What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 12:00 PM EST, 5 hours 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Storms possible this afternoon and evening, some may be strong to severe. 2) Seasonable temperatures expected this coming week.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 12:00 PM EST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
100 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
A potential for thunderstorms capable of strong damaging winds
the remainder of this afternoon and evening.
Cooler, more seasonable temperatures coming this week.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Storms possible this afternoon and evening, some may be
strong to severe.
2) Seasonable temperatures expected this coming week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Storms possible this afternoon and evening,
some may be strong to severe.
Moisture return into the area has been slow today and this
morning across the region, with only the NC/VA Piedmonts having
increased back into the upper 60s to low 70s early this
afternoon. Mountain locations west of the Blue Ridge have
struggled to increase beyond the low 60s today, which may still
inhibit storms as they progress eastward from the other side of
the Appalachians today. This is already becoming evident in
storms moving across the NW NC and NE TN border currently that
are showing some signs of weakening as they move from a slightly
higher theta-e airmass in eastern TN to a lower theta-e airmass
in western NC due to the 5-8 degree difference in surface
dewpoints.
While this airmass will overall lead to lower available CAPE as
these storms roll over the mountains, they may still maintain
themselves as the forcing for ascent from the upper level
shortwave trough push through the Great Lakes today may be
enough to aid in some lift and better upper level shear compared
to two days ago. As these storms do progress east of the
mountains, the aforementioned dewpoints increase, which will
overall increase instability/CAPE values providing a more
favorable environment for these storms later today. This is
continued to be supported by hi-res guidance for storms to
intensify as they enter the VA/NC Piedmont today. Storms that do
develop will have the potential for strong damaging winds,
based on model sounding guidance indicating inverted-V profiles
and DCAPE values possibly exceeding 1000 J/kg.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Seasonable temperatures expected this coming
week.
Behind the passage of the cold front tonight, upper level
troughing will set in place across the eastern conus thanks to a
negative NAO pattern that has been developing over the last
couple of days. This will keep temperatures cooler than normal
for the eastern portion of the CONUS. Much drier air will also
push into the region making for a 3 day stretch of limited to no
precipitation across the region. This will keep dewpoints in the
40s/50s through Wednesday before next system approaches the
region on Thursday returning low to mid 60 dewpoints back into
the region. Severe weather potential is increasing for Thursday
and Friday of next week as a high amplitude shortwave trough is
expected to cut through the Great Lakes region on Thursday. With
this event still 5 days away, details are still uncertain at
this time, and will become clearer as the event approaches in
time.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A cluster of thunderstorms is moving into northwest NC, and a few
scattered storms are nearing southeast WV, but not impacting area
terminals yet. This activity will increase in coverage and move
eastward with time through about 23Z, give or take an hour. Highest
potential for strong to possibly severe thunderstorms looks to be
east of the Blue Ridge, so while thunderstorms may impact any of the
area terminals, KLYH and KDAN have more potential to see the
stronger storms. Storms will be capable of producing gusty, erratic
winds, and heavy rain can lead to rapid reductions in visibility.
Models show another round of showers with possible embedded
thunderstorms late this evening associated with the actual front,
getting to KBLF and KLWB between 00Z and 05Z. Not confident how far
east these make it , as guidance has them diminishing as they near
the Blue Ridge. Low clouds, MVFR to IFR, linger across the mountains
for KLWB and KBLF until about 14Z Monday. Some patchy fog may
develop during the overnight and early morning, but thinking winds
will remain elevated enough to prevent widespread fog. Otherwise,
dry weather is expected for Monday afternoon.
Winds may gust overnight between 15 and 20 knots with the passage of
the front, then turn more northwesterly behind it, after 06Z. Gusts
wane after 12Z, and look to stay 15 knots or less through the
remainder of the current TAF period.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK
Expecting mostly VFR conditions through midweek except for patchy
early morning fog each day. Chances for showers and thunderstorms
increase by late Wednesday/early Thursday.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...EB
AVIATION...AS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 1:21 PM EST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
221 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
NCZ001-VAZ007-009>013-015-WVZ042>044-507-508-151830-
Ashe-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Grayson-Mercer-Summers-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
221 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia and southeast West Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) of severe storms today. The
primary threat is damaging winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
NCZ002>006-018>020-VAZ014-016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
151830-
Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-
Montgomery-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
221 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) of severe storms today. The
primary threat is damaging winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 14, 3:39 PM EST, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
439 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0401 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 SSE Hollins 37.79N 79.88W
06/14/2026 Alleghany VA 911 Call Center
Thunderstorm winds blew down one tree along
the intersection of Old Church Street and
Selma-Low Moor Road.
&&
PWSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 3:56 PM EST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
456 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
VAZ058-142130-
Halifax VA-
456 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX COUNTY THROUGH 530 PM EDT...
At 455 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Cluster Springs, or near Virgilina, moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Turbeville...
Hitesburg...
Cluster Springs...
Staunton River State Park...
Alton...
Dryburg...
and Virgilina.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central and south central Virginia.
&&
LAT...LON 3664 7858 3668 7864 3669 7868 3668 7870
3667 7870 3664 7871 3658 7872 3656 7874
3654 7873 3654 7903 3664 7907 3674 7869
3670 7866 3668 7863 3664 7856
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 249DEG 31KT 3656 7888
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JCBSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 4:04 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
504 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
VAZ024-035-142145-
Amherst VA-Rockbridge VA-
504 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
SOUTHEASTERN ROCKBRIDGE AND NORTHERN AMHERST COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF
BUENA VISTA THROUGH 545 PM EDT...
At 504 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Glasgow, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Buena Vista...
Glasgow...
Forks Of Buffalo...
Clifford...
Pleasant View...
Lowesville...
and Alto.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central, south central and west central Virginia.
&&
LAT...LON 3781 7917 3781 7914 3778 7911 3778 7908
3772 7907 3770 7899 3764 7895 3756 7937
3760 7939 3761 7941 3760 7943 3762 7944
3760 7946 3758 7945 3757 7943 3755 7948
3769 7954 3786 7915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 248DEG 20KT 3765 7943
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JCBSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 4:17 PM EST, 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
517 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
VAZ047-142145-
Buckingham VA-
517 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
EASTERN BUCKINGHAM COUNTY THROUGH 545 PM EDT...
At 517 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Dillwyn, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Buckingham...
Dillwyn...
Gold Hill...
New Canton...
Andersonville...
and Bremo Bluff.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central and south central Virginia.
&&
LAT...LON 3764 7825 3742 7841 3738 7852 3754 7863
3772 7833 3771 7829 3769 7826 3769 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 240DEG 24KT 3750 7850
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JCBSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 4:45 PM EST, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
545 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
VAZ046-047-142215-
Buckingham VA-Appomattox VA-
545 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
SOUTHEASTERN APPOMATTOX AND SOUTH CENTRAL BUCKINGHAM COUNTIES THROUGH
615 PM EDT...
At 545 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Evergreen, or near Appomattox, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Appomattox...
Pamplin City...
Sheppards...
Andersonville...
Hixburg...
Evergreen...
and Appomattox National Historic Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for
central and south central Virginia.
&&
LAT...LON 3734 7846 3733 7849 3733 7852 3736 7856
3737 7858 3738 7858 3738 7859 3739 7858
3740 7859 3734 7860 3732 7863 3725 7868
3723 7873 3722 7881 3734 7886 3753 7848
3740 7842
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 248DEG 23KT 3730 7877
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JCBLocal storm report, Jun 14, 4:48 PM EST, 20 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
548 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0508 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 WNW Turbeville 36.62N 79.04W
06/14/2026 Halifax VA Trained Spotter
Thunderstorm winds blew down one large tree
branch that smashed through the windshield
of a passing SUV on Highway 58 eastbound
between Wilkins Road and Turbeville Road.
The driver of the SUV did not sustain any
injuries.
&&
PW