Dry fuels, low relative humidities and gusty winds led to an elevated fire danger across north Mississippi in early March. A couple of large wildfires broke out and burned several hundred acres.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Dry fuels, low relative humidities and gusty winds led to an elevated fire danger across north Mississippi in early March. A couple of large wildfires broke out and burned several hundred acres.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 10:42 AM CST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1042 AM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1035 AM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 - A secondary dry cold front will move through the Mid-South today. Colder, below normal temperatures are expected for the remainder of the weekend. - A warming trend is expected for Monday and Tuesday. A powerful storm system will move through the region on Tuesday with severe thunderstorms possible Tuesday afternoon and evening. - Dry weather and seasonal temperatures will return to the Mid- South for Wednesday and Thursday. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1035 AM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 Skies are mostly sunny across the Mid-South this morning with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to lower 60s. One cold front moved through the region overnight and is across central Mississippi. A second cold front has started moving into northern sections of the region. Like the front that moved through overnight, no rain is expected ahead of this second front. Behind the second front, very dry air will move into the region with dewpoints in the teens to lower 20s. With this air in place tonight, temperatures will drop some 20 to 30 degrees from this afternoon with lows Sunday morning in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Current forecast looks good with no changes needed. ARS && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Friday) Issued at 420 AM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 Latest surface analysis places a cold front from the Ohio Valley back through the Red River Valley in Texas and Oklahoma. A secondary cold front stretches from eastern Ontario back along the I-70 corridor in Missouri. GOES-16 satellite shows a few mid to high clouds along this first front with mostly clear skies prevailing elsewhere. Cooler temperatures are expected across the Mid-South today as a secondary cold front drops into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Highs this afternoon will range from the upper 40s to around 50 degrees near the TN/KY border, and upper 50s to lower 60s south. No precipitation is expected with a dry atmosphere already in place across the area. Minimum relative humidity values are forecast to drop to 25 to 30 percent this afternoon. Excellent radiational cooling with a surface high settling over the Ohio River Valley will result in temperatures falling back into the middle 20s to lower 30s across the Mid-South. Lows tonight were trended down towards the NBM 25th percentile with the dry atmosphere in place. A compact upper-level low currently along the southern California coast will gradually transition to an open wave shortwave trough as it moves across portions of the Middle and Lower Mississippi Valleys on Monday. This will result in some rain showers especially along and west of the Mississippi River with rainfall amounts remaining relatively light. Long-term operational and ensemble models continue to indicate a strong upper-level low with an associated surface low moving from the Central Plains into the Great Lakes Region by Tuesday night. Strong deep layer shear and impressive mid-level height falls will provide the necessary forcing for showers and thunderstorms across the Mid-South. However, the main question at this point will be the quality of instability that may regulate the extent of strong to severe thunderstorms across the Mid-South. The main threats are damaging winds, a potential for some tornadoes, along with heavy rainfall. Cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front for the middle of next week with rain chances returning towards the end of next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 VFR conditions will prevail across the airspace as high pressure remains in place. North winds will gust up to 25 kts across all terminals today as a secondary cold front pushes across the Mid- South. Gusts will drop out shortly after sunset as winds shift northeast. AEH && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC AVIATION...AEH
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
A 440-acre wildfire burned area near the intersection of CR 70 and CR 71.
A 300-acre wildfire reported in Holly Springs National Forest in Myrtle.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, March 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1246844, 1246846.