Montana, 2025

High Wind in Montana, March 16, 2025

March 16, 2025 · NWS BYZ · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Tight surface pressure gradients across portions of the Billings Forecast Area resulted in some high wind gusts.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BYZ wrote it up.

Tight surface pressure gradients across portions of the Billings Forecast Area resulted in some high wind gusts.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 16, 10:08 AM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Strong winds over the foothills west of Billings today, strongest this afternoon and evening. Becoming breezy over the east.
  • Very strong wind in the mountains, with locally damaging winds possible in the higher foothills, late this evening into tonight.
  • Moderate to heavy mountain snow expected through Tuesday.
  • Another round of rain/snow Monday through Tuesday over the lower elevations. Best chance for impactful snow is over the foothills.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 10:08 AM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Billings MT
1108 AM MDT Sun Mar 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
- Strong winds over the foothills west of Billings today,
  strongest this afternoon and evening. Becoming breezy over the
  east.

- Very strong wind in the mountains, with locally damaging winds
  possible in the higher foothills, late this evening into
  tonight.

- Moderate to heavy mountain snow expected through Tuesday.

- Another round of rain/snow Monday through Tuesday over the lower
  elevations. Best chance for impactful snow is over the
  foothills.

&&

.UPDATE...

The High Wind Watches for the Red Lodge and Sheridan Foothills, as
well as the Bighorn Mountains have been upgraded to High Wind
Warnings. The warning for the Red Lodge Foothills goes into effect
at 3 PM this afternoon and the warning for the Sheridan Foothills
and Bighorns goes into effect at 6 PM this evening.

The rest of the forecast and other ongoing products remain in
good shape. Matos

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Monday Afternoon...

Windy conditions are expected today into tonight across the
region. During the day today, the strongest winds over the lower
elevations are expected in south-central Montana, specifically
over the foothills west of Billings. During this time, a hybrid of
mix- down and gaping winds is expected around Livingston to Big
Timber where gusts around 50 to 65 mph are forecast. Around
Harlowton, winds are expected to be weaker today with gusts into
the 40s to lower 50s (mph) common. Across the rest of the lower
elevations in south-central Montana, including the city of
Billings, mix-down wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph are forecast. East
of Billings, in south- eastern Montana, winds will be weaker with
gusts around 20 to 30 mph forecast.

While the strong winds over the lower elevations of south-central
Montana will begin to decrease late this evening into tonight,
strong winds over the mountains, especially the Beartooth-
Absaroka and Bighorn mountains, will continue into tonight. This
is due to a secondary push of even stronger winds aloft. With
this, strong winds may move down the lee-side of these mountain
ranges during the late evening and overnight hours. This could
potentially bring damaging winds down towards communities along
the Beartooth and Bighorn foothills, including areas around Red
Lodge, MT and Sheridan, WY. While uncertainty remains in how far
down the mountain the damaging winds may go, high resolution and
global deterministic models continue to show a signal for such an
event. At this time, the most likely time for such damaging winds
to potentially occur is between 7PM this evening to around
midnight Monday for the Beartooth foothills and between 10PM this
evening and 6AM Monday for the Bighorn foothills. A frontal
passage Monday morning will quickly end the strong wind threat
across the area. If you live or have property in the foothills of
the Beartooth and Bighorn mountains, pay close attention to the
forecast for important updates today.

Along with the wind, snow is expected in the Beartooth-Absaroka
Mountains today through Monday. The combination of strong winds
and falling snow will make recreation in the high country very
difficult during this time. Arends

Monday night through Saturday...

Upper trough will be moving into the Rockies Monday night with mid
level flow backing and continuing to bring a fetch of Pacific
moisture into our mountains and eastward across our CWA. Low level
winds will turn northerly as colder air gets drawn southward.
However, 850mb temps do not drop below zero until after midnight.
So, look for rain showers, or a mix of rain/snow at the lower
elevations turning to all snow late. Snow, heavy at times, will
continue in the high country. Pops will be lowest over the
northern sections (15-40%) and highest to the south and along the
higher terrain (65-95%).

Trough splits as it moves through the region on Tuesday. This
will keep heaviest snowfall south of the forecast area into
Wyoming, but still bring accumulating snow to our zones along the
MT/WY border, especially at the higher elevations. Winds turn
northwesterly and become gusty in the afternoon across the western
half of the forecast area as trough in northern branch tracks
southeast across Idaho and western Montana. This will bring
another round of snow showers across the western half of the CWA
into Tuesday evening before drying occurs overnight. Highs Tuesday
will be in the 30s to mid 40s.

Monday night through Tuesday...the lower elevations will not see
much snowfall accumulation (chance of an inch 30% west to less
than 10% east), but areas in and near the foothhills could see
1-3 inches of wet snow. The high country could pick up another
5-10 inches.

Ridge builds over the area for Wednesday into Thursday for mainly
dry and breezy conditions. Temperatures will get into the 50s
during this period. Another splitting trof will bring a chance for
precipitation Thursday night into Friday morning. More Pacific
moisture associated with a longwave trof arrives by Saturday
morning for yet another shot of mountain snow and a mix of
rain/snow for the lower elevations. Overall this progressive
pattern will favor our western and southern zones for
precipitation during the extended period. BT

&&

.AVIATION...

Can't stress enough that this afternoon through tonight is not
the time to take small aircraft out for a ride. Strong to extreme
mountain wave wind potential is forecast to develop and will push
well east of the mountains.

Very strong southwest to west winds are expected to overspread
much of the forecast area this afternoon through much of tonight.
Local extreme mountain wave activity is expected along the eastern
foothills of all area mountains during this time frame (KLVM/KSHR
included), strongest in the 23-09z time frame. Added mention of
very strong wind shear to KSHR as mountain wave winds will be
intermittent there. Added wind shear into KBIL as well with gusts
in the 43kt range, but some indication winds could be stronger
this evening into the overnight hours. Will continue to monitor
and adjust as necessary, but got foot in the door for that
potential for now. KMLS should be far enough east and earlier with
FROPA to escape stronger winds.

Flight conditions are expected to be VFR today east of the
Rockies. By later tonight (08-12z) a cold front will push into the
area from the north with attendant shower activity resulting in
areas of MVFR conditions in rain/snow showers. Mountain
obscuration will be persistent through the period with Pacific
moisture flowing through producing nearly continuous
moderate/heavy snow in the high country. Chambers

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Tdy Mon     Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 059 040/051 032/045 028/050 032/054 033/053 034/051
    0/N 35/R    56/S    20/U    02/R    30/B    13/O
LVM 049 035/045 027/037 020/043 027/046 025/045 030/041
    1/N 76/O    65/S    20/N    04/S    31/N    34/S
HDN 059 037/052 031/046 026/051 026/057 031/054 031/052
    1/N 35/R    56/S    30/U    02/R    41/B    14/O
MLS 058 036/053 029/046 024/049 027/055 034/053 031/051
    0/E 21/E    21/E    00/U    00/B    10/B    02/R
4BQ 058 039/053 032/043 025/047 025/054 033/050 030/050
    0/B 11/B    54/S    10/U    00/B    21/B    02/R
BHK 055 031/052 023/041 019/044 020/051 028/049 026/051
    0/B 21/B    22/S    00/U    00/B    11/B    02/R
SHR 056 034/053 026/038 018/042 019/051 024/047 023/046
    0/E 15/R    88/S    30/U    01/E    41/B    14/O

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...High Wind Warning in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM
      MDT Monday FOR ZONE 56.
     Wind Advisory in effect until 3 AM MDT Monday FOR ZONES
      65-66.
     Winter Storm Warning in effect until noon MDT Tuesday FOR
      ZONES 67-68.
     High Wind Warning in effect from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM
      MDT Monday FOR ZONES 138-169-171.
     High Wind Warning in effect until 3 AM MDT Monday FOR ZONES
      141-172.
WY...High Wind Warning in effect from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM
      MDT Monday FOR ZONES 198-199.

&&

weather.gov/billings

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 16, 8:21 AM MST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Billings MT
921 AM MDT Sun Mar 16 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 13 SW Washoe            45.03N 109.41W
03/16/2025  M66 MPH          Carbon             MT   Mesonet

            Mesonet station TT839 Quad Creek.

0853 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 7 ENE Livingston        45.70N 110.43W
03/16/2025  M62 MPH          Park               MT   ASOS

            ASOS station KLVM Livingston.

0745 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 WSW Livingston        45.65N 110.60W
03/16/2025  M56 MPH          Park               MT   Mesonet

            Mesonet station MTLWM 2.0 SW Livingston (MT
            DOT).

0839 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 SSE Limestone         45.41N 109.87W
03/16/2025  M53 MPH          Stillwater         MT   Mesonet

            Mesonet station CW9088 Nye.

0900 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 ENE Livingston        45.69N 110.50W
03/16/2025  M53 MPH          Park               MT   Mesonet

            Mesonet station MTELV 3.3 E Livingston (MT
            DOT).

0718 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 18 S Fort Smith         45.07N 107.89W
03/16/2025  M50 MPH          Big Horn           MT   Mesonet

            Mesonet station BHMM8 Bighorn Mountain.

0704 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 NW Burgess Junction   44.79N 107.54W
03/16/2025  M49 MPH          Sheridan           WY   Mesonet

            Mesonet station BUJW4 Burgess.

0815 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Judith Gap              46.69N 109.75W
03/16/2025  M44 MPH          Wheatland          MT   Mesonet

            Mesonet station MTJUD Judith Gap (MT DOT).

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Paradise Valley

When
March 16, 12:30 PM MST
Where
Paradise Valley forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.488, -110.526 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winds gusted to 63 mph across the area.

High Wind, Red Lodge Foothills

When
March 16, 12:30 PM MST to 1:00 PM MST
Where
Red Lodge Foothills forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.227, -109.028 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winds gusted up to 60 mph across the area.

High Wind, Southern Big Horn

When
March 16, 11:29 PM MST
Where
Southern Big Horn forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
45.424, -107.490 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winds gusted up to 61 mph across the area.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1238766, 1238771, 1238773.