A prolonged flooding event on the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, that began in the middle of February, continued into March at Hickman Kentucky. Minor flooding of bottomland continued in Mississippi County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A prolonged flooding event on the Ohio and Mississippi rivers, that began in the middle of February, continued into March at Hickman Kentucky. Minor flooding of bottomland continued in Mississippi County. Heavy rainfall in the middle of February was the cause of rising river levels which lowered just below flood stage on the 1st.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 10:52 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1052 PM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Colder temperatures will arrive for the weekend with most locations running about 10 degrees below normal. - Temperatures will warm up for early next week as the next system approaches from the Plains. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible by Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. - Any heavy rainfall with thunderstorms next week will increase the chances for Flash Flooding across the area, especially with continued saturated soils and elevated river levels. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 258 PM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 Gusty winds have been observed across the entire Quad State this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. In fact, many locations are gusting around 30 to 35 mph from the southwest. The wind will shift to the west then northwest later this evening. Relative humidity values have dropped into the teens to low 20s over the Ozark Foothills, with higher RHs noted farther east under sunny skies. The dry cold front will pass through the area this evening, allowing for cooler temperatures over the weekend as winds shift to the north. To help keep temperatures much cooler, the Quad State will be under an upper-level trough and northwest flow for through Sunday. Surface high pressure will remain in place keeping dry conditions in place. High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s. There may be a weak/decaying system that moves into the area Sunday night into Monday bringing a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms, but the next feature that will likely be more impactful is expected to arrive for Tuesday into Tuesday night. A warm front is expected to lift north of the area Tuesday morning, followed quickly by a cold front Tuesday afternoon/evening as the surface low treks just northwest of our CWA. The system would have ample moisture to work with from the Gulf along with some fairly strong upper-level jet energy. Digging a bit deeper, deep layer shear looks to be fairly impressive around 40kt + along with much steeper lapse rates leading to increasing instability across the area. It's a bit early to get into specifics (more than already mentioned anyway); however, all threats appear reasonable with respect to severe weather Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. In fact, the SPC has already placed the area under a 30 percent risk for Tuesday into Tuesday night! On top of the severe potential, very moist ground soils along with the potential for heavy rainfall of 1- 3 inches in heavy downpours could lead to flash flooding potential. Again, out of the next 7 days, that is the time period to really keep a close eye on! && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1052 PM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 A cold front is making its way across the region shifting winds to the northwest. VFR conditions are anticipated through the TAF period with moderate northwest winds. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && DISCUSSION...KC AVIATION...JGG
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 306 PM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-012115- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 306 PM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 /406 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Southwest winds will be gusty through this evening. The combination of gusty winds and low relative humidity values will continue to lead to elevated fire danger through at least sunset, particularly across the Ozarks. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Thunderstorms are forecast Monday night through Wednesday. The best chance for strong to severe storms and heavy rain is Tuesday afternoon and evening. River flooding continues. Refer to the latest Flood Statements for details. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Late February flooding continued into early March along the Mississippi River at Hickman. Minor flooding of some low-lying agricultural land continued near Hickman. River levels fell just below flood stage in the early afternoon on the 1st.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1240573.