Drought in Texas, April 2 to 30, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
720 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 347 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

 - Above normal temperatures will continue across the region this
   afternoon, although isolated showers and a few thunderstorms
   will be possible, especially across portions of East Texas and
   North & Central Louisiana.

 - A shift in the upper-level pattern will bring a return of
   widespread precipitation chances to the area tomorrow, with
   rain chances remaining on Friday. However, the best rain
   chances will be along a cool front on Saturday. Some strong to
   severe thunderstorms can't be ruled out this weekend.

 - Cooler more seasonal type temperatures are expected to return
   in wake of Saturday's cold front for the end of the weekend
   into the first half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 347 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

A shift in the upper level pattern, with the aforementioned ridge
breaking down, has allowed for more widespread diurnally driven
convection to develop within the southerly flow. All of the precip
so far today has been across Deep East Texas and adjacent Central
Louisiana, but it is starting to push northward towards the I-20
corridor of North Louisiana. Some additional isolated convection
can't be ruled out across the remainder of the region before it
all diminishes by sunset. By this evening, the flow aloft will
become southwesterly. At the same time, an upper trough will start
to eject out of the Rockies into the Northern Plains. This will
send a weak cold front towards to the region. However, the front
will washout before it gets into our area on Thursday. But, a line
of convection will develop along the front and should make it
into portions of the region before dying off. The extent on how
far this precipitation makes it still remains a question, but
there is decent confidence that is gets to areas west of I-49,
which includes most of our East Texas zones, Southeast Oklahoma,
extreme Northwest Louisiana, and portions of Southwest Arkansas.
At this time, not expecting any severe weather with this
convection, as most of the dynamic energy will remain across the
Midwest. We could see some redevelopment along remnant outflow
boundaries with daytime heating Thursday afternoon, but this
activity should likely diminish with the loss of daytime heating.
However, more convection will be possible across the region on
Friday, as progs are trying to bring some impulses along the
southwest flow into our region.

Widespread rain chances will return on Saturday, as a stronger
trough ejects out of the northern Rockies into the upper Plains,
pushing a stronger cold front into the area. The best dynamics
will likely still be north of the area, but with this being a
stronger system, severe weather can't be ruled out. Details and
timing still need to be sort out with this system, so please
continue to monitor the forecast. Behind Saturday's front, much
cooler, drier, and seasonally normal type temperatures will
return to the area for Sunday and the first half of next week.
Morning lows will start out in the 40s, with afternoon highs in
the low to mid 70s. /20/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR now in the wake of a pseudo
enhanced seabreeze with gusts to 30-40KT before the last update.
We will be looking at more showers and isolated thunderstorms
arriving early on Thursday with daybreak, but they are well
modeled to be weakening. Heating may flare more later. Then hit
or miss pop-ups for Friday and a decent line of convection will be
likely to accompany the fropa early to midday on Saturday. /24/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 347 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  68  82  68  84 /  10  60   0  40
MLU  68  85  68  86 /   0  50  10  50
DEQ  63  82  62  80 /  50  70  30  50
TXK  69  84  68  85 /  30  70  20  50
ELD  65  82  64  85 /  10  50  10  50
TYR  68  82  68  83 /  30  70  10  30
GGG  68  82  67  84 /  20  70  10  30
LFK  68  80  67  84 /  10  60   0  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...24

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
715 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

ARZ060-061-020030-
Hempstead AR-Nevada AR-
715 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN HEMPSTEAD AND NEVADA
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 715 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of showers extending
from 7 miles southeast of Nashville to 9 miles southeast of Bluff
City, or extending from 7 miles southeast of Nashville to 20 miles
northeast of McNeil, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
  Hope, Prescott, Emmet, Blevins, Perrytown, Rosston, Washington,
  Bluff City, McCaskill, Ozan, Cale, Oakhaven, Sutton, Boughton,
  Laneburg, Mount Moriah, Morris and Young.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3378 9383 3401 9382 3401 9375 3394 9353
      3396 9347 3396 9338 3390 9330 3387 9330
      3384 9328 3383 9322 3380 9318 3382 9314
      3378 9310 3351 9312
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 206DEG 25KT 3389 9375 3377 9340 3361 9307

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

24