WND DMGArkomaLe Flore, OKREPORT OF MAJOR POWER OUTAGES IN THE AREA.
02:52 UTCTSTM WND DMGAlmaCrawford, ARSEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED IN ALMA. PHOTOS POSTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA SHOW A LARGE TREE FALLEN ONTO A HOME. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:53 UTCTSTM WND GST 74Fort Smith Regional AirSebastian, ARTHUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 74 MPH MEASURED BY ASOS EQUIPMENT AS THE FORT SMITH REGIONAL AIRPORT.
02:54 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N AlmaCrawford, ARNUMEROUS TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGVan BurenCrawford, ARREPORT OF A TREE DOWNED ONTO A HOME.
02:55 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGVan BurenCrawford, ARROOF BLOWN OFF CRAWFORD COUNTY COURT HOUSE.
03:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGRudyCrawford, ARPOWER LINES DOWN.
03:09 UTCTORNADO4 Wsw PineyCrawford, ARA TORNADO UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES AND BLEW DOWN POWER POLES.
03:16 UTCTSTM WND DMGVestaFranklin, ARMULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DAMAGED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN AND AROUND OZARK.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 3, 2021

30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 38:08 AM CDTEF1Monroe, KY0.560
May 310:00 AM EDTEF1Douglas, GA1.4250$250,000
May 310:22 AM EDTEF1Fulton, GA5.7400$250,000
May 312:39 PM EDTEF0Walton, GA1.4200$100,000
May 312:39 PM EDTEF1York, SC0.5150$350,000
May 311:42 AM CDTEF0Coffee, TN0.850$15,000
May 312:54 PM EDTEF1Madison, GA5.5250
May 31:29 PM EDTEF0Oglethorpe, GA1.9200$100,000
May 31:41 PM EDTEF1Elbert, GA0.125$50,000
May 32:04 PM EDTEF2Abbeville, SC29.41501$115,000
May 32:23 PM EDTEF0Stanly, NC1.5150$50,000
May 33:01 PM EDTEF2Northumberland, VA4.4250$500,000
May 34:57 PM CDTUnratedCass, IL0.550
May 35:05 PM CDTUnratedCass, IL1.5100
May 36:27 PM EDTEF1Jefferson, WV1.81251$100,000
May 35:27 PM CDTUnratedSangamon, IL0.350
May 36:02 PM CDTEF0Hood, TX0.450$500
May 36:10 PM CDTUnratedSangamon, IL0.450
May 36:14 PM CDTUnratedSangamon, IL0.650
May 37:10 PM CDTUnratedHill, TX0.025
May 38:14 PM EDTEF0Frederick, MD0.8200$150,000
May 37:18 PM CDTEF2Hill, TX3.4150$350,000
May 38:35 PM EDTEF0Frederick, MD0.6150$100,000
May 37:41 PM CDTEF0Collin, TX0.550$500
May 38:47 PM EDTEF0Carroll, MD0.275$50,000
May 38:00 PM CDTEF0Johnson, TX0.250$500
May 39:37 PM EDTEF0Lawrence, PA0.250
May 38:43 PM CDTEF2Ellis, TX5.46598$1.5 million
May 39:33 PM CDTEF1Sequoyah, OK to AR28.82,2001$16 million
May 310:06 PM CDTEF1Crawford, AR2.7300$20,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.