Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2021
Unrated tornado, Arenzville to Philadelphia, Illinois, May 3, 2021
From Arenzville to Philadelphia, this Unrated tornado ran 0.5 miles across Cass County on May 3, 2021, touching down at 4:57 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unratedthis tornado
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- Unrated
- Date
- May 3, 2021
- Touchdown
- 4:57 PM CDT (21:57 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:59 PM CDT (21:59 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 0.5 miles (0.8 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Cass County
- Touchdown point
- 39.885, -90.324
- Lift-off point
- 39.882, -90.316
- Record number
- 2105031557-01
The damage survey
2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) generated by a large cluster of convection across Kansas during the pre-dawn hours tracked eastward into central Illinois by the late afternoon and evening of May 3rd. Despite weak instability and deep-layer synoptic shear, the MCV was able to enhance the low-level shear and trigger a broken line of convection. One of the cells on the east-southeast flank of the MCV became a supercell and tracked across central Illinois from Cass County southeastward to Coles County before dissipating after dark. That particular storm produced five brief tornado touchdowns and hail as large as half dollars along its path. Another thunderstorm cell further south dropped 2-inch diameter hail in southern Christian County.
A weak tornado touched down in a field about 2.5 miles east-northeast of Arenzville just north of Crum Road at 4:57 PM CDT. The tornado tracked southeastward near the intersection of Crum Road and Thornley Lane and quickly dissipated by 4:59 PM CDT. No damage occurred.
A weak tornado touched down in a field 3 miles south of Virginia just east of IL-78 at 5:05 PM CDT. The tornado tracked southeastward and crossed near the intersection of Hall Road and Conover Road before quickly dissipating by 5:08 PM CDT. No damage occurred.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
7 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:50 UTC, 7 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 19:48 UTC and running to 23:18 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:48 UTC | 23:18 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | ILX |
| 20:59 UTC | 21:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
| 21:43 UTC | 22:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
| 21:50 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
| 22:08 UTC | 22:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | ILX |
| 22:17 UTC | 22:39 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:40 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z
10.0 hours before the tornado, 149 km from the path. May 3, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -87523 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 460 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.5 K/km
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z
2.0 hours after it, 149 km from the path. May 4, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 758 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -32 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1044 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 843 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -13 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.0 K/km
The surface observations
Jacksonville (IJX), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:10 UTC | 76.3 | 65 | 210° 10 kt | 15 | 1001.7 | |
| 20:35 UTC | 77.2 | 65 | 190° 8 kt | 1001.7 | ||
| 20:55 UTC | 77 | 64.2 | 190° 8 kt | 14 | 1001.7 | |
| 21:15 UTC | 77.2 | 64 | 190° 11 kt | 1001 | ||
| 21:35 UTC | 77.4 | 64.2 | 190° 14 kt | 1000.7 | ||
| 21:55 UTC | 77.4 | 63 | 200° 15 kt | 19 | 1000.7 | VCTS |
| 22:15 UTC | 78.6 | 62.6 | 220° 13 kt | 22 | 1001 | |
| 22:35 UTC | 76.6 | 61.7 | 300° 21 kt | 28 | 1002.4 | |
| 22:55 UTC | 67.3 | 67.3 | 330° 12 kt | 1003 | -RA | |
| 23:15 UTC | 67.6 | 67.6 | 340° 10 kt | 1003 | ||
| 23:35 UTC | 67 | 66 | 320° 9 kt | 16 | 1003.4 | |
| 23:55 UTC | 67 | 65.3 | 320° 7 kt | 1003.7 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Lincoln radar (KILX), 89 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:00 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wsw Clayton | Adams, IL | LARGE TREE SNAPPED OFF. WINDS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH. |
| 21:06 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Buckhorn | Brown, IL | PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED VIA TWITTER IN BUCKHORN, IL. |
| 21:07 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | 2 W Buckhorn | Brown, IL | REPORT FROM MPING: HALF DOLLAR (1.25 IN.). |
| 21:15 UTC | HAIL 1 | 2 Sse Mount Sterling | Brown, IL | QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT THE WESTERN ILLINOIS CORRECTIONAL FACILITY. |
| 21:55 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | 3 Sse Bluff Springs | Cass, IL | |
| 21:57 UTC | TORNADO | 3 Ene Arenzville | Cass, IL | DELAYED REPORT FOR MAY 3: BASED ON A VIDEO FROM A STORM CHASER, A TORNADO OCCURRED MAINLY IN FIELDS ALONG CRUM ROAD. THE TORNADO CROSSED CRUM ROAD AND LASTED 2-3 MINUTES. THERE WERE NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO THE NEARBY FAR |
| 22:04 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Virginia | Cass, IL | RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA. DAMAGE TO CARS. |
| 22:05 UTC | TORNADO | 3 S Virginia | Cass, IL | ON GROUND IN OPEN FIELD. DIME SIZED HAIL. |
| 22:15 UTC | HAIL 1 | 4 Wsw Newmansville | Cass, IL | RELAYED BY ASHLAND FIRE. |
| 22:27 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wnw Pleasant Plains | Cass, IL | |
| 22:27 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wnw Pleasant Plains | Sangamon, IL | CORRECTION TO PREVIOUS REPORT OF TORNADO 3 N ASHLAND. |
| 22:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 S Petersburg | Menard, IL | POWER POLES BLOWN DOWN INTO FIELD. |
| 22:32 UTC | HAIL 1 | 3 S Petersburg | Menard, IL |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 3, 2021
30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | 8:08 AM CDT | EF1 | Monroe, KY | 0.5 | 60 | |||
| May 3 | 10:00 AM EDT | EF1 | Douglas, GA | 1.4 | 250 | $250,000 | ||
| May 3 | 10:22 AM EDT | EF1 | Fulton, GA | 5.7 | 400 | $250,000 | ||
| May 3 | 12:39 PM EDT | EF0 | Walton, GA | 1.4 | 200 | $100,000 | ||
| May 3 | 12:39 PM EDT | EF1 | York, SC | 0.5 | 150 | $350,000 | ||
| May 3 | 11:42 AM CDT | EF0 | Coffee, TN | 0.8 | 50 | $15,000 | ||
| May 3 | 12:54 PM EDT | EF1 | Madison, GA | 5.5 | 250 | |||
| May 3 | 1:29 PM EDT | EF0 | Oglethorpe, GA | 1.9 | 200 | $100,000 | ||
| May 3 | 1:41 PM EDT | EF1 | Elbert, GA | 0.1 | 25 | $50,000 | ||
| May 3 | 2:04 PM EDT | EF2 | Abbeville, SC | 29.4 | 150 | 1 | $115,000 | |
| May 3 | 2:23 PM EDT | EF0 | Stanly, NC | 1.5 | 150 | $50,000 | ||
| May 3 | 3:01 PM EDT | EF2 | Northumberland, VA | 4.4 | 250 | $500,000 | ||
| May 3 | 5:05 PM CDT | Unrated | Cass, IL | 1.5 | 100 | |||
| May 3 | 6:27 PM EDT | EF1 | Jefferson, WV | 1.8 | 125 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| May 3 | 5:27 PM CDT | Unrated | Sangamon, IL | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| May 3 | 6:02 PM CDT | EF0 | Hood, TX | 0.4 | 50 | $500 | ||
| May 3 | 6:10 PM CDT | Unrated | Sangamon, IL | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| May 3 | 6:14 PM CDT | Unrated | Sangamon, IL | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| May 3 | 7:10 PM CDT | Unrated | Hill, TX | 0.0 | 25 | |||
| May 3 | 8:14 PM EDT | EF0 | Frederick, MD | 0.8 | 200 | $150,000 | ||
| May 3 | 7:18 PM CDT | EF2 | Hill, TX | 3.4 | 150 | $350,000 | ||
| May 3 | 8:35 PM EDT | EF0 | Frederick, MD | 0.6 | 150 | $100,000 | ||
| May 3 | 7:41 PM CDT | EF0 | Collin, TX | 0.5 | 50 | $500 | ||
| May 3 | 8:47 PM EDT | EF0 | Carroll, MD | 0.2 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| May 3 | 8:00 PM CDT | EF0 | Johnson, TX | 0.2 | 50 | $500 | ||
| May 3 | 9:37 PM EDT | EF0 | Lawrence, PA | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| May 3 | 8:43 PM CDT | EF2 | Ellis, TX | 5.4 | 659 | 8 | $1.5 million | |
| May 3 | 9:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Sequoyah, OK to AR | 28.8 | 2,200 | 1 | $16 million | |
| May 3 | 9:36 PM CDT | EF1 | Sequoyah, OK to AR | 10.3 | 900 | $110,000 | ||
| May 3 | 10:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Crawford, AR | 2.7 | 300 | $20,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.