What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 12:27 PM CST, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 226 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
- Showers and storms through this evening, and a few of these storms may become strong to severe with damaging winds as the primary threat.
- Turning cooler and drier early in the work week, chances for showers and storms will increase again by Thursday into Friday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 12:27 PM CST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
227 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 226 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
- Showers and storms through this evening, and a few of these storms
may become strong to severe with damaging winds as the primary
threat.
- Turning cooler and drier early in the work week, chances for
showers and storms will increase again by Thursday into Friday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 226 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
Confidence is low regarding the severe potential for this afternoon.
Complicating the matter is a mix of overcast to scattered cloud
cover over East and Middle TN and the morning/early afternoon
convection, which will likely have a suppressing effect on
instability this afternoon. The CAMS are coming into somewhat
better agreement that convection will blossom in Middle
TN/northern AL over the next few hours and reach our Plateau
counties around 21Z. Convection is starting to develop in eastern
West TN and northern MS, which the latest HRRR run is picking up
on. It shows most of this activity crossing northern AL/GA and our
southern counties. The NAM keeps these storms mainly south of the
TN/GA border. Model soundings this afternoon are not particularly
impressive for a severe threat, with deep moisutre, a high WBZ,
weak uni-directional shear, and MLCAPE generally under 1000 J/KG.
Bottom line - some strong wind gusts of 30-50 mph cannot be ruled
out from precip loading under heavier downpours, mainly south of
I-40. Training storms could pose a localized flooding threat.
The passage of a shortwave trough and surface cold front will bring
an en to rain chances in our area around midnight. Cooler temps and
a drier air mass will build into the area and provide nice weather
for mid-June on Monday and Tuesday, with lows in the 50s and 60s and
highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. The rest of the week will have
a warming trend, with temps close to or slightly above normal, along
with increasing rain chances as Gulf moisture returns. The models
are picking up on a tropical low that develops off the TX coast and
tracks into the Southeast, with a cold front approaching from the
NW. Details are highly uncertain, but late next week could be a wet
period if it pans out.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
Showers and storms are expected to traverse the area from west to
east through the evening ahead of a cold front. TEMPOs will
mention MVFR conditions with TS at all sites, and since confidence
of storms is higher at CHA, some gusty winds will be mentioned
there. Oernight, the front passes through and shifts winds to NW,
but remaining low level moisture may lead to MVFR cigs at TYS and
TRI until after sunrise.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN 68 82 63 83 / 40 10 0 0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 65 81 60 82 / 80 0 0 0
Oak Ridge, TN 64 81 58 82 / 60 0 0 0
Tri Cities Airport, TN 62 79 55 80 / 80 0 0 0
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&
DISCUSSION...DGS
AVIATION...DGS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 12:29 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-151830-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026 /129 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Numerous showers and thunderstorms will move across the area
this afternoon and evening. A few of these storms may become
strong to severe with damaging winds the primary threat, mainly
for areas south of I-40.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 11:14 AM CST, 3 hours 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
114 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
TNZ084>086-100>102-141815-
West Polk TN-Northwest Monroe TN-East Polk TN-Bradley TN-Meigs TN-
McMinn TN-
114 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRADLEY...SOUTHWESTERN MEIGS...
POLK...MCMINN AND SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM EDT...
At 113 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles south of Dayton to Cohutta. Movement
was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Athens, Madisonville, Benton, Ducktown, Etowah,
Charleston, South Cleveland, East Cleveland, and Wildwood Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
These storms may intensify, so closely monitor for additional
information or possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3499 8497 3502 8496 3504 8500 3508 8500
3514 8503 3526 8497 3528 8494 3531 8497
3536 8497 3538 8500 3537 8502 3538 8503
3540 8502 3544 8498 3544 8492 3545 8490
3555 8439 3499 8437
TIME...MOT...LOC 1713Z 267DEG 24KT 3537 8496 3498 8495
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
19Special weather statement, Jun 14, 12:13 PM CST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
213 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
NCZ060-061-TNZ085>087-101-102-141900-
Clay NC-Cherokee NC-West Polk TN-Northwest Monroe TN-East Polk TN-
Southeast Monroe TN-McMinn TN-
213 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CHEROKEE...SOUTHWESTERN CLAY...
EASTERN POLK...SOUTHEASTERN MCMINN AND SOUTHERN MONROE COUNTIES
THROUGH 300 PM EDT...
At 213 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 9 miles north of Ducktown, moving east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Murphy, Ducktown, Tellico Plains, William L. Davenport Refuge, Coker
Creek, Violet, Big Frog Mountain, Turtletown, Copperhill, and Bullet
Creek.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3499 8457 3536 8451 3545 8398 3541 8402
3537 8401 3535 8404 3531 8404 3523 8400
3522 8397 3523 8392 3499 8393
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 269DEG 35KT 3517 8439
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
19Special weather statement, Jun 14, 2:06 PM CST, 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
406 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
TNZ035-142045-
Morgan TN-
406 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MORGAN COUNTY
THROUGH 445 PM EDT...
At 406 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles north of Fairfield Glade, or 15 miles south of Jamestown,
moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Wartburg, Sunbright, High Point, Deerlodge, and Frozen Head State
Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3624 8489 3624 8488 3628 8488 3628 8462
3627 8461 3628 8459 3627 8459 3626 8457
3624 8457 3604 8461 3614 8488 3616 8491
3618 8490 3621 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 279DEG 29KT 3621 8488
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DGSSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 2:11 PM CST, 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
311 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026
TNZ081-082-098-142100-
Sequatchie TN-Bledsoe TN-Marion TN-
311 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SEQUATCHIE...SOUTH CENTRAL
BLEDSOE AND NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM CDT...
At 311 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Gruetli-Laager, or 14 miles west of Dunlap, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Dunlap, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads, Cartwright, Lone Oak, Griffith
Creek, Chimneys State Park, North Chickamauga Creek Gorge, and Flat
Top Mountain.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3529 8569 3531 8565 3532 8557 3536 8551
3541 8549 3541 8551 3542 8551 3544 8553
3540 8520 3537 8521 3515 8539 3525 8570
3529 8571
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 284DEG 24KT 3534 8564
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
KRSSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 2:41 PM CST, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
341 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026
TNZ098-142130-
Marion TN-
341 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MARION COUNTY THROUGH 430 PM
CDT...
At 341 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Monteagle to 10 miles northwest of
Stevenson. Movement was east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Jasper, South Pittsburg, Whitwell, Kimball, Monteagle, Powells
Crossroads, Orme, Martin Springs, Fiery Gizzard State Park, and
Haletown (guild).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3524 8585 3524 8582 3522 8574 3524 8569
3529 8571 3532 8556 3527 8549 3526 8544
3522 8540 3518 8539 3511 8539 3509 8536
3505 8538 3504 8541 3500 8543 3498 8548
3499 8586 3522 8586 3522 8587
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 264DEG 34KT 3530 8583 3501 8591
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
KRSSpecial weather statement, Jun 14, 2:57 PM CST, 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
457 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
TNZ067-082>084-142145-
Rhea TN-Bledsoe TN-Roane TN-Meigs TN-
457 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT RHEA...NORTHERN BLEDSOE...
CENTRAL MEIGS AND WEST CENTRAL ROANE COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT/445
PM CDT/...
At 457 PM EDT/357 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 9 miles north of Pikeville, moving east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Pikeville, Spring City, Evensville, Stinging Fork Falls State Park,
Old Washington, Piney Falls State Park, Grandview, Melvine, Mount
Crest, and Fall Creek Falls State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3572 8526 3576 8526 3577 8510 3576 8507
3577 8504 3575 8503 3577 8494 3576 8492
3583 8480 3583 8477 3588 8471 3550 8484
3562 8536
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 274DEG 33KT 3574 8522
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
CED