Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2021

EF1 tornado, Cuba to Mayfield Graves Arpt, Kentucky, May 4, 2021

From Cuba to Mayfield Graves Arpt, this EF1 tornado ran 4.7 miles across Graves County on May 4, 2021, touching down at 3:55 AM CDT and reaching 125 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $165,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 4, 2021
Touchdown
3:55 AM CDT (08:55 UTC)
Lifted
4:00 AM CDT (09:00 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
4.7 miles (7.5 km)
Path width
125 yards (114 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$165,000
County
Graves County
Touchdown point
36.554, -88.652
Lift-off point
36.570, -88.570
Record number
2105040255-01

The damage survey

84 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 104 mph.

  • Broken windows, siding blown partially off, large garage door blown in
  • A couple dozen large pine and oak trees snapped, some varying directions in damage

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Clusters of storms, followed by a bowing line of thunderstorms, organized and accelerated east-northeastward during the overnight and wee morning hours. Several tornadoes accompanied mesovortices along the bowing line of storms. In addition, a particularly strong microburst was associated with the line. Finally, the occurrence of multiple thunderstorms resulted in localized flash flooding in the Pennyrile region. A mid-level shortwave trough moved east across the southern Plains. A belt of stronger southwesterly 500 mb winds spread northeast ahead of the trough into southeast Missouri and Arkansas. Instability was sufficient for a round of severe thunderstorms to occur.

Several farm buildings, including a large shop, lost parts or all of their roofs, with several smaller structures destroyed. At least a couple of homes had mainly minor damage to roofs or siding. Dozens of large trees were snapped or uprooted. The tornado travelled right along Highway 94 from southwest of Cuba to the Lynnville area. Peak winds were estimated near 95 mph.

The narrow, well-defined path was in a rural farmland and wooded area. A well-constructed modern home suffered minor to moderate roof damage. The tornado followed a creek bed for the last quarter mile, where a small patch of very large trees was snapped or uprooted. A well head was blown into a house, damaging the siding. Peak winds were estimated near 95 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 06:42 UTC and running to 09:16 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
06:42 UTC09:16 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH
07:02 UTC07:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
08:35 UTC09:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
08:59 UTC09:10 UTCTornado WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 05:30 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

8.9 hours before the tornado, 186 km from the path. May 4, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2263 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 1050 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 30 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2263 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2875 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1050 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
7.6
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Mayfield (M25), 23 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
07:15 UTC71.671.60° 0 kt1005.4
07:35 UTC69.869.80° 0 kt1005.1
07:55 UTC69.866.20° 0 kt1005.1
08:15 UTC6864.40° 0 kt1005.4
08:55 UTC6866.20° 0 kt1005.4
09:15 UTC68680° 0 kt1005.1
09:35 UTC6868300° 25 kt371006.8
09:55 UTC64.464.4300° 3 kt1004.4
10:15 UTC64.462.6290° 7 kt171007.8
10:35 UTC64.462.60° 0 kt1007.5
10:55 UTC64.462.60° 0 kt1007.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 08:52 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
06:50 UTCHAIL 0.751 Sw CrutchfieldFulton, KY
08:29 UTCTORNADO4 Nw OaktonHickman, KYAN EF-1 TORNADO WITH ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS OF 105 MPH STRUCK HICKMAN COUNTY, KY, EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MULTIPLE TREES WERE SNAPPED. MANY TREE BRANCHES AND SOME ENTIRE TREE FELL ONTO SEVERAL HOMES, WHICH INFLICTED DAMAGE.
08:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S OaktonHickman, KYPOSSIBLE TORNADO. DAMAGE EXTENDED FROM JUST SOUTHWEST OF OAKTON TO THE NORTH SIDE OF CLINTON. SEVERAL TREES ON HOUSES. DAMAGE TO TREES AND OUTBUILDINGS.
08:36 UTCTSTM WND DMGOaktonHickman, KYWIND DAMAGE TO A BUILDING IN OAKTON.
08:38 UTCTSTM WND DMGClintonHickman, KY3 BUILDINGS WITH WIND DAMAGE. POWER OUT. LARGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
08:38 UTCTORNADO3 Sw CrutchfieldFulton, KYEF-2 TORNADO WITH PEAK WINDS OF 125 MPH STRUCK FULTON COUNTY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ONE HOME WAS DESTROYED WITH ITS ROOF REMOVED AND SOME EXTERIOR WALLS KNOCKED DOWN. MULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGS COLLAPSED. MULTIPLE LARGE TREES
08:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nw FultonFulton, KYMAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO HOUSE. ROOF AND WALL OFF HOUSE. TREE ON HOUSE. CAR MOVED 40 FEET. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
08:55 UTCTORNADO5 W LynnvilleGraves, KYEF1 TORNADO STARTED 2.5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CUBA AND TRAVELED 5 MILES AND LIFTED AROUND 4.25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CUBA OR NEAR LYNNVILLE. ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS AT 95 MPH AND MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 125 YDS. SEVERAL FARM BUILD
08:59 UTCTORNADO3 Ene MayfieldGraves, KYOCCURRED IN RURAL FARMLAND AND WOODED AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE TO MODERN HOME. SEVERAL VERY LARGE TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. WELL HEAD BLOWN INTO A HOME, DAMAGING THE SIDING.
09:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E MayfieldGraves, KYLATE REPORT. VINYL SIDING DAMAGED. A FEW DOZEN TREES DOWN, SOME LARGE.
09:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sse CubaGraves, KYSHINGLES OFF ROOF AND OUTBUILDING DAMAGED NEAR TENNESSEE STATE LINE.
09:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 W LynnvilleGraves, KYREPORT FROM MPING: TREES DOWN.
09:12 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 W HazelCalloway, KYNUMEROUS TREES DOWN FROM 2 MILES WEST OF HAZEL TO HAZEL. 2 HOUSES WITH TREES ON THEM.
09:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ene BrewersMarshall, KYLATE REPORT. SEVERAL TREES DOWN, ROOF BLOWN OF SHOP, HOME FLASHING AND ROOF DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 4, 2021

38 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 42:09 AM CDTEF0Greene, AR2.2100$25,000
May 42:55 AM CDTEF0Pemiscot, MO2.790$50,000
May 43:19 AM CDTEF1Mississippi, MO3.7400$85,000
May 43:23 AM CDTEF1Obion, TN2.650$225,000
May 43:31 AM CDTEF1Hickman, KY5.3100$350,000
May 43:33 AM CDTEF2Fulton, KY6.1150$310,000
May 43:59 AM CDTEF1Graves, KY0.5100$15,000
May 44:35 AM CDTEF0Benton, TN3.180$75,000
May 45:12 AM CDTEF0Christian, KY2.675$45,000
May 45:54 AM CDTEF0Cheatham, TN4.9100$15,000
May 45:56 AM CDTEF0Robertson, TN1.825$10,000
May 46:01 AM CDTEF0Robertson, TN2.2200$25,000
May 46:02 AM CDTEF0Robertson, TN9.450$15,000
May 46:03 AM CDTEF0Davidson, TN6.4200$15,000
May 46:10 AM CDTEF0Sumner, TN0.725$10,000
May 46:21 AM CDTEF0Sumner, TN3.950$25,000
May 46:31 AM CDTEF0Sumner, TN6.950$15,000
May 46:38 AM CDTEF0Sumner, TN5.0200$25,000
May 46:54 AM CDTEF0Trousdale, TN3.350$15,000
May 46:56 AM CDTEF0Macon, TN1.925$10,000
May 47:20 AM CDTEF0DeKalb, TN1.025$15,000
May 47:43 AM CDTEF0DeKalb, TN4.8200$25,000
May 48:07 AM CDTEF0White, TN1.150$15,000
May 49:01 AM CDTEF1Rankin, MS9.775$35,000
May 49:44 AM CDTEF0Jackson, AL0.650
May 41:21 PM EDTEF0Lumpkin, GA4.7350$150,000
May 41:13 PM CDTEF0Richland Parish, LA8.6700$75,000
May 42:51 PM EDTEF1Elk, PA0.6125
May 41:59 PM CDTEF1Madison Parish, LA to MS17.7600$255,000
May 42:22 PM CDTEF0Yazoo, MS9.2250$25,000
May 42:24 PM CDTEF1Hinds, MS30.7880$855,000
May 43:06 PM CDTEF1Leake, MS15.01,050$100,000
May 44:23 PM EDTEF1Fairfield, SC3.9300
May 43:43 PM CDTEF1Newton, MS5.5400$25,000
May 44:08 PM CDTEF1Lauderdale, MS3.5450$55,000
May 45:19 PM CDTEF0Perry, AL24.8620
May 46:17 PM CDTEF1Autauga, AL10.6330
May 46:46 PM CDTEF0Macon, AL2.250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.