Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2021

Unrated tornado, Arenzville to Philadelphia, Illinois, May 3, 2021

From Arenzville to Philadelphia, this Unrated tornado ran 1.5 miles across Cass County on May 3, 2021, touching down at 5:05 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 3, 2021
Touchdown
5:05 PM CDT (22:05 UTC)
Lifted
5:08 PM CDT (22:08 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
1.5 miles (2.4 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cass County
Touchdown point
39.907, -90.212
Lift-off point
39.901, -90.185
Record number
2105031605-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) generated by a large cluster of convection across Kansas during the pre-dawn hours tracked eastward into central Illinois by the late afternoon and evening of May 3rd. Despite weak instability and deep-layer synoptic shear, the MCV was able to enhance the low-level shear and trigger a broken line of convection. One of the cells on the east-southeast flank of the MCV became a supercell and tracked across central Illinois from Cass County southeastward to Coles County before dissipating after dark. That particular storm produced five brief tornado touchdowns and hail as large as half dollars along its path. Another thunderstorm cell further south dropped 2-inch diameter hail in southern Christian County.

A weak tornado touched down in a field about 2.5 miles east-northeast of Arenzville just north of Crum Road at 4:57 PM CDT. The tornado tracked southeastward near the intersection of Crum Road and Thornley Lane and quickly dissipated by 4:59 PM CDT. No damage occurred.

A weak tornado touched down in a field 3 miles south of Virginia just east of IL-78 at 5:05 PM CDT. The tornado tracked southeastward and crossed near the intersection of Hall Road and Conover Road before quickly dissipating by 5:08 PM CDT. No damage occurred.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

15 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:50 UTC, 15 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 19:48 UTC and running to 23:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:48 UTC23:18 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchILX
20:59 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX
21:43 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX
21:50 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningILX
22:08 UTC22:45 UTCTornado WarningILX
22:17 UTC22:39 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:40 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

10.1 hours before the tornado, 139 km from the path. May 3, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -87523, lifted condensation level 460 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 11 knots.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87523 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
460 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

1.9 hours after it, 139 km from the path. May 4, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 758 joules per kilogram, CIN -32, lifted condensation level 843 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 48 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
758 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-32 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1044 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.4
0-3 km lapse rate
6.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 78 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:06 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:06 UTCHAIL 1.5BuckhornBrown, ILPING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED VIA TWITTER IN BUCKHORN, IL.
21:07 UTCHAIL 1.252 W BuckhornBrown, ILREPORT FROM MPING: HALF DOLLAR (1.25 IN.).
21:15 UTCHAIL 12 Sse Mount SterlingBrown, ILQUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT THE WESTERN ILLINOIS CORRECTIONAL FACILITY.
21:55 UTCHAIL 1.53 Sse Bluff SpringsCass, IL
21:57 UTCTORNADO3 Ene ArenzvilleCass, ILDELAYED REPORT FOR MAY 3: BASED ON A VIDEO FROM A STORM CHASER, A TORNADO OCCURRED MAINLY IN FIELDS ALONG CRUM ROAD. THE TORNADO CROSSED CRUM ROAD AND LASTED 2-3 MINUTES. THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO THE NEARBY FAR
22:04 UTCHAIL 1.5VirginiaCass, ILRELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA. DAMAGE TO CARS.
22:05 UTCTORNADO3 S VirginiaCass, ILON GROUND IN OPEN FIELD. DIME SIZED HAIL.
22:15 UTCHAIL 14 Wsw NewmansvilleCass, ILRELAYED BY ASHLAND FIRE.
22:27 UTCTORNADO2 Wnw Pleasant PlainsCass, IL
22:27 UTCTORNADO2 Wnw Pleasant PlainsSangamon, ILCORRECTION TO PREVIOUS REPORT OF TORNADO 3 N ASHLAND.
22:32 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S PetersburgMenard, ILPOWER POLES BLOWN DOWN INTO FIELD.
22:32 UTCHAIL 13 S PetersburgMenard, IL

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 3, 2021

30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 38:08 AM CDTEF1Monroe, KY0.560
May 310:00 AM EDTEF1Douglas, GA1.4250$250,000
May 310:22 AM EDTEF1Fulton, GA5.7400$250,000
May 312:39 PM EDTEF0Walton, GA1.4200$100,000
May 312:39 PM EDTEF1York, SC0.5150$350,000
May 311:42 AM CDTEF0Coffee, TN0.850$15,000
May 312:54 PM EDTEF1Madison, GA5.5250
May 31:29 PM EDTEF0Oglethorpe, GA1.9200$100,000
May 31:41 PM EDTEF1Elbert, GA0.125$50,000
May 32:04 PM EDTEF2Abbeville, SC29.41501$115,000
May 32:23 PM EDTEF0Stanly, NC1.5150$50,000
May 33:01 PM EDTEF2Northumberland, VA4.4250$500,000
May 34:57 PM CDTUnratedCass, IL0.550
May 36:27 PM EDTEF1Jefferson, WV1.81251$100,000
May 35:27 PM CDTUnratedSangamon, IL0.350
May 36:02 PM CDTEF0Hood, TX0.450$500
May 36:10 PM CDTUnratedSangamon, IL0.450
May 36:14 PM CDTUnratedSangamon, IL0.650
May 37:10 PM CDTUnratedHill, TX0.025
May 38:14 PM EDTEF0Frederick, MD0.8200$150,000
May 37:18 PM CDTEF2Hill, TX3.4150$350,000
May 38:35 PM EDTEF0Frederick, MD0.6150$100,000
May 37:41 PM CDTEF0Collin, TX0.550$500
May 38:47 PM EDTEF0Carroll, MD0.275$50,000
May 38:00 PM CDTEF0Johnson, TX0.250$500
May 39:37 PM EDTEF0Lawrence, PA0.250
May 38:43 PM CDTEF2Ellis, TX5.46598$1.5 million
May 39:33 PM CDTEF1Sequoyah, OK to AR28.82,2001$16 million
May 39:36 PM CDTEF1Sequoyah, OK to AR10.3900$110,000
May 310:06 PM CDTEF1Crawford, AR2.7300$20,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.